UTSA @ Tulane: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Tulane · Conference game

Kickoff forecast66°F5 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

UTSA

6-1 · Power #71

projected

Sat 8:00 PM ET

Tulane

3-3 · Power #86

projected

UTSA 58%

42% TULN

Spread

UTSA -3

open UTSA -4

Total

51.5

model 51.5

Spread edge

TULN by 1

no lean

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenUTSA -4

CurrentUTSA -3

Total50.5 → 51.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenUTSA -4

1 → TULN

NowUTSA -3

1 pt toward Tulane

Total

Open50.5

▲ 1

Now51.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened UTSA -4 · now UTSA -3 · moved 1 toward TULNmodel UTSA -2

model UTSA -2

Openline modelNow

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 61%, covered 51% (233 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 3The team the line moved toward covered 50% (32 games since 2024)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenUTSA -4

CurrentUTSA -3

Total50.5 → 51.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game preview · 1:06

UTSA at Tulane: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 10:37 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

The line has moved toward Tulane since it opened. It’s UTSA at Tulane, Saturday at 8 PM Eastern. Our power ratings have UTSA 71st and Tulane 86th. That’s about 4.5 points better than Tulane on a neutral field. Since the preseason, UTSA has held steady around 71st, while Tulane has fallen from 54th to 86th. Kickoff forecast at Yulman Stadium: 65 degrees, dry, wind 5 miles per hour, gusting to 13. UTSA has the better offense, 46th to 111th. On defense, Tulane ranks 75th and UTSA 84th. UTSA plays at the faster pace. Tulane is 3 and 1 against the spread as underdog. Our model projects UTSA 27, Tulane 24, with a 58 percent win chance. UTSA is favored by 3, down from 4 at the open, toward our model. The total opened at 50.5 and sits at 51.5. Our model makes it UTSA by 2, with a total near 51.5. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

More game previews ›

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	UTSA	TULN	Over	Under	UTSA	TULN
BetMGMMGM	-3-102	+3-115	51.5-112	51.5-105	-150	+125
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-3-105	+3-115	51.5-110	51.5-110	-141	+121
BetRiversBetRivers	-2.5-118	+2.5-105	51.5-109	51.5-114	-143	+116
BetUSBetUS	-3-105	+3-115	51.5-110	51.5-110	-140	+120
BovadaBovada	-3-105	+3-115	51.5-110	51.5-110	-150	+130
DraftKingsDK	-3-102	+3-118	51.5-110	51.5-110	-142	+120
FanDuelFD	-2.5-118	+2.5-104	51.5-110	51.5-110	-142	+118
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	-3-101	+3-111	51.5-108	51.5-108	-141	+121
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	-3-110	+3-110	51.5-110	51.5-110	-147	+120

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:32 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

3 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	UTSA	TULN	Over	Under
BetUSBetUS	-0.5-105	+0.5-115	25.5-115	25.5-105
DraftKingsDK	-0.5-105	+0.5-115	25.5-115	25.5-105
FanDuelFD	-1.5-104	+1.5-118	26.5-112	26.5-108

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Winner

UTSA

TULN

Bets73% 27%

Money59% 41%

Money is 14 pts ahead of bets on TULN

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTSA as a 3-point road favorite at TULN, the favorite won 3, covered 1, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

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games

Favorite won

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

1 of 813%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: underdog by 0.5 against an average line of 3.2; 52.3 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 4 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	VT @ UVA 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-1.75	55–17	W	O53
Very close	CONN @ BUFF 2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-3	20–17	P	U51.5
Very close	LIB @ SHSU 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	18–20	L	U47.5
Very close	TTU @ BYU 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	14–27	L	U50
Very close	ISU @ COLO 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3	17–24	L	U52.5
Very close	LIB @ BGSU 2025 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & total	-6	13–23	L	U51.5
Very close	GASO @ MRSH 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-1.5	33–38	L	O56.5
Very close	ORST @ NEV 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & rest	-3	37–42	L	O47
Very close	USF @ RICE 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & season form	-5.5	28–35	L	O54
Very close	FRES @ NEV 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-3	24–21	P	U50

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTSA WLLWL	4-3	57%	2-1	2-3
TULN LWLWW	3-3	50%	1-2	3-1

Venue/role: UTSA away, as favorite; TULN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTSA UOUOO	4-3	57%	6-1
TULN OOUUU	2-4	33%	3-3

In 1583 games with totals 47.5–55.5, 53% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTSA	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
TULN	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UTSA

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 5	@ FAU	W38–24WO
Nov 14	vs UNT	L17–55LO
Nov 21	@ UAB	W41–20WU

Tulane

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 30	@ CLT	W27–0LU
Nov 7	vs TLSA	W31–14WU
Nov 14	@ RICE	W24–10LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

UTSA 1–1 TULN Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · UTSA has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 30 2025	Tulane 26 @ UTSA 48	TULN -5.5	UTSA W
Nov 24 2023	UTSA 16 @ Tulane 29	TULN -3.5	TULN W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTSA+0.4 →−0.2▼ 0.6#70

TULN+2.5 →−4.3▼ 6.8#85

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

UTSA

Longer bar = better

TULN

#46

Offense

◀ UTSA better

#111

#84

Defense

Even

#75

+0.6 #30

Turnovers

◀ UTSA better

+0.3 #53

67 plays #61

Pace

◀ UTSA faster

59 plays #128

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTSA has the ball

Advantage: UTSA offense

	UTSA off	TULN def	Edge
Points / game	32.3 #49	21.7 #52	Even
Yards / play	6.15 #52	5.94 #104	UTSA
PPA / play	+0.22 #38	+0.09 #70	UTSA
Success rate	46% #43	42% #75	UTSA

When TULN has the ball

Advantage: UTSA defense

	TULN off	UTSA def	Edge
Points / game	20.5 #116	27.0 #99	Even
Yards / play	5.61 #89	5.61 #82	Even
PPA / play	+0.06 #102	+0.10 #77	UTSA
Success rate	33% #137	42% #78	UTSA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UTSA scoring against the TULN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTSA scored	7.3 #46	10.3 #47	17.6 #44	4.7 #104	10.0 #14	14.7 #47
TULN allowed	4.5 #62	6.8 #64	11.3 #60	3.5 #38	6.8 #87	10.3 #58

TULN scoring against the UTSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TULN scored	2.3 #129	8.3 #80	10.7 #111	2.8 #127	7.0 #65	9.8 #112
UTSA allowed	7.4 #120	8.0 #80	15.4 #108	3.3 #34	8.3 #115	11.6 #74

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.