Ohio @ Miami (OH): Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Miami (OH) · Conference game

Ohio

5-2 · Power #96

projected

Tue 7:00 PM ET

Miami (OH)

4-3 · Power #106

projected

OHIO 49%

51% M-OH

Spread

—

Total

—

model 49.5

Model line

Pick’em

M-OH 51% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OHIO WLLWW	4-3	57%	2-2	—
M-OH WWLLW	4-3	57%	3-1	—

Venue/role: OHIO away; M-OH home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OHIO OUUUO	4-3	57%	5-2
M-OH OUOUO	5-2	71%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OHIO	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
M-OH	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Ohio

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 17	vs BALL	L14–20LU
Nov 27	vs TOL	W24–7WU

Miami (OH)

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 17	@ KENT	W34–7LU
Nov 24	@ WMU	L13–23LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

OHIO 2–2 M-OH Series tied · 4 games since 2023 · OHIO has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 4 2025	Miami (OH) 20 @ Ohio 24	OHIO -2.5	OHIO W
Dec 7 2024	Ohio 38 @ Miami (OH) 3	M-OH -2.5	OHIO W
Oct 19 2024	Ohio 20 @ Miami (OH) 30	M-OH -3.5	M-OH W
Oct 28 2023	Miami (OH) 30 @ Ohio 16	OHIO -7.5	M-OH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OHIO−5.6 →−7.1▼ 1.5#96

M-OH−6.3 →−9.6▼ 3.3#106

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

OHIO

Longer bar = better

M-OH

#50

Offense

◀ OHIO better

#70

#74

Defense

Even

#85

−0.4 #99

Turnovers

M-OH better ▶

+0.4 #41

64 plays #94

Pace

◀ OHIO faster

57 plays #138

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: OHIO offense

	OHIO off	M-OH def	Edge
Points / game	30.4 #63	25.6 #86	OHIO
Yards / play	5.79 #76	5.83 #98	OHIO
PPA / play	+0.22 #37	+0.11 #82	OHIO
Success rate	48% #24	41% #72	OHIO

When M-OH has the ball

Even matchup

	M-OH off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	26.9 #84	22.1 #56	OHIO
Yards / play	6.33 #44	5.51 #76	M-OH
PPA / play	+0.18 #56	+0.14 #96	M-OH
Success rate	41% #94	41% #68	OHIO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

OHIO scoring against the M-OH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OHIO scored	6.9 #55	9.7 #53	16.6 #57	6.4 #61	6.7 #73	13.1 #74
M-OH allowed	8.0 #125	3.3 #12	11.3 #56	8.0 #119	6.3 #69	14.3 #114

M-OH scoring against the OHIO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
M-OH scored	7.0 #50	12.3 #20	19.3 #30	3.7 #121	3.9 #125	7.6 #132
OHIO allowed	4.0 #46	5.3 #31	9.3 #38	6.0 #87	6.4 #77	12.4 #86

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.