Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Old Dominion · Conference game
Kickoff forecast67°F12 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›
4-3 · Power #114
20
projected
@
2-5 · Power #112
24
projected
MRSH 40%
60% ODU
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 43.5
Model line
ODU -3.5
ODU 60% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Old Dominion 60%
Projected MRSH 20 – ODU 24 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
ODU -3.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 43.5
How the model gets there (points from ODU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadODU rating edge+1.1+Home field+2.5=Model marginODU by 3.6
TotalScoring ratings46.5+Wind 12 mph−2.8=Model total43.7

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
MRSH−5.9 →−12.3▼ 6.4#116
ODU+1.2 →−11.3▼ 12.5#112
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

MRSH
Longer bar = better
ODU
#78
Offense
◀ MRSH better
#136
#117
Defense
ODU better ▶
#44
−1.1 #134
Turnovers
ODU better ▶
−0.4 #101
69 plays #39
Pace
◀ MRSH faster
63 plays #110
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When MRSH has the ball
Advantage: ODU defense
MRSH offODU defEdge
Points / game 21.7 #108 26.9 #98 Even
Yards / play 5.69 #87 4.78 #24 ODU
PPA / play +0.15 #68 −0.02 #22 ODU
Success rate 46% #47 38% #33 Even
When ODU has the ball
Even matchup
ODU offMRSH defEdge
Points / game 17.7 #130 30.7 #117 Even
Yards / play 4.25 #138 6.39 #126 Even
PPA / play −0.15 #138 +0.25 #127 Even
Success rate 31% #138 44% #98 MRSH

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
MRSH scoring against the ODU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
MRSH scored
5.4
#87
5.7
#114
11.1
#104
3.9
#116
6.7
#73
10.6
#101
ODU allowed
8.9
#131
9.0
#102
17.9
#123
6.1
#91
2.9
#7
9.0
#36
ODU scoring against the MRSH defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
ODU scored
3.9
#104
5.7
#114
9.6
#121
4.3
#111
3.9
#125
8.1
#131
MRSH allowed
9.1
#132
8.7
#98
17.9
#123
8.0
#119
4.9
#39
12.9
#94

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
ODU +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
67° · 12 mph
Wind trims 2.8 pts off the total
Rest
MRSH11d
ODU7d
MRSH +4 days
Tempo
Average 132 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.