Florida International @ Liberty: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Liberty · Conference game

Florida International

3-4 · Power #105

projected

Sat 3:30 PM ET

Liberty

6-1 · Power #67

projected

FIU 16%

84% LIB

Spread

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Total

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model 44.5

Model line

LIB -14

LIB 84% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FIU LLWPL	3-3-1	50%	1-1-1	—
LIB WWWWW	5-2	71%	2-1	—

Venue/role: FIU away; LIB home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FIU UUUOO	3-4	43%	3-4
LIB OOUUU	2-5	29%	6-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FIU	5-5 50%	5-4-1 56%	5-5 50%
LIB	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Florida International

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs MOST	L21–28LU
Nov 14	@ DEL	L16–38LU
Nov 21	@ KENN	L26–45LO

Liberty

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ NMSU	W30–27LO
Nov 14	vs MTSU	W37–17WU
Nov 21	vs WKU	W38–21WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

FIU 1–3 LIB LIB leads · 4 games since 2020 · FIU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 15 2025	Liberty 27 @ Florida International 34	LIB -4.5	FIU W
Oct 8 2024	Florida International 24 @ Liberty 31	LIB -15.5	FIU W
Sep 23 2023	Liberty 38 @ Florida International 6	LIB -10	LIB W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FIU−10.0 →−9.4▲ 0.6#105

LIB−8.8 →+1.1▲ 9.9#64

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

FIU

Longer bar = better

LIB

#110

Offense

LIB better ▶

#42

#28

Defense

LIB better ▶

#13

−0.3 #91

Turnovers

LIB better ▶

+0.7 #20

69 plays #36

Pace

◀ FIU faster

64 plays #99

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FIU has the ball

Advantage: LIB defense

	FIU off	LIB def	Edge
Points / game	20.1 #119	14.0 #8	LIB
Yards / play	5.44 #103	4.77 #22	LIB
PPA / play	+0.03 #114	−0.04 #17	LIB
Success rate	40% #105	33% #4	LIB

When LIB has the ball

Even matchup

	LIB off	FIU def	Edge
Points / game	31.6 #54	16.3 #21	FIU
Yards / play	6.51 #35	4.86 #26	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #55	+0.01 #35	Even
Success rate	49% #22	37% #30	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

FIU scoring against the LIB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FIU scored	6.1 #74	4.9 #124	11.0 #105	5.1 #92	4.0 #123	9.1 #122
LIB allowed	3.3 #34	6.3 #53	9.6 #40	2.0 #11	2.4 #4	4.4 #3

LIB scoring against the FIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LIB scored	9.1 #26	5.7 #114	14.9 #74	6.3 #66	10.4 #10	16.7 #25
FIU allowed	5.3 #83	3.0 #10	8.3 #24	4.4 #59	3.6 #14	8.0 #24

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.