Stanford @ Virginia Tech: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Virginia Tech · Conference game

Stanford

3-4 · Power #97

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Virginia Tech

5-2 · Power #45

projected

STAN 7%

93% VT

Spread

—

Total

—

model 56

Model line

VT -20.5

VT 93% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
STAN LWLLL	2-5	29%	0-3	—
VT WLLLW	4-3	57%	3-1	—

Venue/role: STAN away; VT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
STAN UOOOU	5-2	71%	3-4
VT OUOUO	5-2	71%	5-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
STAN	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
VT	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Stanford

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ CAL	W31–10WU
Nov 28	vs SMU	L10–34LU

Virginia Tech

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	@ MIA	L17–34WO
Nov 28	vs UVA	L7–27LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

STAN 0–1 VT VT leads · 1 game since 2023 · VT has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 5 2024	Virginia Tech 31 @ Stanford 7	VT -9.5	VT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

STAN−2.6 →−7.9▼ 5.3#98

VT+1.5 →+5.6▲ 4.1#45

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

STAN

Longer bar = better

#105

Offense

VT better ▶

#38

#131

Defense

VT better ▶

#55

0.0 #73

Turnovers

◀ STAN better

−0.6 #113

65 plays #83

Pace

VT faster ▶

73 plays #10

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When STAN has the ball

Advantage: VT defense

	STAN off	VT def	Edge
Points / game	18.3 #127	21.1 #46	VT
Yards / play	5.33 #110	5.21 #57	VT
PPA / play	+0.15 #69	+0.10 #73	Even
Success rate	39% #114	39% #45	VT

When VT has the ball

Advantage: VT offense

	VT off	STAN def	Edge
Points / game	37.1 #22	36.6 #133	VT
Yards / play	6.22 #50	6.50 #128	VT
PPA / play	+0.23 #36	+0.31 #137	VT
Success rate	46% #44	47% #124	VT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

STAN scoring against the VT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
STAN scored	2.4 #125	5.3 #118	7.7 #129	6.7 #52	3.9 #125	10.6 #101
VT allowed	1.4 #3	6.3 #53	7.7 #18	5.4 #79	8.0 #109	13.4 #101

VT scoring against the STAN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
VT scored	10.4 #15	14.0 #8	24.4 #7	6.0 #70	6.7 #74	12.7 #82
STAN allowed	7.6 #122	11.7 #126	19.3 #131	7.0 #105	10.3 #133	17.3 #128

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.