Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Georgia Southern · Conference game

Louisiana Tech

4-2 · Power #83

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Georgia Southern

3-4 · Power #82

projected

LT 41%

59% GASO

Spread

—

Total

—

model 53

Model line

GASO -3

GASO 59% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LT WWWLW	5-1	83%	3-0	—
GASO LWWWW	6-1	86%	3-0	—

Venue/role: LT away; GASO home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LT OOOOU	5-1	83%	4-2
GASO OOOUU	3-4	43%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LT	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
GASO	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Louisiana Tech

No more games this season.

Georgia Southern

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LT−8.8 →−3.6▲ 5.2#83

GASO−8.8 →−3.4▲ 5.4#82

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

Longer bar = better

GASO

#63

Offense

Even

#73

#57

Defense

Even

#57

+1.0 #10

Turnovers

◀ LT better

+0.3 #58

65 plays #86

Pace

GASO faster ▶

68 plays #50

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LT has the ball

Even matchup

	LT off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	33.3 #43	23.0 #62	Even
Yards / play	6.05 #55	5.09 #49	Even
PPA / play	+0.15 #71	+0.07 #65	Even
Success rate	42% #84	39% #50	GASO

When GASO has the ball

Even matchup

	GASO off	LT def	Edge
Points / game	24.4 #95	24.5 #75	Even
Yards / play	5.82 #73	5.42 #69	Even
PPA / play	+0.15 #70	+0.04 #45	LT
Success rate	44% #55	38% #40	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

LT scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LT scored	5.8 #79	11.5 #27	17.3 #46	7.0 #43	9.0 #29	16.0 #33
GASO allowed	4.4 #59	6.6 #61	11.0 #54	5.0 #72	7.0 #89	12.0 #78

GASO scoring against the LT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	6.9 #55	9.1 #70	16.0 #59	3.4 #125	5.0 #114	8.4 #129
LT allowed	4.5 #62	3.8 #15	8.3 #26	7.5 #111	8.7 #121	16.2 #127

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.