Florida Atlantic @ Tulsa: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 11, 2026)

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 11 · at Tulsa · Conference game

Florida Atlantic

4-2 · Power #102

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

Tulsa

4-3 · Power #87

projected

FAU 28%

72% TLSA

Spread

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Total

—

model 59.5

Model line

TLSA -8

TLSA 72% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

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no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAU WWWWL	4-2	67%	1-2	—
TLSA WLWLW	4-3	57%	3-0	—

Venue/role: FAU away; TLSA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAU OUOOO	5-1	83%	4-2
TLSA UUOOO	3-4	43%	4-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAU	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%
TLSA	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Florida Atlantic

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs USF	L13–48LU
Nov 27	@ ECU	L3–42LU

Tulsa

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs CLT	L26–33LO
Nov 28	@ UTSA	W46–45WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

FAU 3–0 TLSA FAU leads · 3 games since 2023 · FAU has won the last 3 meetings

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 8 2025	Tulsa 21 @ Florida Atlantic 40	FAU -4.5	FAU W
Nov 30 2024	Florida Atlantic 63 @ Tulsa 16	FAU -2.5	FAU W
Oct 7 2023	Tulsa 17 @ Florida Atlantic 20	FAU -4	TLSA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

FAU−10.2 →−9.0▲ 1.2#102

TLSA−10.2 →−4.7▲ 5.5#87

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW10

FAU

Longer bar = better

TLSA

#52

Offense

◀ FAU better

#88

#114

Defense

TLSA better ▶

#63

+0.3 #52

Turnovers

TLSA better ▶

+1.6 #5

76 plays #6

Pace

◀ FAU faster

66 plays #68

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When FAU has the ball

Even matchup

	FAU off	TLSA def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #38	22.4 #58	Even
Yards / play	5.46 #102	5.48 #74	TLSA
PPA / play	+0.24 #31	+0.05 #52	FAU
Success rate	47% #35	41% #67	FAU

When TLSA has the ball

Advantage: TLSA offense

	TLSA off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	29.0 #71	31.5 #118	TLSA
Yards / play	5.48 #101	6.34 #123	TLSA
PPA / play	+0.16 #65	+0.25 #125	TLSA
Success rate	39% #113	42% #88	FAU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

FAU scoring against the TLSA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	12.2 #5	13.3 #13	25.5 #3	6.7 #54	2.8 #137	9.5 #119
TLSA allowed	4.9 #73	5.7 #41	10.6 #50	6.3 #93	4.6 #29	10.9 #67

TLSA scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TLSA scored	3.4 #114	9.7 #53	13.1 #92	8.0 #27	7.0 #65	15.0 #40
FAU allowed	8.0 #125	11.0 #123	19.0 #128	4.7 #67	7.8 #103	12.5 #87

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.