Kansas @ Utah: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2026)

Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Utah · Conference game

Weather at kickoff70°F8 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Kansas

2-2 · Power #46

final

Final

Utah

4-0 · Power #10

▲ winner

Closing spread

UTAH -15.5

✓ UTAH W

Total

49.5

▲ Over · 65 pts

Model before kickoff

KU 19–35 UTAH

✓ UTAH (88%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUTAH -16.5

CloseUTAH -15.5

Total52.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUTAH -16.5

1 → KU

CloseUTAH -15.5

1 pt toward Kansas

Total

Open52.5

▼ 3

Close49.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened UTAH -16.5 · closed UTAH -15.5 · moved 1 toward KUmodel UTAH -18.5

model UTAH -18.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 14.5–16.5 since 2023: won 89%, covered 49% (131 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (383 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUTAH -16.5

CloseUTAH -15.5

Total52.5 → 49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTAH as a 15.5-point home favorite against KU, the favorite won 7, covered 4, and 6 went over the total.

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This game: UTAH won 41–24; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 65 points went over 49.5, as in 6 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 87%

Favorite covered

4 of 944%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 49%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 12.6 against an average line of 15; 54.6 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 6 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	MIZ vs VAN 2024 · Week 4 · close · similar situation	-18	30–27	L	O52
Close	OU vs TULN 2024 · Week 3 · close · similar spread & team ratings	-13.5	34–19	W	O49
Close	FSU vs SYR 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & total	-18.5	41–3	W	U53
Close	FSU vs DUKE 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & spread	-14	38–20	W	O49
Close	TULN vs MEM 2024 · Week 14 · close · similar situation	-12.5	24–34	L	O54.5
Close	UGA vs UK 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & team ratings	-14.5	51–13	W	O47
Close	MIA vs LOU 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & total	-10.5	21–24	L	U49.5
Close	ORE vs JMU 2025 · Postseason · close · similar total & season form	-20.5	51–34	L	O47.5
Close	MISS vs UK 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & spread	-15	17–20	L	U51.5
Close	SYR vs ARMY 2023 · Week 4 · close · similar season form & spread	-13	29–16	P	U50.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KU WLLW	2-2	50%	—	0-2
UTAH WWWW	4-0	100%	3-0	4-0

Venue/role: KU away, as underdog; UTAH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KU UOUO	2-2	50%	2-2
UTAH OUUO	2-2	50%	4-0

Went over in Q3. Of 747 earlier overs in games with totals 45.5–53.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KU	3-7 30%	3-6-1 33%	5-5 50%
UTAH	10-0 100%	8-1-1 89%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

KU 2–4 UTAH UTAH leads · 6 games since 1950 · UTAH has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 28 2025	Utah 31 @ Kansas 21	UTAH -10	P

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KU+3.1 →+6.3▲ 3.2#46

UTAH+14.7 →+18.4▲ 3.7#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

Longer bar = better

UTAH

#40

Offense

UTAH better ▶

#11

Defense

Even

−1.0 #130

Turnovers

UTAH better ▶

+1.0 #12

75 plays #7

Pace

◀ KU faster

68 plays #51

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KU has the ball

Advantage: UTAH defense

	KU off	UTAH def	Edge
Points / game	36.0 #33	10.3 #2	UTAH
Yards / play	6.62 #29	3.92 #1	UTAH
PPA / play	+0.21 #48	−0.05 #24	UTAH
Success rate	46% #48	33% #6	UTAH

When UTAH has the ball

Even matchup

	UTAH off	KU def	Edge
Points / game	43.3 #7	17.0 #26	Even
Yards / play	7.25 #8	4.22 #10	Even
PPA / play	+0.41 #3	−0.13 #6	Even
Success rate	53% #6	28% #1	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

KU scoring against the UTAH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KU scored	2.3 #128	15.5 #8	17.8 #52	7.0 #50	11.3 #7	18.3 #17
UTAH allowed	0.8 #2	2.5 #9	3.3 #2	3.5 #45	3.5 #19	7.0 #19

UTAH scoring against the KU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTAH scored	13.5 #2	14.0 #16	27.5 #4	7.0 #50	8.8 #36	15.8 #45
KU allowed	0.8 #2	5.3 #35	6.0 #10	5.3 #82	5.8 #64	11.0 #71

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.