Colorado @ Oklahoma State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Oklahoma State · Conference game

Kickoff forecast76°F7 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Colorado

2-4 · Power #63

projected

Sat 7:00 PM ET

Oklahoma State

4-2 · Power #44

projected

COLO 19%

81% OKST

Spread

OKST -13.5

open OKST -14.5

Total

56.5

model 52

Spread edge

COLO by 5

lean · context

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenOKST -14.5

CurrentOKST -13.5

Total55.5 → 56.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenOKST -14.5

1 → COLO

NowOKST -13.5

1 pt toward Colorado

Total

Open55.5

▲ 1

Now56.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened OKST -14.5 · now OKST -13.5 · moved 1 toward COLOmodel OKST -8.5

model OKST -8.5

Openline modelNow

↗ Line toward model

Line watch · Moving toward modelModel vs the opening line: COLO by 6.2 pts (open +14.5, now +13.5). In 2025–2026, with a 6+ pt gap, lines moved toward the ratings in 79.2% of the 125 games where the line moved (133 at that gap), but those sides covered 56.9% at the opener, above the 52.4% break-even, but not by a statistically reliable margin: it predicts the line, not the result.

Line context

Home favorites of 12.5–14.5 since 2023: won 87%, covered 55% (159 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (398 games since 2024)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenOKST -14.5

CurrentOKST -13.5

Total55.5 → 56.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game preview · 1:10

Colorado at Oklahoma State: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 10:19 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

The line has moved toward Colorado since it opened. Colorado heads to Oklahoma State for a Saturday kickoff at 7 PM Eastern. Our power ratings have Oklahoma State 44th and Colorado 63rd. That’s about 4.5 points better than Colorado on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Colorado has moved up from 73rd to 63rd, while Oklahoma State has moved up from 100th to 44th. Kickoff forecast at Boone Pickens Stadium: 75 degrees, dry, wind 5 miles per hour, gusting to 13. Oklahoma State is 3 and 0 against the spread at home. Oklahoma State is 5 and 1 against the spread this season. On offense, Oklahoma State ranks 27th and Colorado 112th. Colorado has the better defense, 49th to 73rd. The model has Oklahoma State winning 33 to 20, a 81 percent chance. Oklahoma State is favored by 13.5, down from 14.5 at the open, toward our model. The total opened at 55.5 and sits at 56.5. Our model makes it Oklahoma State by 8.5, with a total near 53. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

More game previews ›

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	COLO	OKST	Over	Under	COLO	OKST
BetMGMMGM	+13.5-108	-13.5-110	56.5-110	56.5-120	+425	-550
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+13.5-110	-13.5-110	56-110	56-110	+409	-540
BetRiversBetRivers	+13.5-112	-13.5-110	56.5-112	56.5-112	+475	-715
BetUSBetUS	+13.5-110	-13.5-110	56-110	56-110	+417	-540
BovadaBovada	+13.5-105	-13.5-115	56-110	56-110	+410	-585
DraftKingsDK	+13.5-108	-13.5-112	56.5-108	56.5-112	+410	-550
FanDuelFD	+13.5-105	-13.5-115	56.5-105	56.5-115	+450	-630
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+13.5-106	-13.5-106	56-108	56-108	+409	-540
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+13.5-110	-13.5-110	56-110	56-110	+410	-575

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:32 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

3 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	COLO	OKST	Over	Under
BetUSBetUS	+7.5-120	-7.5+100	28.5-101	28.5-119
DraftKingsDK	+7.5-118	-7.5-102	29.5-108	29.5-112
FanDuelFD	+7.5-122	-7.5+100	28.5-102	28.5-120

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Spread

COLO +13.5

OKST -13.5

Bets48% 52%

Money35% 65%

Money is 13 pts ahead of bets on OKST -13.5

Winner

COLO

OKST

Bets3% 97%

Money7% 93%

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OKST as a 13.5-point home favorite against COLO, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 4 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 82%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 8.7 against an average line of 11.4; 56.7 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UCF vs BAY 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & rest	-11.5	35–36	L	O56
Very close	TCU vs COLO 2025 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & situation	-13.5	35–21	W	U57
Very close	GT vs VT 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & spread	-14	35–20	W	U55.5
Very close	MISS vs SC 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread	-13	30–14	W	U55.5
Very close	MD vs ILL 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-13.5	24–27	L	U52
Very close	MEM vs ECU 2026 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & rest	-10.5	41–34	L	O55.5
Very close	TCU vs ARIZ 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar team ratings & total	-10.5	49–28	W	O60
Very close	VT vs GT 2026 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & total	-8.5	34–24	W	O55.5
Close	NCSU vs VT 2025 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-10	21–23	L	U57.5
Close	BAY vs COLO 2026 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & total	-8.5	23–13	W	U54.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COLO LLLLW	2-4	33%	1-2	2-3
OKST WWWWW	5-1	83%	3-0	2-1

Venue/role: COLO away, as underdog; OKST home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
COLO OOUUO	3-3	50%	2-4
OKST OUOOO	4-2	67%	4-2

In 1299 games with totals 52.5–60.5, 50% went over; 2% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 31% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COLO	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
OKST	4-6 40%	9-1 90%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Colorado

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 31	vs KSU	L14–24WU
Nov 7	@ ASU	L17–42LO
Nov 13	vs HOU	L20–36LO

Oklahoma State

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 31	@ ISU	L13–20WU
Nov 7	@ KSU	L6–14WU
Nov 14	vs TTU	L0–42LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

COLO 27–20 OKST (1 tied) COLO leads · 48 games since 1920 · COLO has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 29 2024	Oklahoma State 0 @ Colorado 52	COLO -14.5	COLO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

COLO−0.7 →+1.5▲ 2.2#63

OKST−8.9 →+6.1▲ 15.0#44

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

COLO

Longer bar = better

OKST

#112

Offense

OKST better ▶

#27

#49

Defense

◀ COLO better

#73

−1.0 #130

Turnovers

Even

−0.7 #118

71 plays #20

Pace

Even

72 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: OKST defense

	COLO off	OKST def	Edge
Points / game	19.5 #124	23.7 #68	OKST
Yards / play	5.54 #96	5.32 #63	OKST
PPA / play	+0.01 #118	+0.10 #76	OKST
Success rate	40% #109	42% #86	OKST

When OKST has the ball

Advantage: OKST offense

	OKST off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	37.2 #21	25.7 #88	OKST
Yards / play	7.24 #7	5.04 #44	OKST
PPA / play	+0.16 #61	0.00 #31	COLO
Success rate	49% #17	38% #34	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

COLO scoring against the OKST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	5.2 #89	4.7 #127	9.8 #118	5.0 #96	4.7 #120	9.7 #117
OKST allowed	6.3 #105	6.3 #56	12.7 #77	6.3 #93	4.7 #34	11.0 #68

OKST scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OKST scored	5.0 #91	10.8 #37	15.8 #65	11.0 #8	10.3 #11	21.3 #3
COLO allowed	4.0 #46	7.8 #76	11.8 #66	5.5 #81	8.3 #117	13.8 #110

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.