Rice @ North Texas: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · at North Texas · Conference game

Kickoff forecast66°F4 mphDryWeather watch ›

Rice

1-6 · Power #121

projected

Sat 12:00 AM ET

North Texas

4-2 · Power #54

projected

RICE 5%

95% UNT

Spread

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Total

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model 58

Model line

UNT -22.5

UNT 95% to win

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Winner

Market

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Spread

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no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

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no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
RICE WLWLL	3-4	43%	0-3	—
UNT WLWLW	4-2	67%	3-0	—

Venue/role: RICE away; UNT home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
RICE OOUUO	3-4	43%	1-6
UNT UOOOO	5-1	83%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
RICE	1-9 10%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%
UNT	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Rice

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	vs TULN	L10–24WU
Nov 19	@ TEM	No meeting since 2023
Nov 28	vs ARMY	L14–37LO

North Texas

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ UTSA	W55–17WO
Nov 21	@ TULN	L21–34LU
Nov 28	vs UAB	W53–24WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

RICE 0–1 UNT UNT leads · 1 game since 2023 · UNT has won the last meeting

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Nov 22 2025	North Texas 56 @ Rice 24	UNT -18.5	UNT W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

RICE−14.2 →−13.8▲ 0.4#121

UNT+4.5 →+4.6▲ 0.1#52

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

RICE

Longer bar = better

UNT

#121

Offense

UNT better ▶

#10

#88

Defense

Even

#99

−0.9 #128

Turnovers

UNT better ▶

+0.3 #50

63 plays #109

Pace

UNT faster ▶

73 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When RICE has the ball

Advantage: UNT defense

	RICE off	UNT def	Edge
Points / game	17.0 #131	29.2 #113	Even
Yards / play	5.09 #119	5.52 #77	UNT
PPA / play	−0.02 #123	+0.15 #101	UNT
Success rate	39% #111	44% #105	Even

When UNT has the ball

Advantage: UNT offense

	UNT off	RICE def	Edge
Points / game	42.2 #4	29.0 #112	UNT
Yards / play	7.30 #5	5.62 #86	UNT
PPA / play	+0.36 #4	+0.13 #90	UNT
Success rate	48% #28	41% #65	UNT

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

RICE scoring against the UNT defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
RICE scored	4.0 #98	5.7 #114	9.7 #119	1.9 #134	5.4 #111	7.3 #135
UNT allowed	7.5 #121	8.5 #90	16.0 #111	4.0 #49	8.2 #114	12.2 #80

UNT scoring against the RICE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
UNT scored	7.8 #40	15.3 #3	23.2 #12	11.0 #8	6.8 #70	17.8 #19
RICE allowed	6.3 #102	10.4 #120	16.7 #117	4.3 #54	8.0 #109	12.3 #82

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.