Boise State @ Colorado State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ESTWeek 10 · at Colorado State · Conference game

Kickoff forecast67°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Boise State

5-1 · Power #37

projected

Sat 6:00 PM ET

Colorado State

2-4 · Power #110

projected

BOIS 89%

11% CSU

Spread

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Total

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model 64.5

Model line

BOIS -17.5

BOIS 89% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BOIS WLWLL	3-3	50%	2-1	—
CSU WLWLL	3-3	50%	2-2	—

Venue/role: BOIS away; CSU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BOIS OOUOO	5-1	83%	5-1
CSU OOOOO	6-0	100%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BOIS	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
CSU	2-8 20%	4-5 44%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Boise State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs ORST	W34–18LU
Nov 21	vs SDSU	L7–17LU

Colorado State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ WSU	L3–20LU
Nov 21	@ FRES	W49–21WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

BOIS 13–1 CSU BOIS leads · 14 games since 2011 · BOIS has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2025	Colorado State 21 @ Boise State 49	BOIS -17.5	BOIS W
Oct 14 2023	Boise State 30 @ Colorado State 31	BOIS -7.5	CSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BOIS+2.1 →+8.6▲ 6.5#37

CSU−10.5 →−11.0▼ 0.5#111

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

BOIS

Longer bar = better

CSU

#28

Offense

Even

#31

#71

Defense

◀ BOIS better

#138

+0.5 #37

Turnovers

CSU better ▶

+1.6 #4

71 plays #23

Pace

Even

70 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BOIS has the ball

Advantage: BOIS offense

	BOIS off	CSU def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #37	43.2 #138	BOIS
Yards / play	6.36 #41	7.89 #138	BOIS
PPA / play	+0.33 #11	+0.35 #138	BOIS
Success rate	49% #21	55% #138	BOIS

When CSU has the ball

Advantage: CSU offense

	CSU off	BOIS def	Edge
Points / game	35.7 #29	22.3 #57	CSU
Yards / play	6.57 #26	6.80 #134	CSU
PPA / play	+0.28 #19	+0.07 #60	CSU
Success rate	45% #50	37% #31	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

BOIS scoring against the CSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BOIS scored	9.0 #28	11.5 #27	20.5 #23	6.7 #54	7.8 #53	14.5 #49
CSU allowed	14.5 #138	14.3 #136	28.8 #138	8.2 #123	6.2 #67	14.3 #115

CSU scoring against the BOIS defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CSU scored	8.7 #30	12.2 #23	20.8 #21	6.0 #70	8.8 #34	14.8 #45
BOIS allowed	4.5 #62	8.5 #91	13.0 #81	2.8 #28	6.5 #81	9.3 #41

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.