Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at New Mexico State · Conference game

Jacksonville State

5-2 · Power #99

projected

Wed 8:00 PM ET

New Mexico State

3-4 · Power #119

projected

JXST 52%

48% NMSU

Spread

—

Total

—

model 49.5

Model line

JXST -0.5

JXST 52% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

Prices

FanDuel · current prices

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	JXST	NMSU	Over	Under	JXST	NMSU
FanDuelFD	-2.5-122	+2.5+100	49.5-110	49.5-110	-146	+122

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API. One book so far. Prices vary by state; check your book.

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JXST LWWLP	3-3-1	50%	0-3	—
NMSU LLWLW	4-3	57%	2-1	—

Venue/role: JXST away; NMSU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JXST OOUOO	5-2	71%	5-2
NMSU UOUUO	3-4	43%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JXST	7-3 70%	5-4-1 56%	6-4 60%
NMSU	4-6 40%	6-3 67%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Jacksonville State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs SHSU	W29–27LO
Nov 14	@ WKU	W37–34WO
Nov 21	vs MOST	No meeting since 2023

New Mexico State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs LIB	L27–30WO
Nov 14	@ MOST	L17–24LU
Nov 21	vs DEL	No meeting since 2023

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

JXST 1–1 NMSU Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · JXST has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 9 2024	New Mexico State 13 @ Jacksonville State 54	JXST -21.5	JXST W
Nov 25 2023	Jacksonville State 17 @ New Mexico State 20	JXST -2.5	NMSU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JXST−8.9 →−8.2▲ 0.7#99

NMSU−18.2 →−13.2▲ 5.0#118

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

JXST

Longer bar = better

NMSU

#55

Offense

◀ JXST better

#105

#69

Defense

Even

#57

−0.6 #110

Turnovers

Even

−0.7 #120

61 plays #118

Pace

NMSU faster ▶

65 plays #81

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JXST has the ball

Even matchup

	JXST off	NMSU def	Edge
Points / game	27.3 #82	25.4 #81	Even
Yards / play	6.36 #42	5.11 #50	Even
PPA / play	+0.18 #59	+0.05 #50	Even
Success rate	47% #38	39% #48	Even

When NMSU has the ball

Advantage: JXST defense

	NMSU off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	24.6 #93	22.7 #59	JXST
Yards / play	5.72 #83	5.29 #60	JXST
PPA / play	−0.04 #128	+0.10 #74	JXST
Success rate	39% #115	42% #84	JXST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

JXST scoring against the NMSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JXST scored	6.4 #62	9.3 #63	15.7 #64	6.4 #60	4.7 #117	11.1 #94
NMSU allowed	7.1 #116	5.7 #41	12.9 #80	7.3 #108	5.3 #45	12.6 #89

NMSU scoring against the JXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NMSU scored	2.7 #122	9.1 #70	11.9 #101	5.6 #85	7.1 #61	12.7 #82
JXST allowed	2.9 #22	11.7 #126	14.6 #99	4.7 #70	2.7 #5	7.4 #17

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.