Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Kennesaw State · Conference game
3-4 · Power #105
23
projected
@
1-6 · Power #117
23
projected
FIU 51%
49% KENN
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 46
Model line
FIU -0.5
FIU 51% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Florida International 51%
Projected FIU 23 – KENN 23 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
FIU -0.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 46
How the model gets there (points from KENN’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadKENN rating edge−3.6+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginFIU by 0.5
TotalScoring ratings45.9=Model total45.9

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
FIU−10.0 →−9.4▲ 0.6#105
KENN−10.4 →−12.6▼ 2.2#117
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

FIU
Longer bar = better
KENN
#110
Offense
KENN better ▶
#93
#28
Defense
◀ FIU better
#97
−0.3 #91
Turnovers
Even
0.0 #81
69 plays #36
Pace
◀ FIU faster
66 plays #76
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When FIU has the ball
Even matchup
FIU offKENN defEdge
Points / game 20.1 #119 25.0 #78 KENN
Yards / play 5.44 #103 5.80 #96 Even
PPA / play +0.03 #114 +0.15 #103 Even
Success rate 40% #105 45% #112 Even
When KENN has the ball
Advantage: FIU defense
KENN offFIU defEdge
Points / game 20.0 #123 16.3 #21 FIU
Yards / play 5.48 #99 4.86 #26 FIU
PPA / play +0.11 #87 +0.01 #35 FIU
Success rate 43% #64 37% #30 FIU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
FIU scoring against the KENN defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
FIU scored
6.1
#74
4.9
#124
11.0
#105
5.1
#92
4.0
#123
9.1
#122
KENN allowed
5.0
#75
6.9
#66
11.9
#67
7.6
#112
5.6
#53
13.1
#97
KENN scoring against the FIU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
KENN scored
4.0
#98
7.3
#96
11.3
#103
5.1
#92
3.6
#133
8.7
#127
FIU allowed
5.3
#83
3.0
#10
8.3
#24
4.4
#59
3.6
#14
8.0
#24

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
KENN +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
FIU7d
KENN7d
Even
Tempo
Average 135 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.