Georgia Southern @ Old Dominion: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Thu, Oct 15, 2026, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Old Dominion · Conference game

Weather at kickoff67°F7 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Georgia Southern

2-4 · Power #82

▲ winner

Final

Old Dominion

2-4 · Power #112

final

Closing spread

GASO -3

✓ GASO W

Total

44.5

▼ Under · 38 pts

Model before kickoff

GASO 25–22 ODU

✓ GASO (58%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenGASO -2.5

CloseGASO -3

Total49.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game recap · 1:17

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion: game recap

Made automatically from this game’s final numbers (Oct 20, 12:27 AM ET).

Transcript

Georgia Southern took it, 23 to 15, over Old Dominion. Here’s what decided it. Old Dominion struck first, a 12-play, 75-yard touchdown drive. Georgia Southern tied it at 7 in the first quarter. Georgia Southern went up 10 to 7 in the second quarter. Old Dominion’s touchdown with 11:13 left made it 23 to 15. First quarter, 2:57 left. Gibbs runs it in from 11 yards out. That lifted Georgia Southern’s win probability by 14 points. Second quarter, 3:00 left. A punt. Third quarter, 4:29 left. Helton finds Gibbs for an 11-yard touchdown. That lifted Georgia Southern’s win probability by 12 points. Georgia Southern out-gained Old Dominion 405 yards to 266. Georgia Southern won the turnover battle, 1 to 2. Georgia Southern was more efficient, with a 47 percent success rate. Before kickoff, our model had Georgia Southern winning 25 to 22. That pick was right. It projected 46.5 total points; they scored 38. Georgia Southern was favored by 3, and Georgia Southern covered by 5. With 38 points, the game went under the total of 44.5. In our power ratings, Georgia Southern climbs from 87th to 77th, and Old Dominion drops from 101st to 110th. Full recap at sportsanalysis.info

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenGASO -2.5

0.5 → GASO

CloseGASO -3

0.5 pts toward Georgia Southern

Total

Open49.5

▼ 5

Close44.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened GASO -2.5 · closed GASO -3 · moved 0.5 toward GASOmodel GASO -2

model GASO -2

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2–4 since 2023: won 60%, covered 50% (229 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 3The team the line moved toward covered 46% (26 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenGASO -2.5

CloseGASO -3

Total49.5 → 44.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GASO as a 3-point road favorite at ODU, the favorite won 8, covered 8, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: GASO won 23–15; the favorite covered, as in 8 of the 10 similar games. 38 points stayed under 44.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

8 of 1080%

Above normal · usually 48%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

Covers above normal. Splits like this often fade, so treat it as context, not a pick. Average result: favorite by 13.6 against an average line of 3; 49.2 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	AFA @ CSU 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	42–21	W	O47.5
Very close	NIU @ AKR 2023 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-4	55–14	W	O42.5
Very close	WAKE @ ORST 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar total & situation	-1.5	39–14	W	O47.5
Close	JXST @ UTEP 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & situation	-1.5	30–27	W	O46.5
Close	FRES @ ASU 2023 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & rest	-3.75	29–0	W	U48
Close	UAB @ NAVY 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar team ratings & situation	-3.5	6–31	L	U52
Close	LIB @ FIU 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	27–34	L	O51.5
Close	LT @ UTEP 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & season form	-1	24–10	W	U50.5
Close	CSU @ AFA 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & season form	-6	21–13	W	U44
Close	FRES @ SJSU 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar spread & season form	-3.5	41–14	W	O45.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GASO WLWWW	5-1	83%	2-1	2-0
ODU LLLLW	1-5	17%	0-3	1-3

Venue/role: GASO away, as favorite; ODU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GASO UOOOU	3-3	50%	2-4
ODU OUOOU	3-3	50%	2-4

Stayed under: it needed 15 in the 4th quarter and got 8. 54% of games with totals 40.5–48.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GASO	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	4-6 40%
ODU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

GASO 0–3 ODU ODU leads · 3 games since 2023 · ODU has won the last 3 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2025	Old Dominion 45 @ Georgia Southern 10	ODU -10.5	ODU W
Oct 24 2024	Georgia Southern 19 @ Old Dominion 47	GASO -0.5	ODU W
Nov 18 2023	Old Dominion 20 @ Georgia Southern 17	GASO -5.5	ODU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GASO−8.8 →−5.2▲ 3.6#86

ODU+1.2 →−9.3▼ 10.5#106

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

GASO

Longer bar = better

ODU

#75

Offense

◀ GASO better

#135

#71

Defense

ODU better ▶

#41

+0.2 #65

Turnovers

◀ GASO better

−0.3 #95

67 plays #60

Pace

◀ GASO faster

64 plays #99

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GASO has the ball

Advantage: ODU defense

	GASO off	ODU def	Edge
Points / game	24.7 #96	27.5 #102	Even
Yards / play	5.91 #72	4.68 #23	ODU
PPA / play	+0.15 #69	−0.06 #15	ODU
Success rate	44% #64	36% #23	ODU

When ODU has the ball

Advantage: GASO defense

	ODU off	GASO def	Edge
Points / game	18.2 #126	24.3 #76	GASO
Yards / play	4.18 #138	5.14 #57	GASO
PPA / play	−0.14 #137	+0.12 #86	GASO
Success rate	31% #138	40% #65	GASO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

GASO scoring against the ODU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GASO scored	6.8 #60	9.2 #67	16.0 #62	2.8 #126	5.8 #98	8.7 #123
ODU allowed	9.2 #130	9.0 #101	18.2 #124	6.0 #90	3.3 #15	9.3 #47

ODU scoring against the GASO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ODU scored	3.3 #112	6.7 #102	10.0 #115	5.0 #91	3.2 #134	8.2 #128
GASO allowed	4.0 #53	7.7 #78	11.7 #68	5.8 #88	6.8 #84	12.7 #93

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.