Kansas State @ Colorado: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 2:00 PM EDTWeek 9 · at Colorado · Conference game

Kickoff forecast62°F15 mphgusts 23DryWindy Over 48% of 274 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Kansas State

4-2 · Power #42

projected

Sat 2:00 PM ET

Colorado

2-4 · Power #63

projected

KSU 50%

50% COLO

Spread

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Total

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model 45.5

Model line

Pick’em

COLO 50% to win

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KSU WLLLW	3-3	50%	0-1	—
COLO LLLLW	2-4	33%	1-2	—

Venue/role: KSU away; COLO home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KSU UOOUO	4-2	67%	4-2
COLO OOUUO	3-3	50%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KSU	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%
COLO	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Kansas State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	vs OKST	W14–6LU
Nov 14	@ TCU	W41–28WO
Nov 21	vs ARIZ	L17–23LU

Colorado

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ ASU	L17–42LO
Nov 13	vs HOU	L20–36LO
Nov 21	@ CIN	W34–23WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

KSU 2–0 COLO KSU leads · 2 games since 2023 · KSU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2025	Colorado 14 @ Kansas State 24	KSU -16.5	COLO W
Oct 12 2024	Kansas State 31 @ Colorado 28	KSU -3.5	COLO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KSU+6.3 →+6.4▲ 0.1#42

COLO−0.7 →+1.4▲ 2.1#63

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

KSU

Longer bar = better

COLO

#29

Offense

◀ KSU better

#112

#51

Defense

Even

#49

−0.3 #97

Turnovers

◀ KSU better

−1.0 #130

71 plays #27

Pace

Even

71 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KSU has the ball

Even matchup

	KSU off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	35.5 #33	25.7 #88	KSU
Yards / play	6.58 #25	5.04 #43	Even
PPA / play	+0.24 #28	0.00 #31	Even
Success rate	48% #30	38% #34	Even

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: KSU defense

	COLO off	KSU def	Edge
Points / game	19.5 #124	20.0 #39	KSU
Yards / play	5.54 #96	5.07 #46	KSU
PPA / play	+0.01 #118	+0.13 #89	KSU
Success rate	40% #109	37% #28	KSU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

KSU scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KSU scored	6.3 #65	11.7 #26	18.0 #41	8.5 #20	9.0 #29	17.5 #21
COLO allowed	4.0 #46	7.8 #78	11.8 #66	5.5 #82	8.3 #117	13.8 #110

COLO scoring against the KSU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	5.2 #89	4.7 #127	9.8 #118	5.0 #95	4.7 #120	9.7 #117
KSU allowed	5.2 #82	6.2 #52	11.3 #60	6.3 #94	2.3 #2	8.7 #32

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.