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DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET
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DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech: game preview
Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 10:12 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.
Transcript
The market has moved toward Louisiana Tech. Here is why that matters. It’s Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech, Saturday at 5 PM Eastern. In our power ratings, Louisiana Tech sits 83rd, Old Dominion 112th. That’s about 7 points better than Old Dominion on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Old Dominion has dropped from 63rd to 112th, while Louisiana Tech has climbed from 98th to 83rd. Kickoff forecast at Joe Aillet Stadium: 84 degrees, dry, wind 9 miles per hour. Louisiana Tech has the better offense, 63rd to 136th. Old Dominion has the better defense, 44th to 57th. Old Dominion is 1 and 6 against the spread this season. Louisiana Tech is 5 and 1 against the spread this season. The model has Louisiana Tech winning 27 to 14, a 82 percent chance. Louisiana Tech is favored by 13.5, up from 8.5 at the open, toward our model. The total opened at 44.5 and sits at 45.5. Our model makes it Louisiana Tech by 11, with a total near 41.5. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview
Books
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | Under | |||||
| BetMGMMGM | +13.5-108 | -13.5-110 | 45.5-108 | 45.5-120 | +400 | -500 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | +12.5+105 | -12.5-125 | 45.5+100 | 45.5-120 | +390 | -510 |
| BetRiversBetRivers | +13.5-110 | -13.5-113 | 45.5-115 | 45.5-108 | +420 | -625 |
| BetUSBetUS | +13.5-110 | -13.5-110 | 45-110 | 45-110 | +425 | -550 |
| BovadaBovada | +13.5-105 | -13.5-115 | 45-115 | 45-105 | +400 | -575 |
| DraftKingsDK | +13.5-105 | -13.5-115 | 45.5-105 | 45.5-115 | +400 | -535 |
| FanDuelFD | +13.5-110 | -13.5-110 | 45.5-104 | 45.5-118 | +440 | -610 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | +12.5+109 | -12.5-122 | 45.5+102 | 45.5-119 | +390 | -510 |
| MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag | +14-110 | -14-110 | 45-110 | 45-110 | +443 | -636 |
1st-half prices
| Book | Spread | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | Under | |||
| BetUSBetUS | +6.5+103 | -6.5-123 | 23.5-107 | 23.5-113 |
| DraftKingsDK | +6.5-102 | -6.5-118 | 23.5-108 | 23.5-112 |
| FanDuelFD | +6.5+104 | -6.5-128 | 23.5-106 | 23.5-114 |
Public betting
Similar games
In the 10 games most like
LT as a 13.5-point home favorite against ODU, the favorite won 10, covered 7, and 2 went over the total.
Customize filters
All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 18.9 against an average line of 13.5; 47.5 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›
All 10 games
| Match | Game | Line | Final | Covered | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very close |
2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & season form |
-14 | 49–21 | W | O48.5 |
| Very close |
2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & rest |
-14 | 24–22 | L | U49.5 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & rest |
-16.5 | 24–13 | L | U48.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 8 · close · similar season form & situation |
-13 | 24–14 | L | U53 |
| Close |
2025 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & team ratings |
-12.5 | 33–20 | W | P53 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest |
-12.5 | 37–7 | W | U48.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 4 · close · similar total & rest |
-15 | 31–11 | W | U44.5 |
| Close |
2025 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & season form |
-14 | 32–8 | W | U42.5 |
| Close |
2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation |
-13 | 44–7 | W | P51 |
| Close |
2023 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation |
-10.5 | 34–20 | W | O48.5 |
Model view
Signals
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Totals
Last 10 games
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | |
| 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Matchup stats
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| ODU off | LT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 17.7 #130 | 24.5 #74 | LT |
| Yards / play | 4.25 #138 | 5.42 #69 | LT |
| PPA / play | −0.15 #138 | +0.04 #45 | LT |
| Success rate | 31% #138 | 38% #40 | LT |
| LT off | ODU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 33.3 #43 | 26.9 #98 | LT |
| Yards / play | 6.05 #55 | 4.78 #24 | ODU |
| PPA / play | +0.15 #71 | −0.02 #22 | ODU |
| Success rate | 42% #84 | 38% #33 | ODU |
Points by quarter and half
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.9 #104 | 5.7 #114 | 9.6 #121 | 4.3 #111 | 3.9 #125 | 8.1 #131 | |
4.5 #62 | 3.8 #16 | 8.3 #27 | 7.5 #111 | 8.7 #121 | 16.2 #127 |
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.8 #79 | 11.5 #28 | 17.3 #46 | 7.0 #43 | 9.0 #29 | 16.0 #33 | |
8.9 #131 | 9.0 #102 | 17.9 #123 | 6.1 #91 | 2.9 #7 | 9.0 #36 |

