Virginia Tech @ Clemson: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Clemson · Conference game

Kickoff forecast60°F5 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Virginia Tech

5-2 · Power #45

projected

Sat 7:00 PM ET

Clemson

4-2 · Power #52

projected

VT 44%

56% CLEM

Spread

CLEM -2.5

open VT -1.5

Total

49.5

model 52

Spread edge

VT by 1.5

no lean

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenVT -1.5

CurrentCLEM -2.5

Total49.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenVT -1.5

4 → CLEM

NowCLEM -2.5

4 pts toward Clemson

Total

Open49.5

no move

Now49.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened VT -1.5 · now CLEM -2.5 · moved 4 toward CLEMmodel CLEM -1

model CLEM -1

Openline modelNow

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 52% (376 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (227 games since 2024)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenVT -1.5

CurrentCLEM -2.5

Total49.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game preview · 1:02

Virginia Tech at Clemson: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 10:21 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

The market has moved toward Clemson. Here is why that matters. It’s Virginia Tech at Clemson, Saturday at 7 PM Eastern. Our power ratings have Virginia Tech 45th and Clemson 52nd. That’s about 1.5 points better than Clemson on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Virginia Tech has moved up from 60th to 45th, while Clemson has dropped from 26th to 52nd. Kickoff forecast at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC): 60 degrees, dry, wind 5 miles per hour, gusting to 11. Clemson is 1 and 3 against the spread at home. On offense, Virginia Tech ranks 38th and Clemson 122nd. The defenses are close: 55th and 51st. Our model projects Clemson 27, Virginia Tech 25, with a 56 percent win chance. Clemson is favored by 2.5, after opening at a different number. The total is 49.5. Our model makes it Clemson by 1, with a total near 52. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

More game previews ›

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	VT	CLEM	Over	Under	VT	CLEM
BetMGMMGM	+3-112	-3-105	48.5-120	48.5-110	+120	-145
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+2.5+100	-2.5-120	49.5-110	49.5-110	+121	-141
BetRiversBetRivers	+3-115	-3-108	49-114	49-109	+120	-150
BetUSBetUS	+2.5+100	-2.5-120	49-110	49-110	+120	-140
BovadaBovada	+2.5-105	-2.5-115	49-105	49-115	+120	-140
DraftKingsDK	+2.5-105	-2.5-115	49.5-105	49.5-115	+120	-142
FanDuelFD	+2.5-105	-2.5-115	49.5-105	49.5-115	+116	-140
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+2.5+104	-2.5-116	49.5-108	49.5-108	+124	-144
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+2.5-110	-2.5-110	49-110	49-110	+119	-146

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:32 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

4 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	VT	CLEM	Over	Under
BetRiversBetRivers	+1.5-118	-1.5-112	24.5-105	24.5-127
BetUSBetUS	+1.5-115	-1.5-105	24.5-103	24.5-117
DraftKingsDK	+1.5-115	-1.5-105	24.5-102	24.5-118
FanDuelFD	+1.5-114	-1.5-106	24.5-106	24.5-114

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Winner

CLEM

Bets23% 77%

Money81% 19%

Money is 58 pts ahead of bets on VT

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like CLEM as a 2.5-point home favorite against VT, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

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games

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 2.4 against an average line of 2.4; 48.4 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 4 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	UCF vs HOU 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-1.5	27–30	L	O47.5
Very close	VT vs WAKE 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & total	-1.5	30–13	W	U48.5
Very close	UCF vs BYU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	24–37	L	O53.5
Very close	WVU vs PITT 2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	17–6	W	U47.75
Very close	SC vs UK 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	17–14	W	U52.5
Very close	MIA vs LOU 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar total & rest	-1	31–38	L	O46.5
Very close	UCLA vs MD 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & situation	-4	20–17	L	U52.5
Close	TULN vs UTSA 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & total	-3.5	29–16	W	U52.5
Close	ISU vs KU 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	21–28	L	U53.5
Close	COLO vs BAY 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	38–31	W	O52.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
VT WLLLW	4-3	57%	1-2	—
CLEM LWWLL	2-4	33%	1-3	2-2

Venue/role: VT away, as underdog; CLEM home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
VT OUOUO	5-2	71%	5-2
CLEM UOUOU	3-3	50%	4-2

In 1443 games with totals 45.5–53.5, 53% went over; 4% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
VT	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
CLEM	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Virginia Tech

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 6	@ SMU	No meeting since 2023
Nov 14	vs STAN	W31–7WU
Nov 21	@ MIA	L17–34WO

Clemson

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 31	@ FSU	W24–10WU
Nov 7	@ SYR	L21–34LO
Nov 14	vs GT	L21–24LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

VT 11–23 CLEM (1 tied) CLEM leads · 35 games since 1906 · CLEM has won the last 7 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 9 2024	Clemson 24 @ Virginia Tech 14	CLEM -6.5	CLEM W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

VT+1.5 →+5.8▲ 4.3#45

CLEM+10.7 →+4.3▼ 6.4#52

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

Longer bar = better

CLEM

#38

Offense

◀ VT better

#122

#55

Defense

Even

#51

−0.6 #113

Turnovers

Even

−0.7 #119

73 plays #10

Pace

◀ VT faster

70 plays #35

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When VT has the ball

Even matchup

	VT off	CLEM def	Edge
Points / game	37.1 #22	21.5 #49	VT
Yards / play	6.22 #50	5.05 #45	Even
PPA / play	+0.23 #36	+0.01 #38	Even
Success rate	46% #44	42% #73	VT

When CLEM has the ball

Advantage: VT defense

	CLEM off	VT def	Edge
Points / game	22.3 #107	21.1 #46	VT
Yards / play	4.88 #128	5.21 #57	VT
PPA / play	−0.02 #125	+0.10 #73	VT
Success rate	37% #129	39% #45	VT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

VT scoring against the CLEM defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
VT scored	10.4 #15	14.0 #8	24.4 #7	6.0 #71	6.7 #73	12.7 #82
CLEM allowed	8.0 #125	5.2 #29	13.2 #85	3.8 #41	4.5 #29	8.3 #29

CLEM scoring against the VT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLEM scored	4.3 #96	8.2 #83	12.5 #97	2.7 #129	7.2 #61	9.8 #112
VT allowed	1.4 #3	6.3 #53	7.7 #18	5.4 #79	8.0 #109	13.4 #101

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.