Marshall @ UL Monroe: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at UL Monroe · Conference game

Marshall

4-3 · Power #114

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

UL Monroe

0-6 · Power #137

projected

MRSH 74%

26% ULM

Spread

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Total

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model 56

Model line

MRSH -9

MRSH 74% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MRSH WLLLW	2-5	29%	1-2	—
ULM WLLLL	1-5	17%	0-3	—

Venue/role: MRSH away; ULM home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MRSH OOOUU	3-4	43%	4-3
ULM UOOOU	4-2	67%	0-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MRSH	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	3-7 30%
ULM	0-10 0%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Marshall

No more games this season.

UL Monroe

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

MRSH 1–0 ULM MRSH leads · 1 game since 2023 · MRSH has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 2 2024	UL Monroe 23 @ Marshall 28	MRSH -10.5	ULM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MRSH−5.9 →−12.3▼ 6.4#116

ULM−17.2 →−23.5▼ 6.3#137

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

MRSH

Longer bar = better

ULM

#78

Offense

◀ MRSH better

#114

#117

Defense

◀ MRSH better

#135

−1.1 #134

Turnovers

Even

−0.8 #125

69 plays #39

Pace

◀ MRSH faster

64 plays #90

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MRSH has the ball

Advantage: MRSH offense

	MRSH off	ULM def	Edge
Points / game	21.7 #108	41.2 #137	MRSH
Yards / play	5.69 #87	6.92 #136	MRSH
PPA / play	+0.15 #68	+0.28 #131	MRSH
Success rate	46% #47	49% #135	MRSH

When ULM has the ball

Even matchup

	ULM off	MRSH def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #122	30.7 #117	Even
Yards / play	5.30 #113	6.39 #126	Even
PPA / play	−0.06 #134	+0.25 #127	Even
Success rate	42% #87	44% #98	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

MRSH scoring against the ULM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MRSH scored	5.4 #87	5.7 #114	11.1 #104	3.9 #116	6.7 #73	10.6 #101
ULM allowed	9.3 #134	14.2 #135	23.5 #137	8.7 #128	9.0 #123	17.7 #129

ULM scoring against the MRSH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ULM scored	3.5 #112	7.2 #99	10.7 #111	5.7 #83	3.7 #131	9.3 #121
MRSH allowed	9.1 #132	8.7 #98	17.9 #123	8.0 #119	4.9 #39	12.9 #94

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.