Ohio @ Sacramento State: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 10:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Sacramento State · Conference game

Weather at kickoff76°F0 mphDryWeather watch ›

Ohio

4-2 · Power #96

▲ winner

Final

Sacramento State

1-5 · Power #138

final

Closing spread

OHIO -17.5

✓ OHIO W

Total

46.5

▲ Over · 55 pts

Model before kickoff

OHIO 33–17 SAC

✓ OHIO (88%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenOHIO -13.5

CloseOHIO -17.5

Total49.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenOHIO -13.5

4 → OHIO

CloseOHIO -17.5

4 pts toward Ohio

Total

Open49.5

▼ 3

Close46.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened OHIO -13.5 · closed OHIO -17.5 · moved 4 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -10.5

model OHIO -10.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 16.5–18.5 since 2023: won 93%, covered 46% (46 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 3.5+ pts toward the favorite: that team covered 50% (226 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenOHIO -13.5

CloseOHIO -17.5

Total49.5 → 46.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Prices

DraftKings · prices at kickoff

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	OHIO	SAC	Over	Under	OHIO	SAC
DraftKingsDK	-17.5-108	+17.5-112	46.5-110	46.5-110	-950	+625

Last prices before kickoff from ESPN’s odds feed. One book so far. Each row is that book’s own last price, so it can differ from the closing line on this card. Prices vary by state; check your book.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like OHIO as a 17.5-point road favorite at SAC, the favorite won 8, covered 2, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: OHIO won 48–7; the favorite covered, as in 2 of the 10 similar games. 55 points went over 46.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 92%

Favorite covered

2 of 1020%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 9.3 against an average line of 15.6; 50.5 points a game (usually 53.1). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BGSU @ AKR 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & rest	-16.5	27–20	L	U48.5
Close	NIU @ KENT 2023 · Week 13 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-20.5	37–27	L	O44.75
Close	JXST @ KENN 2024 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & spread	-17.5	63–24	W	O49.5
Close	LT @ NMSU 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar season form & situation	-12.5	30–33	L	O48.5
Close	BGSU @ CMU 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & spread	-15.5	23–13	L	U48.5
Close	NIU @ BALL 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & season form	-13.5	23–25	L	O47.5
Close	TOL @ BALL 2023 · Week 7 · close · similar rest & total	-17.5	13–6	L	U48
Close	LIB @ MASS 2024 · Week 12 · close · similar spread	-16.5	35–34	L	O52.5
Loose	WMU @ MASS 2025 · Week 6 · loose · similar rest & situation	-12.5	21–3	W	U46.5
Loose	M-OH @ BALL 2024 · Week 11 · loose · similar total & season form	-13	27–21	L	P48

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
OHIO WWLLW	3-3	50%	1-2	2-2
SAC WLWLL	2-4	33%	2-1	1-4

Venue/role: OHIO away, as favorite; SAC home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
OHIO OOUUU	3-3	50%	4-2
SAC UOUUO	2-4	33%	1-5

Went over in Q4. Of 613 earlier overs in games with totals 42.5–50.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
OHIO	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%
SAC	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

OHIO−5.6 →−9.7▼ 4.1#107

SAC−16.9 →−23.2▼ 6.3#138

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

OHIO

Longer bar = better

SAC

#65

Offense

◀ OHIO better

#128

#88

Defense

Even

#90

−0.7 #115

Turnovers

◀ OHIO better

−1.5 #137

64 plays #97

Pace

SAC faster ▶

67 plays #59

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When OHIO has the ball

Advantage: OHIO offense

	OHIO off	SAC def	Edge
Points / game	27.5 #78	30.2 #116	OHIO
Yards / play	5.54 #97	5.90 #103	Even
PPA / play	+0.19 #51	+0.15 #98	OHIO
Success rate	48% #32	38% #43	Even

When SAC has the ball

Advantage: OHIO defense

	SAC off	OHIO def	Edge
Points / game	16.3 #134	24.7 #78	OHIO
Yards / play	4.58 #135	5.57 #78	OHIO
PPA / play	−0.10 #136	+0.17 #110	OHIO
Success rate	40% #108	42% #86	OHIO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

OHIO scoring against the SAC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
OHIO scored	6.8 #57	8.0 #86	14.8 #75	5.2 #90	6.7 #77	11.8 #89
SAC allowed	4.7 #65	15.2 #138	19.8 #134	5.8 #87	4.5 #30	10.3 #59

SAC scoring against the OHIO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SAC scored	2.8 #121	6.0 #114	8.8 #125	1.7 #136	5.8 #100	7.5 #132
OHIO allowed	4.7 #65	6.2 #50	10.8 #51	7.0 #106	6.3 #73	13.3 #99

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.