Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 5:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Louisiana Tech · Conference game
Kickoff forecast85°F10 mphDryWeather watch ›
2-5 · Power #112
14
projected
@
4-2 · Power #83
27
projected
ODU 18%
82% LT
Spread
LT -13.5
open LT -8.5
Total
45.5
model 41.5
Spread edge
ODU by 2.5
no lean
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
1H spread
1H total
DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET
SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed
OpenLT -8.5
CurrentLT -13.5
Total44.5 → 45.5
Last update7:32 PM ET
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current
Spread
5 pts toward Louisiana Tech
Total
Up 1 since the open
Line movement
Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot
Opened LT -8.5 · now LT -13.5 · moved 5 toward LTmodel LT -11
Opened 44.5 · now 45.5 · moved 1 upmodel 41.5
Openline modelNow
Line context
Home favorites of 12.5–14.5 since 2023: won 87%, covered 55% (159 games)ⓘ
Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (227 games since 2024)ⓘ
DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET
SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed
OpenLT -8.5
CurrentLT -13.5
Total44.5 → 45.5
Last update7:32 PM ET
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Game preview · 1:09

Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 10:12 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

The market has moved toward Louisiana Tech. Here is why that matters. It’s Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech, Saturday at 5 PM Eastern. In our power ratings, Louisiana Tech sits 83rd, Old Dominion 112th. That’s about 7 points better than Old Dominion on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Old Dominion has dropped from 63rd to 112th, while Louisiana Tech has climbed from 98th to 83rd. Kickoff forecast at Joe Aillet Stadium: 84 degrees, dry, wind 9 miles per hour. Louisiana Tech has the better offense, 63rd to 136th. Old Dominion has the better defense, 44th to 57th. Old Dominion is 1 and 6 against the spread this season. Louisiana Tech is 5 and 1 against the spread this season. The model has Louisiana Tech winning 27 to 14, a 82 percent chance. Louisiana Tech is favored by 13.5, up from 8.5 at the open, toward our model. The total opened at 44.5 and sits at 45.5. Our model makes it Louisiana Tech by 11, with a total near 41.5. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
ODULTOverUnderODULT
BetMGMMGM+13.5-108-13.5-11045.5-10845.5-120+400-500
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag+12.5+105-12.5-12545.5+10045.5-120+390-510
BetRiversBetRivers+13.5-110-13.5-11345.5-11545.5-108+420-625
BetUSBetUS+13.5-110-13.5-11045-11045-110+425-550
BovadaBovada+13.5-105-13.5-11545-11545-105+400-575
DraftKingsDK+13.5-105-13.5-11545.5-10545.5-115+400-535
FanDuelFD+13.5-110-13.5-11045.5-10445.5-118+440-610
LowVig.agLowVig.ag+12.5+109-12.5-12245.5+10245.5-119+390-510
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag+14-110-14-11045-11045-110+443-636

1st-half prices

3 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotal
ODULTOverUnder
BetUSBetUS+6.5+103-6.5-12323.5-10723.5-113
DraftKingsDK+6.5-102-6.5-11823.5-10823.5-112
FanDuelFD+6.5+104-6.5-12823.5-10623.5-114

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
Winner
ODULT
Bets4% 96%
Money78% 22%
Money is 74 pts ahead of bets on ODU

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like LT as a 13.5-point home favorite against ODU, the favorite won 10, covered 7, and 2 went over the total.

Compare by
Customize filters
Only include
Show up to
games
Favorite won
10 of 10100%
Normal range · usually 82%
Favorite covered
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 49%
Went over
2 of 825%
Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 18.9 against an average line of 13.5; 47.5 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 2 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & season form
-1449–21 W O48.5
Very close
2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & rest
-1424–22 L U49.5
Close
2023 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & rest
-16.524–13 L U48.5
Close
2024 · Week 8 · close · similar season form & situation
-1324–14 L U53
Close
2025 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & team ratings
-12.533–20 W P53
Close
2023 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & rest
-12.537–7 W U48.5
Close
2024 · Week 4 · close · similar total & rest
-1531–11 W U44.5
Close
2025 · Week 14 · close · similar situation & season form
-1432–8 W U42.5
Close
2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation
-1344–7 W P51
Close
2023 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & situation
-10.534–20 W O48.5
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Louisiana Tech 82%
Projected ODU 14 – LT 27 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
LT -11
Market LT -13.5
Against the spread
No lean
Below the 3-point lean threshold.
Total
No lean
Model 41.5 · Below the 5-point lean threshold.
How the model gets there (points from LT’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadLT rating edge+8.0+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.7=Model marginLT by 11.2
TotalScoring ratings43.3+Wind 10 mph−2.0=Model total41.3

Signals

The data signal, and 5 trends and market moves behind it
Strong Louisiana Tech ATS trend
Strong-or-stronger ATS leans went 52-45 (54%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Old Dominion ATS struggles (1-6)
Old Dominion have covered only 14% of their games with a line this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 262-295 (47%)
Old Dominion 1-4 ATS as an underdog
Struggling to cover in the role they have in this game. · Backtest 2023–26: 221-216 (51%)
Louisiana Tech ATS trend (5-1)
Louisiana Tech have covered 83% of their games with a line this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 338-337 (50%)
Louisiana Tech 3-1 ATS as a favorite
Covering consistently in the role they have in this game. · Backtest 2023–26: 271-262 (51%)
Market moved toward Louisiana Tech
5 pts (LT -8.5 → LT -13.5). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
ODU+1.2 →−11.1▼ 12.3#111
LT−8.8 →−3.8▲ 5.0#83
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

ODU
Longer bar = better
LT
#136
Offense
LT better ▶
#63
#44
Defense
Even
#57
−0.4 #101
Turnovers
LT better ▶
+1.0 #11
63 plays #110
Pace
LT faster ▶
65 plays #86
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When ODU has the ball
Advantage: LT defense
ODU offLT defEdge
Points / game 17.7 #130 24.5 #74 LT
Yards / play 4.25 #138 5.42 #69 LT
PPA / play −0.15 #138 +0.04 #45 LT
Success rate 31% #138 38% #40 LT
When LT has the ball
Even matchup
LT offODU defEdge
Points / game 33.3 #43 26.9 #98 LT
Yards / play 6.05 #55 4.78 #24 ODU
PPA / play +0.15 #71 −0.02 #22 ODU
Success rate 42% #84 38% #33 ODU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
ODU scoring against the LT defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
ODU scored
3.9
#104
5.7
#114
9.6
#121
4.3
#111
3.9
#125
8.1
#131
LT allowed
4.5
#62
3.8
#16
8.3
#27
7.5
#111
8.7
#121
16.2
#127
LT scoring against the ODU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
LT scored
5.8
#79
11.5
#28
17.3
#46
7.0
#43
9.0
#29
16.0
#33
ODU allowed
8.9
#131
9.0
#102
17.9
#123
6.1
#91
2.9
#7
9.0
#36

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
LT +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
85° · 10 mph
Wind trims 2.0 pts off the total
Rest
ODU9d
LT7d
ODU +2 days
Tempo
Slow 127 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.