Akron @ Miami (OH): Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Miami (OH) · Conference game

Weather at kickoff53°F7 mphDryWeather watch ›

Akron

1-5 · Power #133

final

Final

Miami (OH)

3-3 · Power #106

▲ winner

Closing spread

M-OH -9.5

✓ M-OH W

Total

47.5

▲ Over · 48 pts

Model before kickoff

AKR 21–31 M-OH

✓ M-OH (77%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenM-OH -9.5

CloseM-OH -9.5

Total46.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenM-OH -9.5

no move

CloseM-OH -9.5

No change since the open

Total

Open46.5

▲ 1

Close47.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened M-OH -9.5 · unchangedmodel M-OH -12.5

model M-OH -12.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 8.5–10.5 since 2023: won 77%, covered 47% (180 games)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenM-OH -9.5

CloseM-OH -9.5

Total46.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like M-OH as a 9.5-point home favorite against AKR, the favorite won 7, covered 6, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: M-OH won 34–14; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 48 points went over 47.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 74%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11.8 against an average line of 9.5; 53.8 points a game (usually 52.7). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BUFF vs AKR 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-10	16–24	L	U48.5
Very close	ECU vs TEM 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & situation	-8.5	56–34	W	O48.5
Very close	NIU vs BALL 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & rest	-9.5	17–20	L	U43
Very close	TROY vs GAST 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & team ratings	-9.5	31–19	W	U51
Very close	M-OH vs EMU 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & situation	-12.5	44–30	W	O47.5
Very close	FIU vs MTSU 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-9.5	35–24	W	O51
Very close	M-OH vs CMU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & situation	-10.5	46–7	W	O48.5
Very close	WMU vs BALL 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & situation	-9.5	42–0	W	U43
Very close	LT vs UTEP 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	14–10	L	U49
Very close	LT vs SHSU 2023 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-8.5	27–42	L	O49.25

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
AKR WLLLW	3-3	50%	1-2	2-3
M-OH WWWLL	3-3	50%	2-1	2-2

Venue/role: AKR away, as underdog; M-OH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
AKR OUUOU	3-3	50%	1-5
M-OH OOUOU	4-2	67%	3-3

Went over in Q4. Of 668 earlier overs in games with totals 43.5–51.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
AKR	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
M-OH	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

AKR 8–23 M-OH M-OH leads · 31 games since 1993 · M-OH has won the last 9 meetings

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 11 2025	Miami (OH) 20 @ Akron 7	M-OH -11.5	M-OH W
Nov 8 2023	Akron 0 @ Miami (OH) 19	M-OH -17	M-OH W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

AKR−15.6 →−18.5▼ 2.9#132

M-OH−6.3 →−9.2▼ 2.9#104

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

AKR

Longer bar = better

M-OH

#107

Offense

M-OH better ▶

#74

#122

Defense

M-OH better ▶

#101

−0.7 #120

Turnovers

M-OH better ▶

0.0 #73

64 plays #95

Pace

◀ AKR faster

58 plays #133

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When AKR has the ball

Even matchup

	AKR off	M-OH def	Edge
Points / game	19.7 #118	27.5 #101	Even
Yards / play	5.36 #109	6.07 #114	Even
PPA / play	+0.06 #105	+0.14 #97	Even
Success rate	41% #94	43% #93	Even

When M-OH has the ball

Advantage: M-OH offense

	M-OH off	AKR def	Edge
Points / game	25.7 #91	32.2 #122	M-OH
Yards / play	6.13 #57	6.58 #128	M-OH
PPA / play	+0.19 #56	+0.25 #125	M-OH
Success rate	41% #93	45% #113	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

AKR scoring against the M-OH defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
AKR scored	3.5 #113	5.7 #116	9.2 #123	2.7 #127	7.8 #51	10.5 #103
M-OH allowed	8.2 #127	3.8 #17	12.0 #69	8.2 #121	7.3 #98	15.5 #122

M-OH scoring against the AKR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
M-OH scored	7.0 #54	12.7 #22	19.7 #33	2.7 #127	3.3 #131	6.0 #137
AKR allowed	5.0 #77	12.7 #133	17.7 #120	7.3 #107	7.2 #95	14.5 #117

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.