Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 12 · at Louisiana · Conference game
CCU 18%82% UL
Spread
—
Total
—
model 50.5
Model line
UL -12.5
UL 82% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Louisiana 82%
Projected CCU 20 – UL 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
UL -12.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 50.5
How the model gets there (points from UL’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadUL rating edge+9.6+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginUL by 12.7
TotalScoring ratings50.5=Model total50.5
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 7-3 70% | 6-3-1 67% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
CCU 0–1 UL
UL leads · 1 game since 2023 · UL has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 2024 | Louisiana 34 @ Coastal Carolina 24 | UL -6.5 | UL W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CCU−12.9 →−12.1▲ 0.8#115
UL−10.9 →−3.0▲ 7.9#78
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11
Longer bar = better
#82
Offense
Even#77
#111
Defense
UL better ▶#42
+0.6 #32
Turnovers
Even+0.6 #31
65 plays #84
Pace
Even66 plays #71
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CCU off | UL def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 26.1 #88 | 19.3 #34 | UL |
| Yards / play | 5.91 #66 | 4.98 #38 | UL |
| PPA / play | +0.13 #75 | −0.03 #18 | UL |
| Success rate | 40% #97 | 42% #77 | Even |
| UL off | CCU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 30.0 #66 | 25.9 #92 | UL |
| Yards / play | 5.70 #85 | 6.27 #119 | UL |
| PPA / play | +0.12 #82 | +0.16 #106 | UL |
| Success rate | 43% #75 | 47% #126 | UL |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CCU scoring against the UL defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.9 #104 | 11.3 #32 | 15.1 #69 | 5.4 #87 | 5.6 #107 | 11.0 #95 | |
1.0 #2 | 8.3 #85 | 9.3 #37 | 2.3 #16 | 7.7 #99 | 10.0 #51 |
UL scoring against the CCU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.9 #93 | 10.1 #50 | 15.0 #72 | 6.4 #60 | 8.6 #38 | 15.0 #40 | |
6.9 #112 | 5.6 #36 | 12.4 #77 | 4.4 #59 | 9.0 #123 | 13.4 #101 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
CCU7d
UL8d
UL +1 day
Tempo
Average 131 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

