Northern Illinois @ Wyoming: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 7, 2026)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 3:30 PM EDTWeek 7 · at Wyoming · Conference game

Weather at kickoff69°F10 mphDryWeather watch ›

Northern Illinois

0-5 · Power #134

final

Final

Wyoming

3-3 · Power #122

▲ winner

Closing spread

WYO -7

✓ WYO W

Total

42.5

▲ Over · 64 pts

Model before kickoff

NIU 16–24 WYO

✓ WYO (71%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWYO -7.5

CloseWYO -7

Total38.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenWYO -7.5

0.5 → NIU

CloseWYO -7

0.5 pts toward Northern Illinois

Total

Open38.5

▲ 4

Close42.5

Up 4 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened WYO -7.5 · closed WYO -7 · moved 0.5 toward NIUmodel WYO -10.5

model WYO -10.5

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 72%, covered 56% (218 games)ⓘ

Moved onto 7Too few earlier games to rateⓘ

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

OpenWYO -7.5

CloseWYO -7

Total38.5 → 42.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like WYO as a 7-point home favorite against NIU, the favorite won 6, covered 6, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: WYO won 41–23; the favorite covered, as in 6 of the 10 similar games. 64 points went over 42.5, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 70%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 52%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 48%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 10.2 against an average line of 7.2; 44.8 points a game (usually 52.3). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	NIU vs BALL 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & rest	-6.5	21–7	W	U42
Close	CMU vs AKR 2026 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	41–17	W	O47.5
Close	SHSU vs FIU 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & rest	-5.5	27–33	L	O42
Close	BALL vs KENT 2023 · Week 12 · close · similar season form & team ratings	-10.5	34–3	W	U42
Close	AKR vs KENT 2023 · Week 10 · close · similar season form & situation	-3.5	31–27	W	O39.75
Close	RICE vs CLT 2024 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & season form	-4	20–21	L	U48
Close	UTEP vs KENN 2024 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & situation	-4.5	43–35	W	O42.5
Close	BUFF vs AKR 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar situation & rest	-10	16–24	L	U48.5
Close	WMU vs BALL 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & rest	-9.5	42–0	W	U43
Close	SDSU vs NEV 2023 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & season form	-11	0–6	L	U48.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NIU LLWLL	1-4	20%	1-2	1-4
WYO LLWLW	2-4	33%	1-1	0-2

Venue/role: NIU away, as underdog; WYO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NIU UOOUU	2-3	40%	0-5
WYO UUUUU	1-5	17%	3-3

Went over in Q3. Of 312 earlier overs in games with totals 38.5–46.5, 35% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NIU	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	6-4 60%
WYO	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	1-9 10%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NIU−14.7 →−18.4▼ 3.7#131

WYO−11.3 →−14.9▼ 3.6#126

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW6

NIU

Longer bar = better

WYO

#127

Offense

WYO better ▶

#103

#127

Defense

WYO better ▶

#84

−0.2 #85

Turnovers

◀ NIU better

−1.2 #132

61 plays #120

Pace

Even

60 plays #124

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NIU has the ball

Advantage: WYO defense

	NIU off	WYO def	Edge
Points / game	12.4 #138	20.5 #44	WYO
Yards / play	4.78 #128	5.46 #74	WYO
PPA / play	−0.10 #135	+0.14 #98	WYO
Success rate	40% #107	46% #119	Even

When WYO has the ball

Advantage: WYO offense

	WYO off	NIU def	Edge
Points / game	14.5 #136	34.6 #130	Even
Yards / play	5.04 #116	5.99 #110	Even
PPA / play	+0.08 #97	+0.29 #132	WYO
Success rate	44% #63	50% #135	WYO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

NIU scoring against the WYO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NIU scored	3.4 #116	6.2 #110	9.6 #119	0.0 #138	2.8 #136	2.8 #138
WYO allowed	3.3 #34	8.0 #78	11.3 #61	4.3 #63	4.8 #40	9.2 #46

WYO scoring against the NIU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
WYO scored	1.5 #135	3.8 #131	5.3 #138	1.7 #134	7.0 #69	8.7 #124
NIU allowed	11.0 #134	12.4 #132	23.4 #136	8.4 #124	2.8 #9	11.2 #72

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.