Boise State @ Washington State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Washington State · Conference game

Kickoff forecast56°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›

Boise State

5-1 · Power #37

projected

Sat 6:00 PM ET

Washington State

1-6 · Power #100

projected

BOIS 85%

15% WSU

Spread

BOIS -14.5

open BOIS -14

Total

53.5

model 52

Spread edge

BOIS by 1

no lean

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Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenBOIS -14

CurrentBOIS -14.5

Total50.5 → 53.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenBOIS -14

0.5 → BOIS

NowBOIS -14.5

0.5 pts toward Boise State

Total

Open50.5

▲ 3

Now53.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened BOIS -14 · now BOIS -13.5 · moved 0.5 toward WSUmodel BOIS -15.5

model BOIS -15.5

Openline modelNow

Line context

Road favorites of 13.5–15.5 since 2023: won 79%, covered 49% (81 games)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenBOIS -14

CurrentBOIS -14.5

Total50.5 → 53.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game preview · 1:13

Boise State at Washington State: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 10:15 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

On paper, this one looks like a mismatch. It’s Boise State at Washington State, Saturday at 6 PM Eastern. In our power ratings, Boise State sits 37th, Washington State 100th. That’s about 17 points better than Washington State on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Boise State has moved up from 58th to 37th, while Washington State has fallen from 69th to 100th. Kickoff forecast at Martin Stadium: 55 degrees, dry, wind 8 miles per hour. Boise State comes off a bye. Boise State has the better offense, 28th to 129th. On defense, Boise State ranks 71st and Washington State 89th. Boise State plays at the faster pace. Boise State games have gone over 5 of 6 times. Washington State is 4 and 1 against the spread as underdog. Our model projects Boise State 32, Washington State 18, with a 84 percent win chance. Boise State is favored by 13.5, down from 14 at the open, away from our model. The total opened at 50.5 and sits at 53.5. Our model makes it Boise State by 15.5, with a total near 50.5. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

More game previews ›

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	BOIS	WSU	Over	Under	BOIS	WSU
BetMGMMGM	-13-110	+13-108	53.5-108	53.5-110	-550	+425
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-13.5-104	+13.5-116	53-115	53-105	-560	+421
BetRiversBetRivers	-13-113	+13-110	53.5-113	53.5-110	-500	+360
BetUSBetUS	-13-115	+13-105	53-110	53-110	-550	+425
BovadaBovada	-13.5-105	+13.5-115	53.5-110	53.5-110	-575	+400
DraftKingsDK	-14.5-105	+14.5-115	53.5-108	53.5-112	-625	+455
FanDuelFD	-13.5-105	+13.5-115	53.5-106	53.5-114	-580	+420
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	-13.5+100	+13.5-112	53-114	53-103	-560	+421
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	-13-110	+13-110	53-110	53-110	-549	+390

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:32 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

3 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	BOIS	WSU	Over	Under
BetUSBetUS	-7.5+105	+7.5-125	26.5-109	26.5-111
DraftKingsDK	-6.5-122	+6.5+102	26.5-108	26.5-112
FanDuelFD	-7.5+104	+7.5-128	26.5-110	26.5-110

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Winner

BOIS

WSU

Bets98% 2%

Money98% 2%

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like BOIS as a 14.5-point road favorite at WSU, the favorite won 8, covered 3, and 5 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 86%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.1 against an average line of 14.6; 48.5 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 5 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	MD @ NU 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & spread	-14	27–33	L	O48.5
Very close	GT @ BC 2025 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & season form	-16.5	36–34	L	O61.5
Very close	FSU @ STAN 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & team ratings	-17.5	13–20	L	U55.5
Close	UNLV @ HAW 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-12.5	29–27	L	O50.5
Close	UTSA @ RICE 2026 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & season form	-11.5	16–14	L	U56.5
Close	PITT @ STAN 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar team ratings & spread	-13.5	35–20	W	O51.5
Close	TENN @ ARK 2026 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & spread	-13.5	24–17	L	U51.5
Close	ODU @ ULM 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar total & situation	-16.5	31–6	W	U55.5
Close	WAKE @ ODU 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-13.75	27–24	L	U60.5
Close	TROY @ USM 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar season form & situation	-17	35–17	W	O48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BOIS WLWLL	3-3	50%	2-1	2-3
WSU WWLWW	5-2	71%	2-1	4-1

Venue/role: BOIS away, as favorite; WSU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BOIS OOUOO	5-1	83%	5-1
WSU OOUUO	3-4	43%	1-6

In 1492 games with totals 49.5–57.5, 51% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BOIS	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
WSU	3-7 30%	8-2 80%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Boise State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 31	vs TXST	No meeting since 2023
Nov 7	@ CSU	W49–21WO
Nov 14	vs ORST	W34–18LU

Washington State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 31	@ SDSU	W36–13WO
Nov 14	vs CSU	W20–3WU
Nov 21	@ TXST	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

BOIS 2–5 WSU WSU leads · 7 games since 1997 · BOIS has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 28 2024	Washington State 24 @ Boise State 45	BOIS -6.5	BOIS W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BOIS+2.1 →+8.4▲ 6.3#37

WSU+0.5 →−8.4▼ 8.9#102

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

BOIS

Longer bar = better

WSU

#28

Offense

◀ BOIS better

#129

#71

Defense

◀ BOIS better

#89

+0.5 #37

Turnovers

◀ BOIS better

−1.0 #132

71 plays #23

Pace

◀ BOIS faster

64 plays #100

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BOIS has the ball

Advantage: BOIS offense

	BOIS off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #37	27.1 #100	BOIS
Yards / play	6.36 #41	5.85 #102	BOIS
PPA / play	+0.33 #11	+0.11 #84	BOIS
Success rate	49% #21	41% #71	BOIS

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: BOIS defense

	WSU off	BOIS def	Edge
Points / game	20.1 #120	22.3 #57	BOIS
Yards / play	4.84 #132	6.80 #134	Even
PPA / play	−0.04 #130	+0.07 #60	BOIS
Success rate	34% #134	37% #31	BOIS

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

BOIS scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BOIS scored	9.0 #28	11.5 #28	20.5 #23	6.7 #55	7.8 #53	14.5 #49
WSU allowed	5.7 #93	6.3 #53	12.0 #70	5.4 #79	9.7 #129	15.1 #121

WSU scoring against the BOIS defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	3.9 #104	6.1 #111	10.0 #116	3.9 #116	6.3 #88	10.1 #108
BOIS allowed	4.5 #62	8.5 #90	13.0 #80	2.8 #28	6.5 #81	9.3 #42

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.