Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 3:30 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Delaware · Conference game
JXST 51%49% DEL
Spread
—
Total
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model 55.5
Model line
JXST -0.5
JXST 51% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Jacksonville State 51%
Projected JXST 28 – DEL 28 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
JXST -0.5
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
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Model 55.5
How the model gets there (points from DEL’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadDEL rating edge−3.5+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.6=Model marginJXST by 0.4
TotalScoring ratings55.7=Model total55.7
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 5-4-1 56% | 6-4 60% | |
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
No more games this season.
No more games this season.
Recent meetings
Last 1 since 2023
JXST 1–0 DEL
JXST leads · 1 game since 2023 · JXST has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 2025 | Delaware 25 @ Jacksonville State 38 | DEL -2.5 | JXST W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
JXST−8.9 →−8.2▲ 0.7#99
DEL−14.3 →−11.4▲ 2.9#113
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12
Longer bar = better
#56
Offense
◀ JXST better#72
#69
Defense
◀ JXST better#107
−0.6 #110
Turnovers
DEL better ▶+0.3 #59
61 plays #118
Pace
DEL faster ▶66 plays #72
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| JXST off | DEL def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 27.3 #83 | 28.4 #110 | JXST |
| Yards / play | 6.36 #42 | 5.90 #103 | JXST |
| PPA / play | +0.18 #59 | +0.16 #107 | JXST |
| Success rate | 47% #38 | 44% #108 | JXST |
| DEL off | JXST def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 28.3 #76 | 22.7 #59 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.77 #79 | 5.29 #60 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.19 #54 | +0.10 #74 | Even |
| Success rate | 43% #77 | 42% #84 | Even |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
JXST scoring against the DEL defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.4 #62 | 9.3 #63 | 15.7 #67 | 6.4 #61 | 4.7 #117 | 11.1 #94 | |
7.6 #122 | 9.0 #102 | 16.6 #115 | 8.4 #125 | 3.4 #11 | 11.9 #76 |
DEL scoring against the JXST defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2.4 #125 | 11.3 #33 | 13.7 #86 | 6.0 #71 | 8.6 #38 | 14.6 #48 | |
2.9 #23 | 11.7 #126 | 14.6 #99 | 4.7 #70 | 2.7 #5 | 7.4 #17 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Not yet
Forecast 15 days before kickoff
Rest
JXST7d
DEL7d
Even
Tempo
Average 128 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

