Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Sam Houston · Conference game
1-6 · Power #117
24
projected
@
1-6 · Power #124
24
projected
KENN 50%
50% SHSU
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 48.5
Model line
Pick’em
KENN 50% to win
Pick this game
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Kennesaw State 50%
Projected KENN 24 – SHSU 24 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
Pick’em
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 48.5
How the model gets there (points from SHSU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadSHSU rating edge−3.2+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginKENN by 0.1
TotalScoring ratings48.6=Model total48.6

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
KENN−10.4 →−12.6▼ 2.2#117
SHSU−20.4 →−15.4▲ 5.0#124
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

KENN
Longer bar = better
SHSU
#93
Offense
◀ KENN better
#123
#97
Defense
SHSU better ▶
#63
0.0 #81
Turnovers
Even
+0.1 #68
66 plays #76
Pace
◀ KENN faster
64 plays #97
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When KENN has the ball
Advantage: SHSU defense
KENN offSHSU defEdge
Points / game 20.0 #123 25.3 #80 SHSU
Yards / play 5.48 #99 5.18 #54 SHSU
PPA / play +0.11 #87 +0.07 #62 SHSU
Success rate 43% #64 40% #54 Even
When SHSU has the ball
Advantage: KENN defense
SHSU offKENN defEdge
Points / game 20.1 #121 25.0 #78 KENN
Yards / play 5.15 #116 5.80 #96 Even
PPA / play −0.03 #126 +0.15 #103 KENN
Success rate 37% #127 45% #112 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
KENN scoring against the SHSU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
KENN scored
4.0
#98
7.3
#96
11.3
#103
5.1
#92
3.6
#133
8.7
#127
SHSU allowed
4.0
#46
7.9
#80
11.9
#67
8.0
#119
5.4
#48
13.4
#101
SHSU scoring against the KENN defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
SHSU scored
4.4
#94
8.3
#82
12.7
#93
4.4
#108
3.0
#136
7.4
#133
KENN allowed
5.0
#75
6.9
#66
11.9
#67
7.6
#112
5.6
#53
13.1
#97

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
SHSU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
KENN7d
SHSU7d
Even
Tempo
Average 129 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.