Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ESTWeek 10 · at Jacksonville State · Conference game

Sam Houston

1-6 · Power #124

projected

Sat 7:00 PM ET

Jacksonville State

5-2 · Power #99

projected

SHSU 22%

78% JXST

Spread

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Total

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model 50

Model line

JXST -10.5

JXST 78% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SHSU WLLLL	3-4	43%	1-2	—
JXST LWWLP	3-3-1	50%	3-0-1	—

Venue/role: SHSU away; JXST home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SHSU OOUUO	3-4	43%	1-6
JXST OOUOO	5-2	71%	5-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SHSU	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
JXST	7-3 70%	5-4-1 56%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Sam Houston

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs KENN	W23–17LU
Nov 21	vs MTSU	L17–31LU
Nov 28	@ FIU	L16–56LO

Jacksonville State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ WKU	W37–34WO
Nov 21	vs MOST	No meeting since 2023
Nov 28	@ DEL	W38–25WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

SHSU 0–3 JXST JXST leads · 3 games since 2023 · JXST has won the last 3 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 9 2025	Jacksonville State 29 @ Sam Houston 27	JXST -7.5	SHSU W
Nov 23 2024	Sam Houston 11 @ Jacksonville State 21	JXST -5.5	JXST W
Sep 28 2023	Jacksonville State 35 @ Sam Houston 28	JXST -7	P

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SHSU−20.4 →−15.4▲ 5.0#124

JXST−8.9 →−8.2▲ 0.7#99

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

SHSU

Longer bar = better

JXST

#123

Offense

JXST better ▶

#55

#63

Defense

Even

#69

+0.1 #68

Turnovers

◀ SHSU better

−0.6 #110

64 plays #97

Pace

◀ SHSU faster

61 plays #118

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SHSU has the ball

Advantage: JXST defense

	SHSU off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	20.1 #121	22.7 #59	JXST
Yards / play	5.15 #116	5.29 #60	JXST
PPA / play	−0.03 #126	+0.10 #74	JXST
Success rate	37% #127	42% #84	JXST

When JXST has the ball

Even matchup

	JXST off	SHSU def	Edge
Points / game	27.3 #82	25.3 #80	Even
Yards / play	6.36 #42	5.18 #54	Even
PPA / play	+0.18 #59	+0.07 #62	Even
Success rate	47% #38	40% #54	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

SHSU scoring against the JXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SHSU scored	4.4 #94	8.3 #82	12.7 #93	4.4 #108	3.0 #136	7.4 #133
JXST allowed	2.9 #22	11.7 #126	14.6 #99	4.7 #70	2.7 #5	7.4 #17

JXST scoring against the SHSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JXST scored	6.4 #62	9.3 #63	15.7 #64	6.4 #60	4.7 #117	11.1 #94
SHSU allowed	4.0 #46	7.9 #80	11.9 #67	8.0 #119	5.4 #48	13.4 #101

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.