Arizona @ West Virginia: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at West Virginia · Conference game

Weather at kickoff71°F7 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Arizona

4-1 · Power #31

▲ winner

Final

West Virginia

3-2 · Power #73

final

Closing spread

ARIZ -3.5

✓ ARIZ W

Total

61.5

▲ Over · 83 pts

Model before kickoff

ARIZ 31–27 WVU

✓ ARIZ (61%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenARIZ -3

CloseARIZ -3.5

Total58.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARIZ -3

0.5 → ARIZ

CloseARIZ -3.5

0.5 pts toward Arizona

Total

Open58.5

▲ 3

Close61.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARIZ -3 · closed ARIZ -3.5 · moved 0.5 toward ARIZmodel ARIZ -6

model ARIZ -6

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 61%, covered 50% (253 games)ⓘ

Moved off 3The team the line moved toward covered 58% (46 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenARIZ -3

CloseARIZ -3.5

Total58.5 → 61.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARIZ as a 3.5-point road favorite at WVU, the favorite won 8, covered 8, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: ARIZ won 52–31; the favorite covered, as in 8 of the 10 similar games. 83 points went over 61.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.8 against an average line of 3.6; 61.6 points a game (usually 52.4). Of the 6 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BYU @ CIN 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & spread	-2.5	26–14	W	U56.5
Very close	KSU @ WVU 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & situation	-2.5	45–18	W	O56
Very close	LIB @ WKU 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & situation	-4	42–29	W	O61.5
Very close	GT @ UNC 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	41–34	W	O60.5
Very close	ISU @ WVU 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3	28–16	W	U54
Very close	GT @ NCSU 2025 · Week 10 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-4.5	36–48	L	O58.5
Very close	NAVY @ USF 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	28–7	W	U58.5
Very close	UNLV @ ORST 2024 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	33–25	W	U61.5
Close	BOIS @ UNLV 2023 · Week 14 · close · similar total & rest	-2.5	44–20	W	O62
Close	ECU @ UTSA 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & season form	-2	24–58	L	O62.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARIZ LLLLW	1-4	20%	0-2	1-3
WVU LWWLP	2-2-1	50%	1-2	1-0-1

Venue/role: ARIZ away, as favorite; WVU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARIZ UUOOU	2-3	40%	4-1
WVU OOOOO	5-0	100%	3-2

Went over in Q3. Of 302 earlier overs in games with totals 57.5–65.5, 30% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARIZ	8-2 80%	4-6 40%	2-8 20%
WVU	5-5 50%	6-3-1 67%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

ARIZ 1–1 WVU Series tied · 2 games since 2024 · ARIZ has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 26 2024	West Virginia 31 @ Arizona 26	ARIZ -5.5	WVU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARIZ+8.6 →+9.1▲ 0.5#34

WVU−1.3 →0.0▲ 1.3#69

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

ARIZ

Longer bar = better

WVU

#39

Offense

Even

#42

#32

Defense

◀ ARIZ better

#120

−0.8 #120

Turnovers

WVU better ▶

+0.2 #62

70 plays #38

Pace

WVU faster ▶

71 plays #23

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARIZ has the ball

Advantage: ARIZ offense

	ARIZ off	WVU def	Edge
Points / game	32.4 #60	28.8 #111	ARIZ
Yards / play	6.45 #44	6.56 #126	ARIZ
PPA / play	+0.25 #36	+0.21 #119	ARIZ
Success rate	51% #15	46% #125	ARIZ

When WVU has the ball

Even matchup

	WVU off	ARIZ def	Edge
Points / game	37.4 #29	16.6 #29	Even
Yards / play	6.61 #34	4.82 #41	Even
PPA / play	+0.23 #44	−0.01 #36	Even
Success rate	45% #59	35% #22	ARIZ

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ARIZ scoring against the WVU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARIZ scored	7.6 #51	10.4 #47	18.0 #50	7.0 #54	7.4 #67	14.4 #60
WVU allowed	4.8 #79	4.8 #31	9.6 #49	7.2 #107	12.0 #137	19.2 #134

WVU scoring against the ARIZ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WVU scored	11.2 #14	9.0 #72	20.2 #38	9.6 #20	7.6 #61	17.2 #28
ARIZ allowed	6.2 #101	2.0 #5	8.2 #25	1.4 #12	7.0 #90	8.4 #37

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.