Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Sam Houston · Conference game
KENN 50%50% SHSU
Spread
—
Total
—
model 48.5
Model line
Pick’em
KENN 50% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Kennesaw State 50%
Projected KENN 24 – SHSU 24 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
Pick’em
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 48.5
How the model gets there (points from SHSU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadSHSU rating edge−3.2+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginKENN by 0.1
TotalScoring ratings48.6=Model total48.6
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | |
| 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
KENN 0–2 SHSU
SHSU leads · 2 games since 2023 · SHSU has won the last 2 meetings
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16 2024 | Sam Houston 23 @ Kennesaw State 17 | SHSU -20.5 | KENN W |
| Nov 4 2023 | Kennesaw State 21 @ Sam Houston 24 | SHSU -16.5 | KENN W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
KENN−10.4 →−12.6▼ 2.2#117
SHSU−20.4 →−15.4▲ 5.0#124
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10
Longer bar = better
#93
Offense
◀ KENN better#123
#97
Defense
SHSU better ▶#63
0.0 #81
Turnovers
Even+0.1 #68
66 plays #76
Pace
◀ KENN faster64 plays #97
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| KENN off | SHSU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.0 #123 | 25.3 #80 | SHSU |
| Yards / play | 5.48 #99 | 5.18 #54 | SHSU |
| PPA / play | +0.11 #87 | +0.07 #62 | SHSU |
| Success rate | 43% #64 | 40% #54 | Even |
| SHSU off | KENN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.1 #121 | 25.0 #78 | KENN |
| Yards / play | 5.15 #116 | 5.80 #96 | Even |
| PPA / play | −0.03 #126 | +0.15 #103 | KENN |
| Success rate | 37% #127 | 45% #112 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
KENN scoring against the SHSU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.0 #98 | 7.3 #96 | 11.3 #103 | 5.1 #92 | 3.6 #133 | 8.7 #127 | |
4.0 #46 | 7.9 #80 | 11.9 #67 | 8.0 #119 | 5.4 #48 | 13.4 #101 |
SHSU scoring against the KENN defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.4 #94 | 8.3 #82 | 12.7 #93 | 4.4 #108 | 3.0 #136 | 7.4 #133 | |
5.0 #75 | 6.9 #66 | 11.9 #67 | 7.6 #112 | 5.6 #53 | 13.1 #97 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
KENN7d
SHSU7d
Even
Tempo
Average 129 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

