Washington State @ Oregon State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 6:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Oregon State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff66°F8 mphDryWeather watch ›

Washington State

1-5 · Power #100

final

Final

Oregon State

4-2 · Power #48

▲ winner

Closing spread

ORST -18.5

✓ WSU W

Total

52.5

▲ Over · 78 pts

Model before kickoff

WSU 15–33 ORST

✓ ORST (90%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenORST -17.5

CloseORST -18.5

Total52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenORST -17.5

1 → ORST

CloseORST -18.5

1 pt toward Oregon State

Total

Open52.5

no move

Close52.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened ORST -17.5 · closed ORST -18.5 · moved 1 toward ORSTmodel ORST -16

model ORST -16

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 17.5–19.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 52% (125 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 52% (349 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenORST -17.5

CloseORST -18.5

Total52.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Prices

DraftKings · prices at kickoff

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	WSU	ORST	Over	Under	WSU	ORST
DraftKingsDK	+18.5-110	-18.5-110	52.5-105	52.5-115	+650	-1000

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed. One book so far. Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ORST as an 18.5-point home favorite against WSU, the favorite won 10, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.

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This game: ORST won 48–30; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 78 points went over 52.5, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

10 of 10100%

Normal range · usually 93%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 47%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 26.4 against an average line of 18.4; 58.6 points a game (usually 53.2). Of the 7 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UVA vs STAN 2025 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & spread	-16.5	48–20	W	O48.5
Very close	LIB vs MTSU 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & rest	-16	42–35	L	O56.5
Very close	BOIS vs USU 2026 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & rest	-19.5	37–18	L	O50.5
Very close	UNLV vs NEV 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & total	-17.5	38–14	W	U54.5
Very close	USA vs USM 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar spread & situation	-18.5	55–3	W	O51
Very close	ARIZ vs UTEP 2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & rest	-18.25	31–10	W	U57.25
Very close	MEM vs TLSA 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & rest	-21	45–7	W	U54.5
Very close	ODU vs CCU 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-18.5	47–7	W	O53.5
Close	ECU vs TLSA 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & total	-16.5	41–27	L	O54.5
Close	UNLV vs SDSU 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & total	-21.5	41–20	L	O55

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WSU LWWLW	4-2	67%	2-1	3-1
ORST WWWWW	6-0	100%	3-0	4-0

Venue/role: WSU away, as underdog; ORST home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
WSU UOOUU	2-4	33%	1-5
ORST OOUOO	5-1	83%	4-2

Went over in Q4. Of 797 earlier overs in games with totals 48.5–56.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WSU	4-6 40%	8-2 80%	3-7 30%
ORST	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

WSU 56–45 ORST (3 tied) WSU leads · 104 games since 1916 · ORST has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Oregon State 8 @ Washington State 32	WSU -14.5	WSU W
Nov 1 2025	Washington State 7 @ Oregon State 10	WSU -3.5	ORST W
Nov 23 2024	Washington State 38 @ Oregon State 41	WSU -10.5	ORST W
Sep 23 2023	Oregon State 35 @ Washington State 38	ORST -3	WSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

WSU+0.5 →−8.1▼ 8.6#100

ORST−8.0 →+4.0▲ 12.0#52

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

WSU

Longer bar = better

ORST

#132

Offense

ORST better ▶

#14

#70

Defense

ORST better ▶

#54

−1.0 #131

Turnovers

ORST better ▶

+0.8 #28

61 plays #118

Pace

ORST faster ▶

72 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When WSU has the ball

Advantage: ORST defense

	WSU off	ORST def	Edge
Points / game	18.5 #124	22.0 #59	ORST
Yards / play	4.64 #133	4.78 #30	ORST
PPA / play	−0.11 #136	+0.06 #58	ORST
Success rate	33% #135	40% #67	ORST

When ORST has the ball

Advantage: ORST offense

	ORST off	WSU def	Edge
Points / game	41.8 #11	23.7 #73	ORST
Yards / play	6.88 #15	5.49 #78	ORST
PPA / play	+0.31 #17	+0.06 #60	ORST
Success rate	51% #12	41% #70	ORST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

WSU scoring against the ORST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WSU scored	4.5 #95	5.5 #120	10.0 #117	3.5 #119	5.0 #113	8.5 #125
ORST allowed	2.7 #15	6.8 #60	9.5 #39	6.8 #102	5.7 #58	12.5 #89

ORST scoring against the WSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ORST scored	11.0 #13	12.7 #21	23.7 #10	10.3 #13	7.8 #52	18.2 #15
WSU allowed	3.8 #44	5.7 #37	9.5 #39	5.2 #79	9.0 #124	14.2 #110

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.