Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Rice · Conference game
TULN 71%29% RICE
Spread
—
Total
—
model 43.5
Model line
TULN -8
TULN 71% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Tulane 71%
Projected TULN 25 – RICE 19 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
TULN -8
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 43.5
How the model gets there (points from RICE’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadRICE rating edge−10.3+Home field+2.5=Model marginTULN by 7.8
TotalScoring ratings43.7=Model total43.7
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | |
| 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
TULN 2–0 RICE
TULN leads · 2 games since 2023 · TULN has won the last 2 meetings
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 2024 | Rice 10 @ Tulane 24 | TULN -22.5 | RICE W |
| Oct 28 2023 | Tulane 30 @ Rice 28 | TULN -10 | RICE W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TULN+2.5 →−4.3▼ 6.8#85
RICE−14.2 →−13.8▲ 0.4#121
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10
Longer bar = better
#111
Offense
Even#121
#75
Defense
Even#88
+0.3 #53
Turnovers
◀ TULN better−0.9 #128
59 plays #128
Pace
RICE faster ▶63 plays #109
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| TULN off | RICE def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.5 #116 | 29.0 #112 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.61 #89 | 5.62 #86 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.06 #102 | +0.13 #90 | Even |
| Success rate | 33% #137 | 41% #65 | RICE |
| RICE off | TULN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 17.0 #131 | 21.7 #52 | TULN |
| Yards / play | 5.09 #119 | 5.94 #104 | Even |
| PPA / play | −0.02 #123 | +0.09 #70 | TULN |
| Success rate | 39% #111 | 42% #75 | TULN |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
TULN scoring against the RICE defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.3 #129 | 8.3 #80 | 10.7 #111 | 2.8 #127 | 7.0 #65 | 9.8 #112 | |
6.3 #102 | 10.4 #120 | 16.7 #117 | 4.3 #54 | 8.0 #109 | 12.3 #82 |
RICE scoring against the TULN defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.0 #98 | 5.7 #114 | 9.7 #119 | 1.9 #134 | 5.4 #111 | 7.3 #135 | |
4.5 #62 | 6.8 #64 | 11.3 #60 | 3.5 #38 | 6.8 #87 | 10.3 #58 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
TULN7d
RICE7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 122 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

