Utah @ Colorado: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 10:15 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Colorado · Conference game

Weather at kickoff60°F7 mphDryWeather watch ›

Utah

5-0 · Power #10

▲ winner

Final

Colorado

2-3 · Power #63

final

Closing spread

UTAH -15.5

✓ COLO W

Total

49.5

▲ Over · 51 pts

Model before kickoff

UTAH 33–17 COLO

✓ UTAH (87%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUTAH -16.5

CloseUTAH -15.5

Total49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenUTAH -16.5

1 → COLO

CloseUTAH -15.5

1 pt toward Colorado

Total

Open49.5

no move

Close49.5

No change since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened UTAH -16.5 · closed UTAH -15.5 · moved 1 toward COLOmodel UTAH -18

model UTAH -18

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 14.5–16.5 since 2023: won 87%, covered 56% (45 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 49% (395 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenUTAH -16.5

CloseUTAH -15.5

Total49.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Prices

DraftKings · prices at kickoff

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	UTAH	COLO	Over	Under	UTAH	COLO
DraftKingsDK	-15.5-112	+15.5-108	49.5-110	49.5-110	-800	+550

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed. One book so far. Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like UTAH as a 15.5-point road favorite at COLO, the favorite won 8, covered 3, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: UTAH won 27–24; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 7 of the 10 similar games. 51 points went over 49.5, as in 3 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 87%

Favorite covered

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10.1 against an average line of 14.4; 43.1 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 3 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	PSU @ ILL 2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar total & situation	-14	30–13	W	U47.5
Close	ALA @ OU 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & spread	-14	3–24	L	U46.5
Close	OSU @ PUR 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & total	-17.5	41–7	W	U53
Close	MIA @ VT 2025 · Week 13 · close · similar total	-17.5	34–17	L	O49
Close	TENN @ ARK 2026 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & spread	-13.5	24–17	L	U51.5
Close	KSU @ OKST 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & season form	-11.5	21–29	L	U54
Close	ORE @ WIS 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar rest & spread	-13.5	16–13	L	U49.5
Close	TEX @ UK 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & rest	-12.5	16–13	L	U45.5
Close	MICH @ MINN 2023 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & total	-18.5	52–10	W	O46
Close	ALA @ SC 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & total	-11.5	29–22	L	O47.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTAH WWWWW	5-0	100%	1-0	5-0
COLO WLLLL	1-4	20%	0-2	1-3

Venue/role: UTAH away, as favorite; COLO home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTAH OUUOO	3-2	60%	5-0
COLO UOOUU	2-3	40%	2-3

Went over in Q4. Of 765 earlier overs in games with totals 45.5–53.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTAH	10-0 100%	8-1-1 89%	7-3 70%
COLO	2-8 20%	2-8 20%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

UTAH 37–33 COLO (3 tied) UTAH leads · 73 games since 1903 · UTAH has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 25 2025	Colorado 7 @ Utah 53	UTAH -14.5	UTAH W
Nov 16 2024	Utah 24 @ Colorado 49	COLO -13.5	COLO W
Nov 25 2023	Colorado 17 @ Utah 23	UTAH -21.5	COLO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

UTAH+14.7 →+18.8▲ 4.1#9

COLO−0.7 →0.0▲ 0.7#70

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

UTAH

Longer bar = better

COLO

Offense

◀ UTAH better

#115

#11

Defense

◀ UTAH better

#46

+0.6 #27

Turnovers

◀ UTAH better

−1.2 #133

70 plays #34

Pace

COLO faster ▶

74 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When UTAH has the ball

Advantage: UTAH offense

	UTAH off	COLO def	Edge
Points / game	42.8 #5	25.4 #81	UTAH
Yards / play	7.19 #9	5.03 #42	UTAH
PPA / play	+0.38 #2	0.00 #30	UTAH
Success rate	53% #4	37% #31	UTAH

When COLO has the ball

Advantage: UTAH defense

	COLO off	UTAH def	Edge
Points / game	18.6 #126	13.0 #5	UTAH
Yards / play	5.30 #113	4.43 #12	UTAH
PPA / play	0.00 #122	−0.03 #18	UTAH
Success rate	40% #100	34% #8	UTAH

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

UTAH scoring against the COLO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UTAH scored	13.6 #1	12.6 #20	26.2 #3	6.8 #52	9.8 #18	16.6 #27
COLO allowed	3.4 #39	8.2 #84	11.6 #66	5.2 #80	8.6 #120	13.8 #109

COLO scoring against the UTAH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
COLO scored	6.2 #70	5.6 #119	11.8 #102	2.6 #130	4.2 #122	6.8 #135
UTAH allowed	0.6 #1	5.4 #33	6.0 #6	4.2 #57	2.8 #6	7.0 #15

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.