Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 10:30 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Washington State · Conference game
2-4 · Power #110
26
projected
@
1-6 · Power #100
31
projected
CSU 34%
66% WSU
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 57
Model line
WSU -6
WSU 66% to win
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Washington State 66%
Projected CSU 26 – WSU 31 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
WSU -6
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 57
How the model gets there (points from WSU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadWSU rating edge+2.8+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginWSU by 5.9
TotalScoring ratings57.2=Model total57.2

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CSU−10.5 →−11.0▼ 0.5#111
WSU+0.5 →−8.5▼ 9.0#100
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

CSU
Longer bar = better
WSU
#31
Offense
◀ CSU better
#129
#138
Defense
WSU better ▶
#89
+1.6 #4
Turnovers
◀ CSU better
−1.0 #132
70 plays #31
Pace
◀ CSU faster
64 plays #100
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When CSU has the ball
Advantage: CSU offense
CSU offWSU defEdge
Points / game 35.7 #29 27.1 #100 CSU
Yards / play 6.57 #26 5.85 #102 CSU
PPA / play +0.28 #19 +0.11 #84 CSU
Success rate 45% #50 41% #71 CSU
When WSU has the ball
Even matchup
WSU offCSU defEdge
Points / game 20.1 #120 43.2 #138 Even
Yards / play 4.84 #132 7.89 #138 Even
PPA / play −0.04 #130 +0.35 #138 Even
Success rate 34% #134 55% #138 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CSU scoring against the WSU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
CSU scored
8.7
#30
12.2
#23
20.8
#21
6.0
#70
8.8
#34
14.8
#45
WSU allowed
5.7
#92
6.3
#53
12.0
#70
5.4
#79
9.7
#129
15.1
#121
WSU scoring against the CSU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WSU scored
3.9
#104
6.1
#111
10.0
#116
3.9
#116
6.3
#89
10.1
#108
CSU allowed
14.5
#138
14.3
#136
28.8
#138
8.2
#123
6.2
#67
14.3
#115

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
WSU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
CSU7d
WSU14d bye
WSU +7 days
Tempo
Average 134 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.