Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at San Diego State · Conference game
Kickoff forecast70°F10 mphDryWeather watch ›
1-6 · Power #100
21
projected
@
3-4 · Power #108
22
projected
WSU 50%
50% SDSU
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 43
Model line
Pick’em
SDSU 50% to win
Pick this game
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Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
San Diego State 50%
Projected WSU 21 – SDSU 22 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
Pick’em
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 43
How the model gets there (points from SDSU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadSDSU rating edge−2.3+Home field+2.5=Model marginSDSU by 0.2
TotalScoring ratings44.9+Wind 10 mph−2.0=Model total42.9

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
WSU+0.5 →−8.5▼ 9.0#100
SDSU−1.2 →−10.9▼ 9.7#110
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

WSU
Longer bar = better
SDSU
#129
Offense
Even
#126
#89
Defense
◀ WSU better
#109
−1.0 #132
Turnovers
SDSU better ▶
−0.3 #90
64 plays #100
Pace
◀ WSU faster
61 plays #121
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When WSU has the ball
Even matchup
WSU offSDSU defEdge
Points / game 20.1 #120 33.3 #128 Even
Yards / play 4.84 #132 5.70 #92 SDSU
PPA / play −0.04 #130 +0.12 #88 SDSU
Success rate 34% #134 47% #127 Even
When SDSU has the ball
Advantage: WSU defense
SDSU offWSU defEdge
Points / game 23.3 #103 27.1 #100 Even
Yards / play 4.81 #133 5.85 #102 WSU
PPA / play −0.05 #131 +0.11 #84 WSU
Success rate 34% #135 41% #71 WSU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
WSU scoring against the SDSU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
WSU scored
3.9
#104
6.1
#111
10.0
#116
3.9
#116
6.3
#89
10.1
#108
SDSU allowed
6.7
#110
8.6
#94
15.3
#106
8.4
#125
9.6
#128
18.0
#131
SDSU scoring against the WSU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
SDSU scored
3.3
#117
5.0
#122
8.3
#126
7.9
#28
7.1
#61
15.0
#40
WSU allowed
5.7
#92
6.3
#53
12.0
#70
5.4
#79
9.7
#129
15.1
#121

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
SDSU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
70° · 10 mph
Wind trims 2.0 pts off the total
Rest
WSU7d
SDSU7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 124 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.