Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 10:30 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Washington State · Conference game
CSU 34%66% WSU
Spread
—
Total
—
model 57
Model line
WSU -6
WSU 66% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Washington State 66%
Projected CSU 26 – WSU 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
WSU -6
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 57
How the model gets there (points from WSU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWSU rating edge+2.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginWSU by 5.9
TotalScoring ratings57.2=Model total57.2
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 4-5 44% | 8-2 80% | |
| 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
CSU 0–2 WSU
WSU leads · 2 games since 2023 · WSU has won the last 2 meetings
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 2025 | Washington State 20 @ Colorado State 3 | CSU -6.5 | WSU W |
| Sep 2 2023 | Washington State 50 @ Colorado State 24 | WSU -9.5 | WSU W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CSU−10.5 →−11.0▼ 0.5#111
WSU+0.5 →−8.5▼ 9.0#100
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10
Longer bar = better
#31
Offense
◀ CSU better#129
#138
Defense
WSU better ▶#89
+1.6 #4
Turnovers
◀ CSU better−1.0 #132
70 plays #31
Pace
◀ CSU faster64 plays #100
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CSU off | WSU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 35.7 #29 | 27.1 #100 | CSU |
| Yards / play | 6.57 #26 | 5.85 #102 | CSU |
| PPA / play | +0.28 #19 | +0.11 #84 | CSU |
| Success rate | 45% #50 | 41% #71 | CSU |
| WSU off | CSU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.1 #120 | 43.2 #138 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.84 #132 | 7.89 #138 | Even |
| PPA / play | −0.04 #130 | +0.35 #138 | Even |
| Success rate | 34% #134 | 55% #138 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CSU scoring against the WSU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.7 #30 | 12.2 #23 | 20.8 #21 | 6.0 #70 | 8.8 #34 | 14.8 #45 | |
5.7 #92 | 6.3 #53 | 12.0 #70 | 5.4 #79 | 9.7 #129 | 15.1 #121 |
WSU scoring against the CSU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.9 #104 | 6.1 #111 | 10.0 #116 | 3.9 #116 | 6.3 #89 | 10.1 #108 | |
14.5 #138 | 14.3 #136 | 28.8 #138 | 8.2 #123 | 6.2 #67 | 14.3 #115 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
CSU7d
WSU14d bye
WSU +7 days
Tempo
Average 134 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

