Army @ Tulsa: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Fri, Oct 23, 2026, 8:30 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Tulsa · Conference game

Kickoff forecast68°F6 mphgusts 11DryWeather watch ›

Army

4-2 · Power #78

projected

Tulsa

4-3 · Power #87

projected

ARMY 46%

54% TLSA

Spread

TLSA -1.5

no move since the open

Total

53.5

model 51.5

Spread edge

Even

matches market

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Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenTLSA -1.5

CurrentTLSA -1.5

Total50.5 → 53.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenTLSA -1.5

no move

NowTLSA -1.5

No change since the open

Total

Open50.5

▲ 3

Now53.5

Up 3 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened TLSA -1.5 · unchangedmodel TLSA -1.5 matches the line

model TLSA -1.5 = line ✓

Openline modelNow

Line context

Home favorites of 0.5–2.5 since 2023: won 52%, covered 50% (229 games)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenTLSA -1.5

CurrentTLSA -1.5

Total50.5 → 53.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game preview · 0:56

Army at Tulsa: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 9:10 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

Here’s what the numbers say. It’s Army at Tulsa, Friday at 8:30 PM Eastern. Our power ratings have Army 78th and Tulsa 87th. That’s about 1.5 points better than Tulsa on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Army has moved up from 112th to 78th, while Tulsa has risen from 104th to 87th. Kickoff forecast at H. A. Chapman Stadium: 67 degrees, dry, wind 6 miles per hour, gusting to 11. Army has the better offense, 22nd to 88th. On defense, Tulsa ranks 63rd and Army 99th. Tulsa is 3 and 0 against the spread at home. The model has Tulsa winning 26 to 25, a 54 percent chance. Tulsa is favored by 1.5. The total opened at 50.5 and sits at 54.5. Our model makes it Tulsa by 1.5, with a total near 51.5. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

Watch on YouTube ↗More game previews ›

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	ARMY	TLSA	Over	Under	ARMY	TLSA
BetMGMMGM	+1.5-110	-1.5-108	52.5-110	52.5-110	+100	-120
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+1.5-115	-1.5-105	52.5-106	52.5-114	+100	-120
BetRiversBetRivers	+1.5-113	-1.5-110	53.5-110	53.5-113	-104	-120
BetUSBetUS	+1.5-115	-1.5-105	52.5-110	52.5-110	+100	-120
BovadaBovada	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	53-110	53-110	+100	-120
DraftKingsDK	+1.5-118	-1.5-102	53.5-108	53.5-112	-110	-110
FanDuelFD	+1.5-108	-1.5-112	52.5-114	52.5-106	+100	-120
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+1.5-107	-1.5-105	52.5-104	52.5-113	+100	-120
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+1.5-110	-1.5-110	52.5-110	52.5-110	+103	-126

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:32 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

5 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	ARMY	TLSA	Over	Under
BetMGMMGM	-0.5+105	+0.5-120	21.5-235	21.5+175
BetRiversBetRivers	+1.5-129	-1.5-104	27.5-114	27.5-117
BetUSBetUS	+0.5-122	-0.5+102	26.5-120	26.5+100
DraftKingsDK	+1.5-135	-1.5+114	26.5-118	26.5-102
FanDuelFD	+1.5-140	-1.5+114	26.5-122	26.5+100

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Spread

ARMY +1.5

TLSA -1.5

Bets64% 36%

Money53% 47%

Money is 11 pts ahead of bets on TLSA -1.5

Winner

ARMY

TLSA

Bets39% 61%

Money44% 56%

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like TLSA as a 1.5-point home favorite against ARMY, the favorite won 5, covered 5, and 3 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 48%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 51%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 1.5 against an average line of 2.9; 52.1 points a game (usually 52.8). Of the 3 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TEM vs CONN 2026 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total	-3.5	20–34	L	U55.5
Very close	M-OH vs CONN 2026 · Week 4 · very close · similar spread & rest	-2.5	24–21	W	U52.5
Very close	UL vs TROY 2026 · Week 7 · very close · similar team ratings & spread	-3	33–6	W	U49.5
Very close	UVA vs BC 2024 · Week 6 · very close · similar situation & total	-2	24–14	W	U52.5
Very close	BC vs PITT 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3.5	34–23	W	O50.5
Very close	ODU vs MRSH 2024 · Week 13 · very close · similar team ratings & rest	-3	35–42	L	O51.5
Very close	NCSU vs DUKE 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & spread	-3	19–29	L	U51.5
Very close	TULN vs UTSA 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-3.5	29–16	W	U52.5
Very close	TOL vs BGSU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & rest	-2	26–41	L	O48
Very close	LT vs NMSU 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar situation & total	-3	24–27	L	U55

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY LPLLW	2-3-1	40%	0-1-1	0-1
TLSA WLWLW	4-3	57%	3-0	2-1

Venue/role: ARMY away, as underdog; TLSA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY OUOUO	4-2	67%	4-2
TLSA UUOOO	3-4	43%	4-3

In 1492 games with totals 49.5–57.5, 51% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMY	6-4 60%	5-4-1 56%	7-3 70%
TLSA	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Army

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 31	@ MEM	No meeting since 2023
Nov 7	vs AFA	W20–17WU
Nov 21	vs ECU	L6–28LU

Tulsa

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ TULN	L14–31LU
Nov 14	vs FAU	L21–40LO
Nov 21	vs CLT	L26–33LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ARMY 1–2 TLSA TLSA leads · 3 games since 2007 · TLSA has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2025	Tulsa 26 @ Army 25	ARMY -9.5	TLSA W
Oct 5 2024	Army 49 @ Tulsa 7	ARMY -13.5	ARMY W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARMY−10.8 →−3.0▲ 7.8#78

TLSA−10.2 →−4.6▲ 5.6#87

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

ARMY

Longer bar = better

TLSA

#22

Offense

◀ ARMY better

#88

#99

Defense

TLSA better ▶

#63

+0.3 #52

Turnovers

TLSA better ▶

+1.6 #5

65 plays #78

Pace

Even

66 plays #68

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARMY has the ball

Advantage: ARMY offense

	ARMY off	TLSA def	Edge
Points / game	34.8 #39	22.4 #58	Even
Yards / play	6.55 #28	5.48 #74	ARMY
PPA / play	+0.32 #13	+0.05 #52	ARMY
Success rate	52% #6	41% #67	ARMY

When TLSA has the ball

Even matchup

	TLSA off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	29.0 #72	20.0 #41	ARMY
Yards / play	5.48 #101	6.38 #125	TLSA
PPA / play	+0.16 #65	+0.21 #117	TLSA
Success rate	39% #113	45% #114	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ARMY scoring against the TLSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	9.3 #20	7.5 #94	16.8 #52	6.0 #71	12.0 #3	18.0 #18
TLSA allowed	4.9 #72	5.7 #41	10.6 #49	6.3 #92	4.6 #30	10.9 #67

TLSA scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TLSA scored	3.4 #114	9.7 #53	13.1 #92	8.0 #27	7.0 #65	15.0 #40
ARMY allowed	5.8 #96	2.2 #3	8.0 #21	6.3 #93	5.7 #57	12.0 #78

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.