Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at San Diego State · Conference game
WSU 50%50% SDSU
Spread
—
Total
—
model 43
Model line
Pick’em
SDSU 50% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
San Diego State 50%
Projected WSU 21 – SDSU 22 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
Pick’em
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 43
How the model gets there (points from SDSU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadSDSU rating edge−2.3+Home field+2.5=Model marginSDSU by 0.2
TotalScoring ratings44.9+Wind 10 mph−2.0=Model total42.9
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | |
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 2 since 2023
WSU 2–0 SDSU
WSU leads · 2 games since 2023 · WSU has won the last 2 meetings
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6 2025 | San Diego State 13 @ Washington State 36 | WSU -2.5 | WSU W |
| Oct 26 2024 | Washington State 29 @ San Diego State 26 | WSU -17.5 | SDSU W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WSU+0.5 →−8.5▼ 9.0#100
SDSU−1.2 →−10.9▼ 9.7#110
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8
Longer bar = better
#129
Offense
Even#126
#89
Defense
◀ WSU better#109
−1.0 #132
Turnovers
SDSU better ▶−0.3 #90
64 plays #100
Pace
◀ WSU faster61 plays #121
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| WSU off | SDSU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 20.1 #120 | 33.3 #128 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.84 #132 | 5.70 #92 | SDSU |
| PPA / play | −0.04 #130 | +0.12 #88 | SDSU |
| Success rate | 34% #134 | 47% #127 | Even |
| SDSU off | WSU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 23.3 #103 | 27.1 #100 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.81 #133 | 5.85 #102 | WSU |
| PPA / play | −0.05 #131 | +0.11 #84 | WSU |
| Success rate | 34% #135 | 41% #71 | WSU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WSU scoring against the SDSU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.9 #104 | 6.1 #111 | 10.0 #116 | 3.9 #116 | 6.3 #89 | 10.1 #108 | |
6.7 #110 | 8.6 #94 | 15.3 #106 | 8.4 #125 | 9.6 #128 | 18.0 #131 |
SDSU scoring against the WSU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.3 #117 | 5.0 #122 | 8.3 #126 | 7.9 #28 | 7.1 #61 | 15.0 #40 | |
5.7 #92 | 6.3 #53 | 12.0 #70 | 5.4 #79 | 9.7 #129 | 15.1 #121 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
70° · 10 mph
Wind trims 2.0 pts off the total
Rest
WSU7d
SDSU7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 124 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

