Louisiana @ Georgia State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 13 · at Georgia State · Conference game

Louisiana

5-2 · Power #81

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Georgia State

4-2 · Power #92

projected

UL 46%

54% GAST

Spread

—

Total

—

model 55.5

Model line

GAST -1.5

GAST 54% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UL PWLWW	5-1-1	83%	3-0	—
GAST WWWWL	5-1	83%	3-0	—

Venue/role: UL away; GAST home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UL UUUOU	2-5	29%	5-2
GAST UOUOO	4-2	67%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UL	7-3 70%	6-3-1 67%	4-6 40%
GAST	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Louisiana

No more games this season.

Georgia State

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

UL 0–1 GAST GAST leads · 1 game since 2023 · GAST has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 21 2023	Georgia State 20 @ Louisiana 17	UL -3	GAST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UL−10.9 →−3.0▲ 7.9#78

GAST−14.5 →−4.8▲ 9.7#89

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

Longer bar = better

GAST

#77

Offense

GAST better ▶

#27

#42

Defense

◀ UL better

#60

+0.6 #31

Turnovers

◀ UL better

−0.7 #115

66 plays #71

Pace

GAST faster ▶

69 plays #39

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UL has the ball

Even matchup

	UL off	GAST def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #66	24.0 #73	Even
Yards / play	5.70 #85	5.47 #73	Even
PPA / play	+0.12 #82	+0.05 #49	GAST
Success rate	43% #75	38% #43	GAST

When GAST has the ball

Even matchup

	GAST off	UL def	Edge
Points / game	36.5 #25	19.3 #34	Even
Yards / play	6.53 #30	4.98 #38	Even
PPA / play	+0.24 #27	−0.03 #18	Even
Success rate	48% #26	42% #77	GAST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UL scoring against the GAST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UL scored	4.9 #93	10.1 #50	15.0 #72	6.4 #60	8.6 #38	15.0 #40
GAST allowed	7.3 #118	6.3 #56	13.7 #95	6.0 #88	4.3 #24	10.3 #57

GAST scoring against the UL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GAST scored	9.2 #22	14.0 #8	23.2 #12	11.3 #6	2.0 #138	13.3 #67
UL allowed	1.0 #2	8.3 #85	9.3 #37	2.3 #16	7.7 #99	10.0 #51

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.