Oklahoma State @ Houston: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 7:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Houston · Conference game

Weather at kickoff63°F4 mphgusts 13DryWeather watch ›

Oklahoma State

4-1 · Power #44

final

Final

Houston

5-1 · Power #21

▲ winner

Closing spread

HOU -4

✓ OKST W

Total

62.5

▲ Over · 67 pts

Model before kickoff

OKST 26–32 HOU

✓ HOU (65%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenHOU -3.5

CloseHOU -4

Total57.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenHOU -3.5

0.5 → HOU

CloseHOU -4

0.5 pts toward Houston

Total

Open57.5

▲ 5

Close62.5

Up 5 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened HOU -3.5 · closed HOU -4 · moved 0.5 toward HOUmodel HOU -11

model HOU -11

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 3–5 since 2023: won 65%, covered 50% (250 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenHOU -3.5

CloseHOU -4

Total57.5 → 62.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Prices

DraftKings · prices at kickoff

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	OKST	HOU	Over	Under	OKST	HOU
DraftKingsDK	+4-108	-4-112	62.5-105	62.5-115	+154	-185

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed. One book so far. Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like HOU as a 4-point home favorite against OKST, the favorite won 8, covered 8, and 4 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: HOU won 35–32; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 67 points went over 62.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 60%

Favorite covered

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 15 against an average line of 5.4; 55.2 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	KSU vs OKST 2024 · Week 5 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6	42–20	W	O58
Close	KSU vs TCU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-5.5	41–3	W	U60
Close	UNT vs NAVY 2025 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	31–17	W	U68.5
Close	WASH vs RUTG 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-9.5	38–19	W	U62.5
Close	PITT vs SYR 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & spread	-5	41–13	W	U62.5
Close	TENN vs VAN 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & season form	-2.5	24–45	L	O66.5
Close	ARIZ vs CIN 2026 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-7	34–7	W	U56.5
Close	CIN vs ISU 2025 · Week 6 · close · similar rest & situation	-1.5	38–30	W	O55.5
Close	TXST vs UL 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & season form	-4	17–23	L	U60.5
Close	BOIS vs WSU 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	45–24	W	O66

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OKST LWWWW	4-1	80%	1-1	2-0
HOU WWLLW	3-3	50%	1-2	1-3

Venue/role: OKST away, as underdog; HOU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OKST UOUOO	3-2	60%	4-1
HOU OOOUU	4-2	67%	5-1

Went over in Q4. Of 263 earlier overs in games with totals 58.5–66.5, 29% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OKST	4-6 40%	8-2 80%	4-6 40%
HOU	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

OKST 10–12 HOU (1 tied) HOU leads · 23 games since 1951 · HOU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 11 2025	Houston 39 @ Oklahoma State 17	HOU -14.5	HOU W
Nov 18 2023	Oklahoma State 43 @ Houston 30	OKST -6.5	OKST W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OKST−8.9 →+5.1▲ 14.0#47

HOU+3.9 →+12.9▲ 9.0#21

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

OKST

Longer bar = better

HOU

#34

Offense

HOU better ▶

#13

#49

Defense

Even

#62

−0.6 #115

Turnovers

HOU better ▶

+0.7 #31

74 plays #9

Pace

◀ OKST faster

71 plays #27

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OKST has the ball

Advantage: OKST offense

	OKST off	HOU def	Edge
Points / game	38.2 #24	19.2 #38	Even
Yards / play	7.05 #12	5.40 #71	OKST
PPA / play	+0.14 #73	+0.09 #74	Even
Success rate	49% #27	40% #64	OKST

When HOU has the ball

Advantage: HOU offense

	HOU off	OKST def	Edge
Points / game	40.0 #16	21.4 #49	HOU
Yards / play	6.82 #21	4.94 #41	Even
PPA / play	+0.33 #12	+0.04 #49	HOU
Success rate	53% #4	39% #57	HOU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

OKST scoring against the HOU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OKST scored	5.4 #91	13.0 #18	18.4 #42	10.4 #11	9.4 #22	19.8 #7
HOU allowed	2.8 #20	5.2 #28	8.0 #18	6.5 #98	4.7 #37	11.2 #71

HOU scoring against the OKST defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HOU scored	11.3 #11	11.0 #37	22.3 #15	11.0 #6	6.7 #78	17.7 #20
OKST allowed	6.2 #102	6.2 #52	12.4 #72	4.8 #73	4.2 #27	9.0 #39

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.