Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Rice · Conference game
3-3 · Power #86
25
projected
@
1-6 · Power #121
19
projected
TULN 71%
29% RICE
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 43.5
Model line
TULN -8
TULN 71% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Tulane 71%
Projected TULN 25 – RICE 19 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
TULN -8
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 43.5
How the model gets there (points from RICE’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadRICE rating edge−10.3+Home field+2.5=Model marginTULN by 7.8
TotalScoring ratings43.7=Model total43.7

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TULN+2.5 →−4.3▼ 6.8#85
RICE−14.2 →−13.8▲ 0.4#121
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

TULN
Longer bar = better
RICE
#111
Offense
Even
#121
#75
Defense
Even
#88
+0.3 #53
Turnovers
◀ TULN better
−0.9 #128
59 plays #128
Pace
RICE faster ▶
63 plays #109
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When TULN has the ball
Advantage: RICE defense
TULN offRICE defEdge
Points / game 20.5 #116 29.0 #112 Even
Yards / play 5.61 #89 5.62 #86 Even
PPA / play +0.06 #102 +0.13 #90 Even
Success rate 33% #137 41% #65 RICE
When RICE has the ball
Advantage: TULN defense
RICE offTULN defEdge
Points / game 17.0 #131 21.7 #52 TULN
Yards / play 5.09 #119 5.94 #104 Even
PPA / play −0.02 #123 +0.09 #70 TULN
Success rate 39% #111 42% #75 TULN

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
TULN scoring against the RICE defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
TULN scored
2.3
#129
8.3
#80
10.7
#111
2.8
#127
7.0
#65
9.8
#112
RICE allowed
6.3
#102
10.4
#120
16.7
#117
4.3
#54
8.0
#109
12.3
#82
RICE scoring against the TULN defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
RICE scored
4.0
#98
5.7
#114
9.7
#119
1.9
#134
5.4
#111
7.3
#135
TULN allowed
4.5
#62
6.8
#64
11.3
#60
3.5
#38
6.8
#87
10.3
#58

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
RICE +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
TULN7d
RICE7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 122 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.

Schedules, links & other games

Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week