Tulsa @ Rice: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 4:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Rice · Conference game

Weather at kickoff70°F9 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Tulsa

3-3 · Power #87

▲ winner

Final

Rice

1-5 · Power #121

final

Closing spread

TLSA -3.5

✓ TLSA W

Total

47.5

▲ Over · 55 pts

Model before kickoff

TLSA 25–21 RICE

✓ TLSA (61%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTLSA -2.5

CloseTLSA -3.5

Total46.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenTLSA -2.5

1 → TLSA

CloseTLSA -3.5

1 pt toward Tulsa

Total

Open46.5

▲ 1

Close47.5

Up 1 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened TLSA -2.5 · closed TLSA -3.5 · moved 1 toward TLSAmodel TLSA -5

model TLSA -5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Road favorites of 2.5–4.5 since 2023: won 61%, covered 50% (263 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3The team the line moved toward covered 49% (148 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenTLSA -2.5

CloseTLSA -3.5

Total46.5 → 47.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TLSA as a 3.5-point road favorite at RICE, the favorite won 6, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: TLSA won 38–17; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 55 points went over 47.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 59%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 49%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 4.6 against an average line of 3.9; 46.8 points a game (usually 52.4). Of the 5 overs, 1 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	NIU @ CMU 2023 · Week 10 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-4.75	31–37	L	O48
Very close	FRES @ SDSU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & rest	-5.5	18–33	L	O47.25
Very close	NMSU @ UTEP 2023 · Week 8 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	28–7	W	U49
Very close	MTSU @ SHSU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-3.5	20–23	L	U50
Very close	RICE @ CLT 2023 · Week 12 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-1	28–7	W	U46.5
Very close	USF @ RICE 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & season form	-5.5	28–35	L	O54
Very close	JXST @ KENN 2026 · Week 6 · very close · similar spread & total	-3	27–26	L	O48.5
Very close	USM @ UL 2025 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & spread	-4.5	22–10	W	U54.5
Very close	SHSU @ FIU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & rest	-5	10–7	L	U47
Very close	KENN @ FIU 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & situation	-3	45–26	W	O48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
TLSA LWLWL	3-3	50%	0-3	1-1
RICE LWLWL	3-3	50%	3-0	2-3

Venue/role: TLSA away, as favorite; RICE home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
TLSA UUUOO	2-4	33%	3-3
RICE UOOUU	2-4	33%	1-5

Went over in Q4. Of 672 earlier overs in games with totals 43.5–51.5, 33% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
TLSA	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
RICE	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

TLSA 0–1 RICE RICE leads · 1 game since 2023 · RICE has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 19 2023	Rice 42 @ Tulsa 10	TLSA -3	RICE W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

TLSA−10.2 →−5.7▲ 4.5#91

RICE−14.2 →−12.4▲ 1.8#116

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

TLSA

Longer bar = better

RICE

#98

Offense

◀ TLSA better

#122

#66

Defense

Even

#80

+1.7 #4

Turnovers

◀ TLSA better

−0.8 #128

67 plays #58

Pace

◀ TLSA faster

63 plays #106

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When TLSA has the ball

Even matchup

	TLSA off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	27.5 #80	27.5 #102	TLSA
Yards / play	5.34 #110	5.50 #79	RICE
PPA / play	+0.13 #77	+0.10 #78	Even
Success rate	38% #123	40% #59	RICE

When RICE has the ball

Advantage: TLSA defense

	RICE off	TLSA def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #128	23.3 #67	TLSA
Yards / play	5.00 #119	5.45 #73	TLSA
PPA / play	−0.04 #127	+0.05 #50	TLSA
Success rate	39% #112	41% #74	TLSA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

TLSA scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TLSA scored	4.0 #103	7.8 #90	11.8 #102	8.8 #20	5.8 #101	14.7 #51
RICE allowed	7.3 #116	8.7 #95	16.0 #112	4.5 #64	7.0 #87	11.5 #74

RICE scoring against the TLSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	3.5 #113	5.0 #120	8.5 #125	2.2 #133	6.3 #86	8.5 #125
TLSA allowed	4.5 #62	5.0 #28	9.5 #38	7.3 #107	5.3 #52	12.7 #91

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.