Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Old Dominion · Conference game
MRSH 40%60% ODU
Spread
—
Total
—
model 43.5
Model line
ODU -3.5
ODU 60% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Old Dominion 60%
Projected MRSH 20 – ODU 24 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
ODU -3.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 43.5
How the model gets there (points from ODU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadODU rating edge+1.1+Home field+2.5=Model marginODU by 3.6
TotalScoring ratings46.5+Wind 12 mph−2.8=Model total43.7
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | |
| 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 3 since 2023
MRSH 3–0 ODU
MRSH leads · 3 games since 2023 · MRSH has won the last 3 meetings
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 2025 | Old Dominion 24 @ Marshall 48 | ODU -14.5 | MRSH W |
| Nov 23 2024 | Marshall 42 @ Old Dominion 35 | ODU -2.5 | MRSH W |
| Sep 30 2023 | Old Dominion 35 @ Marshall 41 | MRSH -14.5 | ODU W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
MRSH−5.9 →−12.3▼ 6.4#116
ODU+1.2 →−11.3▼ 12.5#112
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8
Longer bar = better
#78
Offense
◀ MRSH better#136
#117
Defense
ODU better ▶#44
−1.1 #134
Turnovers
ODU better ▶−0.4 #101
69 plays #39
Pace
◀ MRSH faster63 plays #110
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| MRSH off | ODU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 21.7 #108 | 26.9 #98 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.69 #87 | 4.78 #24 | ODU |
| PPA / play | +0.15 #68 | −0.02 #22 | ODU |
| Success rate | 46% #47 | 38% #33 | Even |
| ODU off | MRSH def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 17.7 #130 | 30.7 #117 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.25 #138 | 6.39 #126 | Even |
| PPA / play | −0.15 #138 | +0.25 #127 | Even |
| Success rate | 31% #138 | 44% #98 | MRSH |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
MRSH scoring against the ODU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.4 #87 | 5.7 #114 | 11.1 #104 | 3.9 #116 | 6.7 #73 | 10.6 #101 | |
8.9 #131 | 9.0 #102 | 17.9 #123 | 6.1 #91 | 2.9 #7 | 9.0 #36 |
ODU scoring against the MRSH defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.9 #104 | 5.7 #114 | 9.6 #121 | 4.3 #111 | 3.9 #125 | 8.1 #131 | |
9.1 #132 | 8.7 #98 | 17.9 #123 | 8.0 #119 | 4.9 #39 | 12.9 #94 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
67° · 12 mph
Wind trims 2.8 pts off the total
Rest
MRSH11d
ODU7d
MRSH +4 days
Tempo
Average 132 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

