Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Kennesaw State · Conference game
FIU 51%49% KENN
Spread
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Total
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model 46
Model line
FIU -0.5
FIU 51% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Florida International 51%
Projected FIU 23 – KENN 23 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
FIU -0.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
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Model 46
How the model gets there (points from KENN’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadKENN rating edge−3.6+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginFIU by 0.5
TotalScoring ratings45.9=Model total45.9
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 5-4-1 56% | 5-5 50% | |
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
FIU 0–2 KENN
KENN leads · 2 games since 2024 · KENN has won the last 2 meetings
All-time series from CollegeFootballData.
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 2025 | Kennesaw State 45 @ Florida International 26 | KENN -2.5 | KENN W |
| Nov 23 2024 | Florida International 26 @ Kennesaw State 27 | FIU -8.5 | KENN W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
FIU−10.0 →−9.4▲ 0.6#105
KENN−10.4 →−12.6▼ 2.2#117
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11
Longer bar = better
#110
Offense
KENN better ▶#93
#28
Defense
◀ FIU better#97
−0.3 #91
Turnovers
Even0.0 #81
69 plays #36
Pace
◀ FIU faster66 plays #76
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| FIU off | KENN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.1 #119 | 25.0 #78 | KENN |
| Yards / play | 5.44 #103 | 5.80 #96 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.03 #114 | +0.15 #103 | Even |
| Success rate | 40% #105 | 45% #112 | Even |
| KENN off | FIU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.0 #123 | 16.3 #21 | FIU |
| Yards / play | 5.48 #99 | 4.86 #26 | FIU |
| PPA / play | +0.11 #87 | +0.01 #35 | FIU |
| Success rate | 43% #64 | 37% #30 | FIU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
FIU scoring against the KENN defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.1 #74 | 4.9 #124 | 11.0 #105 | 5.1 #92 | 4.0 #123 | 9.1 #122 | |
5.0 #75 | 6.9 #66 | 11.9 #67 | 7.6 #112 | 5.6 #53 | 13.1 #97 |
KENN scoring against the FIU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.0 #98 | 7.3 #96 | 11.3 #103 | 5.1 #92 | 3.6 #133 | 8.7 #127 | |
5.3 #83 | 3.0 #10 | 8.3 #24 | 4.4 #59 | 3.6 #14 | 8.0 #24 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
FIU7d
KENN7d
Even
Tempo
Average 135 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

