Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Georgia Tech · Conference game
Kickoff forecast69°F11 mphDryWeather watch ›
3-3 · Power #79
20
projected
@
2-4 · Power #68
26
projected
BC 33%
67% GT
Spread
GT -6
open GT -4.5
Total
50.5
model 46
Spread edge
GT by 1
no lean
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
1H spread
1H total
DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET
SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed
OpenGT -4.5
CurrentGT -6
Total49.5 → 50.5
Last update7:32 PM ET
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current
Spread
1.5 pts toward Georgia Tech
Total
Up 1 since the open
Line movement
Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot
Opened GT -4.5 · now GT -5.5 · moved 1 toward GTmodel GT -7
Opened 49.5 · now 50.5 · moved 1 upmodel 46
Openline modelNow
Line context
Home favorites of 5–7 since 2023: won 69%, covered 55% (190 games)ⓘ
Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the favorite: that team covered 52% (352 games since 2024)ⓘ
DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET
SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed
OpenGT -4.5
CurrentGT -6
Total49.5 → 50.5
Last update7:32 PM ET
Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.
Game preview · 1:09

Boston College at Georgia Tech: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 9:52 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

This line has shifted toward Georgia Tech. It’s Boston College at Georgia Tech, Saturday at 3:30 PM Eastern. Our power ratings have Georgia Tech 68th and Boston College 79th. That’s about 4 points better than Boston College on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Boston College has held steady around 79th, while Georgia Tech has dropped from 35th to 68th. Kickoff forecast at Bobby Dodd Stadium: 68 degrees, dry, wind 11 miles per hour. On offense, Georgia Tech ranks 59th and Boston College 114th. Boston College has the better defense, 49th to 101st. Georgia Tech is 0 and 3 against the spread as favorite. Boston College games have gone under 5 of 6 times. Our model projects Georgia Tech 26, Boston College 20, with a 66 percent win chance. Georgia Tech is favored by 5.5, up from 4.5 at the open, toward our model. The total opened at 49.5 and sits at 50.5. Our model makes it Georgia Tech by 7, with a total near 46. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
BCGTOverUnderBCGT
BetMGMMGM+5.5-110-5.5-10850.5-11050.5-108+180-220
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag+5-110-5-11050.5-11050.5-110+180-210
BetRiversBetRivers+4.5-110-4.5-11250.5-10650.5-118+160-200
BetUSBetUS+5-110-5-11050.5-11050.5-110+180-210
BovadaBovada+5.5-110-5.5-11050.5-11050.5-110+185-225
DraftKingsDK+6-108-6-11250.5-11050.5-110+195-238
FanDuelFD+5.5-110-5.5-11050.5-11050.5-110+172-210
LowVig.agLowVig.ag+5.5-107-5.5-10550.5-10850.5-108+180-210
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag+5-110-5-11050.5-11050.5-110+174-218

1st-half prices

3 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotal
BCGTOverUnder
BetUSBetUS+2.5-104-2.5-11624.5+10224.5-122
DraftKingsDK+2.5-108-2.5-11224.5+10524.5-125
FanDuelFD+2.5-102-2.5-12024.5+10024.5-122

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
Winner
BCGT
Bets6% 94%
Money39% 61%
Money is 33 pts ahead of bets on BC

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like GT as a 6-point home favorite against BC, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 7 went over the total.

Compare by
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Show up to
games
Favorite won
6 of 1060%
Normal range · usually 66%
Favorite covered
6 of 1060%
Normal range · usually 50%
Went over
7 of 1070%
Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10.9 against an average line of 6.3; 60.5 points a game (usually 52.4). Of the 7 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games
MatchGameLineFinalCoveredO/U
Very close
2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & team ratings
-5.543–45 L O46.75
Very close
2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & total
-718–28 L U50.5
Very close
2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & season form
-631–22 W O51.5
Very close
2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & situation
-642–34 W O50.5
Very close
2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & situation
-7.545–13 W O53
Very close
2025 · Week 5 · very close · similar situation & rest
-735–44 L O52.5
Very close
2024 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & season form
-4.517–31 L U54.5
Very close
2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar season form & rest
-742–19 W O49
Very close
2024 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & spread
-6.556–12 W O55
Very close
2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & situation
-5.528–0 W U46.5
History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Georgia Tech 67%
Projected BC 20 – GT 26 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
GT -7
Market GT -6
Against the spread
No lean
Below the 3-point lean threshold.
Total
No lean
Model 46 · Below the 5-point lean threshold.
How the model gets there (points from GT’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadGT rating edge+4.2+Home field+2.5+Travel+0.5=Model marginGT by 7.2
TotalScoring ratings48.2+Wind 11 mph−2.4=Model total45.8

Signals

The data signal, and 5 trends and market moves behind it
Moderate Boston College ATS trend
Moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 365-359 (50%) in our 2023–26 backtest.
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Boston College 3-1 ATS as an underdog
Covering consistently in the role they have in this game. · Backtest 2023–26: 271-262 (51%)
Georgia Tech ATS struggles (1-5)
Georgia Tech have covered only 17% of their games with a line this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 262-295 (47%)
Georgia Tech home ATS weakness (1-3)
Weak against the spread at home this season. · Backtest 2023–26: 216-236 (48%)
Georgia Tech 0-3 ATS as a favorite
Struggling to cover in the role they have in this game. · Backtest 2023–26: 221-216 (51%)
Market moved toward Georgia Tech
1.5 pts (GT -4.5 → GT -6). · Backtest 2024–26: 446-443 (50%)

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
BC−3.2 →−3.2–#79
GT+7.5 →+0.7▼ 6.8#67
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

BC
Longer bar = better
GT
#114
Offense
GT better ▶
#59
#49
Defense
◀ BC better
#101
+0.2 #61
Turnovers
◀ BC better
−0.7 #117
65 plays #87
Pace
◀ BC faster
62 plays #111
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When BC has the ball
Even matchup
BC offGT defEdge
Points / game 20.3 #117 27.2 #101 Even
Yards / play 5.49 #98 5.68 #91 Even
PPA / play 0.00 #121 +0.21 #120 Even
Success rate 39% #118 43% #91 GT
When GT has the ball
Even matchup
GT offBC defEdge
Points / game 26.7 #86 23.0 #61 BC
Yards / play 6.13 #53 4.96 #34 Even
PPA / play +0.20 #45 +0.03 #42 Even
Success rate 45% #51 40% #58 Even

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
BC scoring against the GT defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
BC scored
7.8
#40
2.7
#138
10.5
#113
4.2
#112
5.7
#103
9.8
#112
GT allowed
4.7
#68
8.3
#87
13.0
#80
7.8
#118
6.3
#73
14.2
#113
GT scoring against the BC defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
GT scored
5.7
#84
7.8
#90
13.5
#89
6.8
#51
6.3
#85
13.2
#71
BC allowed
3.5
#41
5.7
#37
9.2
#36
6.0
#87
7.8
#103
13.8
#110

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
GT +2.5
home-field points in the model
Weather
69° · 11 mph
Wind trims 2.4 pts off the total
Rest
BC7d
GT7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 127 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.