Cincinnati @ West Virginia: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at West Virginia · Conference game

Weather at kickoff50°F14 mphgusts 20DryWeather watch ›

Cincinnati

4-1 · Power #64

final

Final

West Virginia

3-3 · Power #73

▲ winner

Closing spread

WVU -1.5

✓ WVU W

Total

64.5

▲ Over · 87 pts

Model before kickoff

CIN 29–30 WVU

✓ WVU (54%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWVU -1.5

CloseWVU -1.5

Total61.5 → 64.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWVU -1.5

no move

CloseWVU -1.5

No change since the open

Total

Open61.5

▲ 3

Close64.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WVU -1.5 · unchangedmodel WVU -1

model WVU -1

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 51%, covered 49% (225 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWVU -1.5

CloseWVU -1.5

Total61.5 → 64.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WVU as a 1.5-point home favorite against CIN, the favorite won 3, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

Compare by

Customize filters

Only include

Show up to

games

This game: WVU won 45–42; the favorite covered, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 87 points went over 64.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 5.7 against an average line of 3.1; 48.5 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 3 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	GAST vs APP 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & total	-2.5	14–42	L	U62.5
Close	UL vs GAST 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar season form & spread	-3	17–20	L	U62
Close	GASO vs CCU 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar total & situation	-6	38–28	W	O64.5
Close	TTU vs TCU 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & season form	-2.5	35–28	W	O59.5
Close	TXST vs UL 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & season form	-4	17–23	L	U60.5
Close	ORST vs SJSU 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & season form	-3	13–24	L	U58.5
Close	BAY vs ASU 2025 · Week 4 · close · similar spread & season form	-3	24–27	L	U60.5
Close	UCF vs CIN 2024 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	13–19	L	U58
Close	CCU vs GASO 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & situation	-2	6–26	L	U59.5
Close	BAY vs TCU 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar spread & situation	-2.5	37–34	W	O64

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CIN WWLWL	3-2	60%	0-1	1-1
WVU WWLPL	2-3-1	40%	1-3	1-2

Venue/role: CIN away, as underdog; WVU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CIN UOOOU	3-2	60%	4-1
WVU OOOOO	6-0	100%	3-3

Went over in Q4. Of 169 earlier overs in games with totals 60.5–68.5, 27% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CIN	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
WVU	5-5 50%	5-4-1 56%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CIN 0–2 WVU WVU leads · 2 games since 2023 · WVU has won the last 2 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 9 2024	West Virginia 31 @ Cincinnati 24	CIN -5.5	WVU W
Nov 18 2023	Cincinnati 21 @ West Virginia 42	WVU -5	WVU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CIN+1.4 →+0.8▼ 0.6#68

WVU−1.3 →−1.0▲ 0.3#73

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

CIN

Longer bar = better

WVU

#38

Offense

◀ CIN better

#56

#96

Defense

◀ CIN better

#127

+1.0 #13

Turnovers

◀ CIN better

0.0 #76

65 plays #88

Pace

WVU faster ▶

77 plays #5

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CIN has the ball

Advantage: CIN offense

	CIN off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	33.8 #49	32.7 #127	CIN
Yards / play	6.58 #30	6.93 #135	CIN
PPA / play	+0.28 #23	+0.23 #123	CIN
Success rate	46% #48	46% #124	CIN

When WVU has the ball

Advantage: WVU offense

	WVU off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	36.3 #31	23.2 #66	WVU
Yards / play	6.25 #51	5.84 #100	WVU
PPA / play	+0.15 #69	+0.15 #104	WVU
Success rate	43% #72	45% #114	WVU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

CIN scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	3.4 #112	7.6 #92	11.0 #108	12.6 #4	10.2 #14	22.8 #3
WVU allowed	6.3 #104	5.7 #40	12.0 #69	8.3 #122	12.3 #138	20.7 #136

WVU scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	9.8 #18	9.8 #54	19.7 #35	9.2 #19	7.5 #60	16.7 #26
CIN allowed	5.4 #90	7.6 #75	13.0 #84	4.4 #63	5.8 #63	10.2 #60

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.