Rice @ Florida Atlantic: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 8, 2026)

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 PM EDTWeek 8 · at Florida Atlantic · Conference game

Kickoff forecast80°F10 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›

Rice

1-6 · Power #121

projected

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Florida Atlantic

4-2 · Power #102

projected

RICE 27%

73% FAU

Spread

FAU -8.5

open FAU -10.5

Total

53.5

model 54.5

Spread edge

Even

matches market

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Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

1H spread

1H total

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenFAU -10.5

CurrentFAU -8.5

Total58.5 → 53.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

OpenFAU -10.5

2 → RICE

NowFAU -8.5

2 pts toward Rice

Total

Open58.5

▼ 5

Now53.5

Down 5 since the open

Line movement

Pre-kickoff prices from ESPN · tap a dot

Opened FAU -10.5 · now FAU -8.5 · moved 2 toward RICEmodel FAU -8.5 matches the line

model FAU -8.5 = line ✓

Openline modelNow

Line context

Home favorites of 7.5–9.5 since 2023: won 72%, covered 52% (192 games)ⓘ

Lines that moved 2–3 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 52% (274 games since 2024)ⓘ

DraftKings via ESPNupdated 7:32 PM ET

SourceDraftKings via ESPN odds feed

OpenFAU -10.5

CurrentFAU -8.5

Total58.5 → 53.5

Last update7:32 PM ET

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Game preview · 1:13

Rice at Florida Atlantic: game preview

Made automatically from this game card’s numbers (Oct 23, 9:28 AM ET). The lines and the model’s numbers may have moved since.

Transcript

The market has moved toward Rice. Here is why that matters. Rice visits Florida Atlantic, Saturday at 12 PM Eastern. Our power ratings have Florida Atlantic 102nd and Rice 121st. That’s about 5 points better than Rice on a neutral field. Since the preseason, Rice has held steady around 121st, while Florida Atlantic has moved up from 105th to 102nd. Kickoff forecast at Flagler Credit Union Stadium: 79 degrees, dry, wind 13 miles per hour, gusting to 21. On offense, Florida Atlantic ranks 52nd and Rice 121st. On defense, Rice ranks 88th and Florida Atlantic 114th. Florida Atlantic plays at the faster pace. Rice is 0 and 3 against the spread on the road. Florida Atlantic is 3 and 0 against the spread at home. The model has Florida Atlantic winning 31 to 23, a 71 percent chance. Florida Atlantic is favored by 7.5, down from 10.5 at the open, toward our model. The total opened at 58.5 and sits at 52.5. Our model makes it Florida Atlantic by 8.5, with a total near 53.5. Full breakdown · sportsanalysis.info Subscribe for every preview

More game previews ›

Books

9 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotalMoneyline

Book	Spread		Total		Moneyline
Book	RICE	FAU	Over	Under	RICE	FAU
BetMGMMGM	+8-110	-8-110	53.5-110	53.5-118	-350	-350
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag	+8-115	-8-115	51-130	51+110	-345	-345
BetRiversBetRivers	+7.5-110	-7.5-110	52.5-114	52.5-109	-335	-335
BetUSBetUS	+8-110	-8-110	53-110	53-110	-345	-345
BovadaBovada	+8.5-110	-8.5-110	53.5-110	53.5-110	-350	-350
DraftKingsDK	+8.5-112	-8.5-108	53.5-112	53.5-108	+270	-340
FanDuelFD	+7.5-118	-7.5-118	53.5-110	53.5-110	-345	-345
LowVig.agLowVig.ag	+8-111	-8-111	51-130	51+111	-345	-345
MyBookie.agMyBookie.ag	+8-110	-8-110	53.5-110	53.5-110	-360	-360

Prices from ESPN’s odds feed and The Odds API, updated 7:32 PM ET. Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

1st-half prices

3 sportsbooks · current prices

SpreadTotal

Book	Spread		Total
Book	RICE	FAU	Over	Under
BetUSBetUS	+6.5-109	-6.5-111	26.5-116	26.5-104
DraftKingsDK	+4.5-112	-4.5-108	26.5-115	26.5-105
FanDuelFD	+5.5-108	-5.5-112	26.5-118	26.5-104

