Florida Atlantic @ Army: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Army · Conference game

Weather at kickoff49°F11 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Florida Atlantic

4-1 · Power #102

final

Final

Army

3-2 · Power #78

▲ winner

Closing spread

ARMY -2.5

✓ ARMY W

Total

55.5

▲ Over · 80 pts

Model before kickoff

FAU 27–30 ARMY

✓ ARMY (59%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenARMY -3

CloseARMY -2.5

Total59.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenARMY -3

0.5 → FAU

CloseARMY -2.5

0.5 pts toward Florida Atlantic

Total

Open59.5

▼ 4

Close55.5

Down 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened ARMY -3 · closed ARMY -2.5 · moved 0.5 toward FAUmodel ARMY -6

model ARMY -6

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 59%, covered 52% (367 games)ⓘ

Moved off 3The team the line moved toward covered 58% (51 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenARMY -3

CloseARMY -2.5

Total59.5 → 55.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like ARMY as a 2.5-point home favorite against FAU, the favorite won 4, covered 4, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: ARMY won 56–24; the favorite covered, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 80 points went over 55.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: underdog by 5.8 against an average line of 3.9; 50.8 points a game (usually 52.6). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	APP vs CCU 2023 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & season form	-4.5	24–27	L	U59
Close	JMU vs USA 2023 · Week 5 · close · similar spread & situation	-3	31–23	W	O49.5
Close	ECU vs MEM 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar total & spread	-3	31–27	W	O57
Close	UVA vs UNC 2024 · Week 9 · close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	14–41	L	U58.5
Close	WKU vs NMSU 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar total & situation	-5	29–38	L	O54.5
Close	TLSA vs RICE 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & situation	-3	10–42	L	U56.5
Close	NAVY vs TLSA 2026 · Week 6 · close · similar situation & spread	-3	34–26	W	O47.5
Close	USF vs TEM 2026 · Week 5 · close · similar situation & season form	-5.5	13–17	L	U50.5
Close	DEL vs CCU 2026 · Week 3 · close · similar season form & spread	-4.5	22–14	W	U56.5
Close	MEM vs NAVY 2025 · Week 14 · close · similar season form & spread	-3.5	17–28	L	U57.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAU LWWWW	4-1	80%	1-1	1-1
ARMY WLPLL	1-3-1	25%	1-2	1-2-1

Venue/role: FAU away, as underdog; ARMY home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAU OOUOO	4-1	80%	4-1
ARMY OOUOU	3-2	60%	3-2

Went over in Q3. Of 680 earlier overs in games with totals 51.5–59.5, 32% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAU	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	7-3 70%
ARMY	6-4 60%	4-5-1 44%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

FAU 0–1 ARMY ARMY leads · 1 game since 2023 · ARMY has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 7 2024	Army 24 @ Florida Atlantic 7	FAU -1.5	ARMY W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FAU−10.2 →−7.3▲ 2.9#96

ARMY−10.8 →−4.5▲ 6.3#82

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

FAU

Longer bar = better

ARMY

#53

Offense

ARMY better ▶

#37

#93

Defense

Even

#95

+1.0 #15

Turnovers

◀ FAU better

−0.2 #89

76 plays #6

Pace

◀ FAU faster

66 plays #74

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FAU has the ball

Advantage: FAU offense

	FAU off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	37.2 #27	19.2 #40	Even
Yards / play	5.43 #101	6.60 #129	FAU
PPA / play	+0.23 #36	+0.20 #113	FAU
Success rate	46% #47	43% #96	FAU

When ARMY has the ball

Advantage: ARMY offense

	ARMY off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	30.6 #64	26.6 #97	ARMY
Yards / play	6.32 #49	6.08 #115	ARMY
PPA / play	+0.28 #24	+0.17 #110	ARMY
Success rate	51% #11	39% #50	ARMY

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

FAU scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	11.8 #8	16.0 #5	27.8 #2	7.4 #46	2.0 #137	9.4 #116
ARMY allowed	4.2 #59	2.6 #9	6.8 #12	7.0 #103	5.4 #56	12.4 #90

ARMY scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	8.4 #36	4.8 #125	13.2 #88	5.8 #79	11.6 #5	17.4 #23
FAU allowed	6.8 #110	9.0 #101	15.8 #111	4.2 #59	6.6 #82	10.8 #69

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.