East Carolina @ Army: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 12, 2026)

Sat, Nov 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 12 · at Army · Conference game

East Carolina

3-4 · Power #93

projected

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Army

4-2 · Power #78

projected

ECU 36%

64% ARMY

Spread

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Total

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model 52

Model line

ARMY -5

ARMY 64% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ECU WLWLW	3-4	43%	2-2	—
ARMY LPLLW	2-3-1	40%	2-2	—

Venue/role: ECU away; ARMY home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ECU UUUUO	2-5	29%	3-4
ARMY OUOUO	4-2	67%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ECU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
ARMY	6-4 60%	5-4-1 56%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

East Carolina

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 27	vs FAU	W42–3WU

Army

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ RICE	W37–14WO
Dec 12	vs NAVY	L16–17WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

ECU 1–1 ARMY Series tied · 2 games since 2023 · ECU has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 25 2025	Army 6 @ East Carolina 28	ECU -3.5	ECU W
Oct 19 2024	East Carolina 28 @ Army 45	ARMY -18.5	ECU W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ECU+2.1 →−5.4▼ 7.5#93

ARMY−10.8 →−3.0▲ 7.8#77

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW11

ECU

Longer bar = better

ARMY

#109

Offense

ARMY better ▶

#22

#37

Defense

◀ ECU better

#99

−0.6 #111

Turnovers

ARMY better ▶

+0.3 #53

67 plays #59

Pace

◀ ECU faster

65 plays #78

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ECU has the ball

Even matchup

	ECU off	ARMY def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #92	20.0 #40	ARMY
Yards / play	5.22 #115	6.38 #125	Even
PPA / play	+0.03 #112	+0.21 #117	Even
Success rate	39% #117	45% #114	Even

When ARMY has the ball

Even matchup

	ARMY off	ECU def	Edge
Points / game	34.8 #39	26.3 #94	ARMY
Yards / play	6.55 #28	4.87 #29	Even
PPA / play	+0.32 #13	−0.02 #20	Even
Success rate	52% #6	34% #5	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

ECU scoring against the ARMY defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ECU scored	6.4 #62	8.7 #76	15.1 #69	4.6 #106	5.3 #113	9.9 #110
ARMY allowed	5.8 #95	2.2 #3	8.0 #21	6.3 #94	5.7 #57	12.0 #78

ARMY scoring against the ECU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARMY scored	9.3 #19	7.5 #94	16.8 #52	6.0 #70	12.0 #3	18.0 #18
ECU allowed	2.3 #11	9.7 #111	12.0 #70	5.6 #84	5.9 #61	11.4 #71

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.