Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 11 · at Western Kentucky · Conference game

Jacksonville State

5-2 · Power #99

projected

Sat 3:30 PM ET

Western Kentucky

3-4 · Power #115

projected

JXST 55%

45% WKU

Spread

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Total

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model 52.5

Model line

JXST -1.5

JXST 55% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JXST LWWLP	3-3-1	50%	0-3	—
WKU WWLWW	4-3	57%	2-0	—

Venue/role: JXST away; WKU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
JXST OOUOO	5-2	71%	5-2
WKU UOUUU	3-4	43%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JXST	7-3 70%	5-4-1 56%	6-4 60%
WKU	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Jacksonville State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs MOST	No meeting since 2023
Nov 28	@ DEL	W38–25WO

Western Kentucky

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ LIB	L21–38LO
Nov 28	vs KENN	W31–14LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 4 since 2023

JXST 3–1 WKU JXST leads · 4 games since 2023 · JXST has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Western Kentucky 34 @ Jacksonville State 37	WKU -1.5	JXST W
Dec 6 2024	Western Kentucky 12 @ Jacksonville State 52	JXST -4.5	JXST W
Nov 30 2024	Jacksonville State 17 @ Western Kentucky 19	JXST -0.5	WKU W
Oct 17 2023	Western Kentucky 17 @ Jacksonville State 20	WKU -7.5	JXST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

JXST−8.9 →−8.2▲ 0.7#99

WKU−7.3 →−12.0▼ 4.7#114

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

JXST

Longer bar = better

WKU

#55

Offense

◀ JXST better

#123

#69

Defense

◀ JXST better

#92

−0.6 #110

Turnovers

Even

−0.4 #100

61 plays #118

Pace

WKU faster ▶

72 plays #11

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When JXST has the ball

Advantage: JXST offense

	JXST off	WKU def	Edge
Points / game	27.3 #82	30.6 #116	JXST
Yards / play	6.36 #42	6.03 #111	JXST
PPA / play	+0.18 #59	+0.12 #86	JXST
Success rate	47% #38	40% #53	Even

When WKU has the ball

Advantage: JXST defense

	WKU off	JXST def	Edge
Points / game	21.3 #114	22.7 #59	JXST
Yards / play	4.88 #129	5.29 #60	JXST
PPA / play	+0.01 #117	+0.10 #74	JXST
Success rate	36% #130	42% #84	JXST

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

JXST scoring against the WKU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JXST scored	6.4 #62	9.3 #63	15.7 #64	6.4 #60	4.7 #117	11.1 #94
WKU allowed	6.3 #102	9.9 #115	16.1 #112	9.4 #134	5.0 #41	14.4 #116

WKU scoring against the JXST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WKU scored	3.9 #104	7.7 #92	11.6 #102	3.9 #116	5.9 #96	9.7 #115
JXST allowed	2.9 #22	11.7 #126	14.6 #99	4.7 #70	2.7 #5	7.4 #17

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.