Southern Miss @ Old Dominion: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Old Dominion · Conference game

Southern Miss

1-5 · Power #127

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Old Dominion

2-5 · Power #112

projected

USM 27%

73% ODU

Spread

—

Total

—

model 48

Model line

ODU -8.5

ODU 73% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
USM LLWLL	2-4	33%	1-2	—
ODU LLLWL	1-6	14%	0-4	—

Venue/role: USM away; ODU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
USM UOUOU	3-3	50%	1-5
ODU UOOUU	3-4	43%	2-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
USM	1-9 10%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
ODU	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Southern Miss

No more games this season.

Old Dominion

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

USM 0–1 ODU ODU leads · 1 game since 2023 · ODU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 7 2023	Old Dominion 17 @ Southern Miss 13	USM -3	ODU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

USM−8.2 →−16.0▼ 7.8#127

ODU+1.2 →−11.3▼ 12.5#112

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

USM

Longer bar = better

ODU

#93

Offense

◀ USM better

#136

#113

Defense

ODU better ▶

#44

−0.5 #107

Turnovers

Even

−0.4 #101

68 plays #52

Pace

◀ USM faster

63 plays #110

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When USM has the ball

Advantage: ODU defense

	USM off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	24.2 #97	26.9 #98	Even
Yards / play	5.79 #76	4.78 #23	ODU
PPA / play	+0.03 #111	−0.02 #22	ODU
Success rate	42% #86	38% #33	ODU

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: USM defense

	ODU off	USM def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #130	32.7 #126	Even
Yards / play	4.25 #138	6.00 #109	USM
PPA / play	−0.15 #138	+0.21 #118	Even
Success rate	31% #138	44% #97	USM

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

USM scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
USM scored	1.7 #135	8.8 #75	10.5 #113	9.2 #13	4.5 #121	13.7 #63
ODU allowed	8.9 #131	9.0 #102	17.9 #123	6.1 #92	2.9 #6	9.0 #36

ODU scoring against the USM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	3.9 #104	5.7 #114	9.6 #121	4.3 #111	3.9 #125	8.1 #131
USM allowed	10.7 #136	9.0 #102	19.7 #134	6.7 #100	6.3 #72	13.0 #96

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.