Louisiana @ UL Monroe: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 9:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at UL Monroe · Conference game

Louisiana

5-2 · Power #81

projected

Thu 9:00 PM ET

UL Monroe

0-6 · Power #137

projected

UL 91%

9% ULM

Spread

—

Total

—

model 52

Model line

UL -19

UL 91% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UL PWLWW	5-1-1	83%	3-0	—
ULM WLLLL	1-5	17%	0-3	—

Venue/role: UL away; ULM home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UL UUUOU	2-5	29%	5-2
ULM UOOOU	4-2	67%	0-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UL	7-3 70%	6-3-1 67%	4-6 40%
ULM	0-10 0%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Louisiana

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs CCU	W34–24WO
Nov 28	@ GAST	L17–20LU

UL Monroe

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ APP	L40–41WO
Nov 28	vs MRSH	L23–28WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

UL 25–16 ULM UL leads · 41 games since 1976 · UL has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	UL Monroe 27 @ Louisiana 30	UL -10.5	ULM W
Nov 30 2024	Louisiana 37 @ UL Monroe 23	UL -8.5	UL W
Nov 25 2023	UL Monroe 21 @ Louisiana 52	UL -12.5	UL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UL−10.9 →−3.0▲ 7.9#78

ULM−17.2 →−23.5▼ 6.3#137

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

Longer bar = better

ULM

#78

Offense

◀ UL better

#114

#42

Defense

◀ UL better

#135

+0.6 #32

Turnovers

◀ UL better

−0.8 #125

66 plays #71

Pace

◀ UL faster

64 plays #90

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UL has the ball

Advantage: UL offense

	UL off	ULM def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #68	41.2 #137	UL
Yards / play	5.70 #86	6.92 #136	UL
PPA / play	+0.12 #82	+0.28 #131	UL
Success rate	43% #75	49% #135	UL

When ULM has the ball

Advantage: UL defense

	ULM off	UL def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #122	19.3 #35	UL
Yards / play	5.30 #113	4.98 #38	UL
PPA / play	−0.06 #134	−0.03 #18	UL
Success rate	42% #87	42% #77	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UL scoring against the ULM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UL scored	4.9 #92	10.1 #50	15.0 #73	6.4 #61	8.6 #38	15.0 #40
ULM allowed	9.3 #134	14.2 #135	23.5 #137	8.7 #128	9.0 #123	17.7 #129

ULM scoring against the UL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ULM scored	3.5 #112	7.2 #99	10.7 #111	5.7 #83	3.7 #131	9.3 #121
UL allowed	1.0 #2	8.3 #84	9.3 #38	2.3 #16	7.7 #99	10.0 #51

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.