Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Virginia Tech · Conference game

Weather at kickoff53°F13 mphgusts 21DryWeather watch ›

Georgia Tech

2-3 · Power #68

final

Final

Virginia Tech

4-2 · Power #45

▲ winner

Closing spread

VT -8.5

✓ VT W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 58 pts

Model before kickoff

GT 22–31 VT

✓ VT (74%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenVT -10

CloseVT -8.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenVT -10

1.5 → GT

CloseVT -8.5

1.5 pts toward Georgia Tech

Total

Open55.5

no move

Close55.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened VT -10 · closed VT -8.5 · moved 1.5 toward GTmodel VT -11

model VT -11

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 7.5–9.5 since 2023: won 72%, covered 51% (190 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (387 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenVT -10

CloseVT -8.5

Total55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like VT as an 8.5-point home favorite against GT, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: VT won 34–24; the favorite covered, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 58 points went over 55.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.2 against an average line of 8.3; 49.6 points a game (usually 52.5). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BAY vs COLO 2026 · Week 4 · very close · similar rest & season form	-8.5	23–13	W	U54.5
Very close	JMU vs APP 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & total	-10.75	23–26	L	U56.25
Very close	UCLA vs CAL 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-9.5	7–33	L	U51
Very close	KSU vs CIN 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	41–15	W	O54.5
Very close	ISU vs CIN 2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7	34–17	W	U52.5
Very close	UCF vs WVU 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	28–41	L	O59
Very close	UCF vs BAY 2023 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & total	-11.5	35–36	L	O56
Very close	UVA vs VT 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-8.5	27–7	W	U52.5
Very close	LOU vs PITT 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-7.5	37–9	W	U57.5
Very close	ARIZ vs KU 2025 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total	-5.5	24–20	L	U56.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GT LLLLW	1-4	20%	0-1	1-1
VT WWLLL	3-3	50%	2-1	3-3

Venue/role: GT away, as underdog; VT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GT UOUOO	3-2	60%	2-3
VT OOUOU	4-2	67%	4-2

Went over in Q4. Of 684 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GT	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%
VT	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

GT 1–1 VT Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · GT has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 11 2025	Virginia Tech 20 @ Georgia Tech 35	GT -14.5	GT W
Oct 26 2024	Georgia Tech 6 @ Virginia Tech 21	VT -11.5	VT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

GT+7.5 →0.0▼ 7.5#71

VT+1.5 →+6.9▲ 5.4#40

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

Longer bar = better

#65

Offense

VT better ▶

#41

#95

Defense

VT better ▶

#45

−0.6 #111

Turnovers

◀ GT better

−0.8 #130

63 plays #102

Pace

VT faster ▶

74 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GT has the ball

Even matchup

	GT off	VT def	Edge
Points / game	27.2 #83	20.7 #46	VT
Yards / play	5.91 #71	4.88 #35	VT
PPA / play	+0.19 #55	+0.06 #61	Even
Success rate	45% #50	38% #38	Even

When VT has the ball

Advantage: VT offense

	VT off	GT def	Edge
Points / game	37.7 #26	25.8 #92	VT
Yards / play	6.17 #54	5.52 #81	VT
PPA / play	+0.22 #40	+0.21 #117	VT
Success rate	47% #44	43% #89	VT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

GT scoring against the VT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GT scored	6.8 #65	8.8 #74	15.6 #66	5.4 #86	6.2 #92	11.6 #90
VT allowed	1.7 #6	6.8 #61	8.5 #25	4.0 #54	8.2 #110	12.2 #81

VT scoring against the GT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
VT scored	9.8 #18	14.7 #10	24.5 #9	5.8 #78	7.3 #65	13.2 #71
GT allowed	2.8 #20	8.0 #78	10.8 #55	8.0 #116	7.0 #86	15.0 #119

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.