Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Temple · Conference game
4-3 · Power #107
24
projected
@
2-5 · Power #104
28
projected
UAB 40%
60% TEM
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 52
Model line
TEM -3.5
TEM 60% to win
Pick this game
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Temple 60%
Projected UAB 24 – TEM 28 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
TEM -3.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 52
How the model gets there (points from TEM’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadTEM rating edge+0.6+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginTEM by 3.7
TotalScoring ratings51.9=Model total51.9

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
UAB−11.8 →−9.6▲ 2.2#107
TEM−7.3 →−9.4▼ 2.1#105
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

UAB
Longer bar = better
TEM
#106
Offense
TEM better ▶
#56
#61
Defense
◀ UAB better
#117
0.0 #72
Turnovers
Even
0.0 #74
67 plays #59
Pace
◀ UAB faster
59 plays #131
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When UAB has the ball
Even matchup
UAB offTEM defEdge
Points / game 23.3 #104 28.0 #108 Even
Yards / play 5.06 #120 6.17 #118 Even
PPA / play +0.04 #110 +0.21 #119 Even
Success rate 41% #88 46% #121 UAB
When TEM has the ball
Even matchup
TEM offUAB defEdge
Points / game 25.7 #90 24.6 #75 Even
Yards / play 6.57 #27 4.95 #33 Even
PPA / play +0.21 #42 +0.02 #40 Even
Success rate 43% #66 43% #96 TEM

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
UAB scoring against the TEM defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
UAB scored
2.9
#119
8.0
#87
10.9
#107
2.1
#133
8.4
#43
10.6
#101
TEM allowed
6.4
#107
4.9
#26
11.3
#56
6.4
#98
9.3
#127
15.7
#125
TEM scoring against the UAB defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
TEM scored
6.9
#55
7.3
#97
14.1
#82
3.9
#116
6.9
#68
10.7
#99
UAB allowed
7.0
#115
8.7
#98
15.7
#109
4.4
#58
4.4
#28
8.9
#34

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
TEM +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
UAB7d
TEM6d
UAB +1 day
Tempo
Slow 126 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.