Prices from The Odds API’s 1st-half markets (graded on the halftime score). Highlighted = best number in that column (the line first, then the price). Prices vary by state; check your book.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money

Spread

RICE +8.5

FAU -8.5

Bets39% 61%

Money41% 59%

Winner

RICE

FAU

Bets3% 97%

Money4% 96%

Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read Thu, Oct 22, 4:27 AM ET. ⓘ

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like FAU as an 8.5-point home favorite against RICE, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 6 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 51%

Went over

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 50%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 3.3 against an average line of 8.3; 54.9 points a game (usually 52.4). Of the 6 overs, 3 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	EMU vs MASS 2023 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	19–17	L	U49.75
Very close	TROY vs UL 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar rest & situation	-7	35–23	W	O47.5
Very close	UL vs UAB 2026 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & total	-7	21–14	P	U55.5
Very close	WMU vs AKR 2024 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & situation	-9.5	34–24	W	O48.5
Very close	KENN vs MOST 2025 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-6.5	41–34	W	O54.5
Close	USA vs TROY 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & season form	-10	25–9	W	U53
Close	UL vs USM 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar season form & situation	-8.5	31–34	L	O52.5
Close	APP vs CCU 2025 · Week 8 · close · similar rest & situation	-10.5	37–45	L	O48
Close	MSU vs UCLA 2025 · Week 7 · close · similar situation & rest	-7	13–38	L	U51.5
Close	MRSH vs GAST 2024 · Week 8 · close · similar situation & season form	-9.5	35–20	W	O51.5

History, not a prediction. Every FBS game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RICE WLWLL	3-4	43%	0-3	2-4
FAU WWWWL	4-2	67%	3-0	3-0

Venue/role: RICE away, as underdog; FAU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RICE OOUUO	3-4	43%	1-6
FAU OUOOO	5-1	83%	4-2

In 1492 games with totals 49.5–57.5, 51% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RICE	1-9 10%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%
FAU	5-5 50%	7-3 70%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Rice

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 7	@ UNT	L24–56LO
Nov 14	vs TULN	L10–24WU
Nov 19	@ TEM	No meeting since 2023

Florida Atlantic

Date	Game	Last meeting
Oct 29	@ UNT	L37–41WO
Nov 5	vs UTSA	L24–38LO
Nov 14	@ TLSA	W40–21WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

RICE 3–3 FAU Series tied · 6 games since 2013 · FAU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 4 2025	Florida Atlantic 27 @ Rice 21	RICE -4.5	FAU W
Nov 25 2023	Florida Atlantic 21 @ Rice 24	RICE -3	P

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RICE−14.2 →−13.8▲ 0.4#120

FAU−10.2 →−8.6▲ 1.6#103

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW7

RICE

Longer bar = better

FAU

#121

Offense

FAU better ▶

#52

#88

Defense

◀ RICE better

#114

−0.9 #128

Turnovers

FAU better ▶

+0.3 #51

63 plays #109

Pace

FAU faster ▶

76 plays #6

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RICE has the ball

Even matchup

	RICE off	FAU def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #131	31.5 #118	Even
Yards / play	5.09 #119	6.34 #123	Even
PPA / play	−0.02 #123	+0.25 #125	Even
Success rate	39% #111	42% #88	FAU

When FAU has the ball

Advantage: FAU offense

	FAU off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	35.0 #38	29.0 #112	FAU
Yards / play	5.46 #102	5.62 #86	Even
PPA / play	+0.24 #31	+0.13 #90	FAU
Success rate	47% #35	41% #65	FAU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

RICE scoring against the FAU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	4.0 #98	5.7 #114	9.7 #119	1.9 #134	5.4 #111	7.3 #135
FAU allowed	8.0 #125	11.0 #123	19.0 #128	4.7 #67	7.8 #103	12.5 #87

FAU scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
FAU scored	12.2 #6	13.3 #13	25.5 #3	6.7 #55	2.8 #137	9.5 #119
RICE allowed	6.3 #102	10.4 #120	16.7 #117	4.3 #54	8.0 #109	12.3 #82

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.