Old Dominion @ UConn: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 12 · at UConn

Old Dominion

2-5 · Power #112

projected

Sat 3:30 PM ET

UConn

4-3 · Power #91

projected

ODU 26%

74% CONN

Spread

—

Total

—

model 47.5

Model line

CONN -9

CONN 74% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ODU LLLWL	1-6	14%	1-2	—
CONN WLWWW	5-2	71%	3-1	—

Venue/role: ODU away; CONN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ODU UOOUU	3-4	43%	2-5
CONN OUOUU	3-4	43%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ODU	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	3-7 30%
CONN	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Old Dominion

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	vs USM	W17–13W

UConn

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ WYO	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ODU+1.2 →−11.3▼ 12.5#112

CONN−4.3 →−4.9▼ 0.6#91

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

ODU

Longer bar = better

CONN

#136

Offense

CONN better ▶

#37

#44

Defense

◀ ODU better

#80

−0.4 #101

Turnovers

CONN better ▶

0.0 #71

63 plays #110

Pace

CONN faster ▶

66 plays #75

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: CONN defense

	ODU off	CONN def	Edge
Points / game	17.7 #130	23.9 #72	CONN
Yards / play	4.25 #138	5.49 #76	CONN
PPA / play	−0.15 #138	+0.09 #71	CONN
Success rate	31% #138	44% #100	CONN

When CONN has the ball

Even matchup

	CONN off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	35.6 #31	26.9 #98	CONN
Yards / play	6.81 #16	4.78 #23	Even
PPA / play	+0.21 #44	−0.02 #22	ODU
Success rate	44% #56	38% #33	ODU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ODU scoring against the CONN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	3.9 #104	5.7 #114	9.6 #121	4.3 #111	3.9 #125	8.1 #131
CONN allowed	4.7 #72	7.3 #72	12.0 #70	5.4 #79	5.3 #45	10.7 #64

CONN scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CONN scored	12.0 #6	8.3 #82	20.3 #25	7.9 #28	6.4 #82	14.3 #53
ODU allowed	8.9 #131	9.0 #102	17.9 #123	6.1 #92	2.9 #6	9.0 #36

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.