Air Force @ Wyoming: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Fri, Oct 23, 2026, 9:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Wyoming · Conference game

Kickoff forecast53°F6 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Air Force

5-1 · Power #90

projected

Wyoming

4-3 · Power #122

projected

AFA 67%

33% WYO

Spread

AFA -6

open AFA -6.5

Total

46.5

model 46.5

Spread edge

AFA by 1.5

no lean

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Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenAFA -6.5

CurrentAFA -6

Total42.5 → 46.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenAFA -6.5

0.5 → WYO

NowAFA -6

0.5 pts toward Wyoming

Total

Open42.5

▲ 4

Now46.5

Up 4 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened AFA -6.5 · now AFA -6 · moved 0.5 toward WYOmodel AFA -7.5

model AFA -7.5

Openline modelNow

Line context

Road favorites of 5–7 since 2023: won 62%, covered 48% (162 games)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenAFA -6.5

CurrentAFA -6

Total42.5 → 46.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game preview · 1:05

Air Force at Wyoming: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 9:13 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

The line has moved toward Wyoming since it opened. It’s Air Force at Wyoming, Friday at 9 PM Eastern. In our power ratings, Air Force sits 90th, Wyoming 122nd. That’s about 9 points better than Wyoming on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Air Force has risen from 127th to 90th, while Wyoming has slipped from 114th to 122nd. Kickoff forecast at War Memorial Stadium: 52 degrees, dry, wind 6 miles per hour, gusting to 20. Air Force is 4 and 1 against the spread as favorite. Air Force has the better offense, 52nd to 89th. On defense, Air Force ranks 49th and Wyoming 79th. Air Force plays at the faster pace. The model has Air Force winning 26 to 20, a 66 percent chance. Air Force is favored by 5.5, down from 6.5 at the open, away from our model. The total opened at 42.5 and sits at 44.5. Our model makes it Air Force by 7.5, with a total near 46.5. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

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Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	AFA	WYO	Over	Under	AFA	WYO
BetMGMMGM	-5.5-110	+5.5-108	45.5-105	45.5-112	-225	+185
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	-6-110	+6-110	45.5-109	45.5-111	-225	+189
BetRiversBetRivers	-5.5-110	+5.5-113	45.5-107	45.5-115	-225	+175
BetUSBetUS	-6-110	+6-110	45-110	45-110	-210	+180
BovadaBovada	-5.5-115	+5.5-105	45.5-110	45.5-110	-225	+185
DraftKingsDK	-6-112	+6-108	46.5-108	46.5-112	-238	+195
FanDuelFD	-5.5-115	+5.5-105	45.5-110	45.5-110	-225	+184
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	-6-104	+6-108	45.5-107	45.5-109	-225	+189
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	-6-110	+6-110	45-110	45-110	-242	+193

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:32 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

5 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	AFA	WYO	Over	Under
BetMGMMGM	-3.5+100	+3.5-120	16.5-350	16.5+240
BetRiversBetRivers	-6.5+148	+6.5-200	22.5-120	22.5-110
BetUSBetUS	-2.5-121	+2.5+101	21.5-112	21.5-108
DraftKingsDK	-2.5-122	+2.5+102	21.5-115	21.5-105
FanDuelFD	-3.5+100	+3.5-122	21.5-110	21.5-110

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Winner

AFA

WYO

Bets87% 13%

Money66% 34%

Money is 21 pts ahead of bets on WYO

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like AFA as a 6-point road favorite at WYO, the favorite won 6, covered 5, and 7 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 66%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 5.5 against an average line of 6.4; 51.1 points a game (usually 52.4). Of the 7 overs, 2 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	FRES @ CSU 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-5.5	21–49	L	O47.5
Very close	FRES @ SDSU 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & rest	-5.5	18–33	L	O47.25
Very close	FRES @ SDSU 2026 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	23–26	L	O46.5
Very close	JXST @ FIU 2023 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & season form	-9	41–16	W	O48
Very close	UL @ ULM 2024 · Week 14 · very close · similar rest & season form	-8.5	37–23	W	O50
Very close	LIB @ KENN 2026 · Week 8 · very close · similar situation & season form	-8.5	34–6	W	U50.5
Very close	LIB @ DEL 2026 · Week 5 · very close · similar season form & situation	-7	30–14	W	U51.5
Very close	SHSU @ FIU 2024 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & season form	-5	10–7	L	U47
Very close	TLSA @ RICE 2026 · Week 7 · very close · similar situation & rest	-3.5	38–17	W	O47.5
Close	NIU @ CMU 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar situation & season form	-4.75	31–37	L	O48

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
AFA LLWWW	4-2	67%	1-1	4-1
WYO LWLWW	3-4	43%	2-1	2-2

Venue/role: AFA away, as favorite; WYO home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
AFA OOUUO	3-3	50%	5-1
WYO UUUUO	2-5	29%	4-3

In 1155 games with totals 42.5–50.5, 54% went over; 4% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
AFA	7-3 70%	5-4 56%	4-6 40%
WYO	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Air Force

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 31	vs CONN	L16–26LU
Nov 7	@ ARMY	L17–20LU
Nov 14	vs SJSU	W26–16WU

Wyoming

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ UNLV	L17–31LU
Nov 14	@ UTEP	No meeting since 2023
Nov 21	vs UNM	W49–45WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

AFA 32–28 WYO (3 tied) AFA leads · 63 games since 1957 · AFA has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 18 2025	Wyoming 21 @ Air Force 24	AFA -3.5	WYO W
Sep 28 2024	Air Force 19 @ Wyoming 31	AFA -4.5	WYO W
Oct 14 2023	Wyoming 27 @ Air Force 34	AFA -12.5	WYO W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

AFA−15.2 →−5.3▲ 9.9#91

WYO−11.3 →−14.5▼ 3.2#122

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

AFA

Longer bar = better

WYO

#52

Offense

◀ AFA better

#89

#49

Defense

◀ AFA better

#79

+0.5 #35

Turnovers

◀ AFA better

−1.0 #133

72 plays #14

Pace

◀ AFA faster

60 plays #124

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When AFA has the ball

Advantage: AFA offense

	AFA off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	30.8 #62	20.9 #44	Even
Yards / play	5.67 #88	5.45 #71	Even
PPA / play	+0.23 #33	+0.14 #97	AFA
Success rate	49% #23	44% #103	AFA

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: AFA defense

	WYO off	AFA def	Edge
Points / game	18.3 #128	19.7 #38	AFA
Yards / play	5.54 #95	5.46 #72	AFA
PPA / play	+0.11 #85	+0.04 #44	AFA
Success rate	46% #46	38% #42	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

AFA scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
AFA scored	3.3 #116	10.7 #40	14.0 #83	5.2 #92	10.2 #12	15.3 #38
WYO allowed	2.9 #23	7.7 #73	10.6 #49	5.3 #77	5.0 #43	10.3 #55

WYO scoring against the AFA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	2.7 #122	4.7 #126	7.4 #132	2.4 #132	8.0 #49	10.4 #105
AFA allowed	2.8 #19	8.0 #80	10.8 #53	4.5 #63	3.3 #10	7.8 #20

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.