Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · Neutral site · Conference game
CMU 58%42% EMU
Spread
—
Total
—
model 49
Model line
CMU -3
CMU 58% to win
Pick this game
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Winner
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Model view
Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Central Michigan 58%
Projected CMU 26 – EMU 23 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
CMU -3
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 49
How the model gets there (points from EMU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadEMU rating edge−2.9+Neutral site0.0=Model marginCMU by 2.9
TotalScoring ratings49.0=Model total49.0
Signals
The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
No notable trends or market moves for this game.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | |
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 3 since 2023
CMU 2–1 EMU
CMU leads · 3 games since 2023 · CMU has won the last meeting
| Date | Result | Line | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 2025 | Eastern Michigan 13 @ Central Michigan 24 | CMU -3.5 | CMU W |
| Oct 19 2024 | Central Michigan 34 @ Eastern Michigan 38 | EMU -3.5 | EMU W |
| Sep 30 2023 | Eastern Michigan 23 @ Central Michigan 26 | CMU -10 | EMU W |
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CMU−10.4 →−13.6▼ 3.2#120
EMU−12.8 →−16.3▼ 3.5#128
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9
Longer bar = better
#117
Offense
Even#115
#106
Defense
Even#97
+0.1 #64
Turnovers
◀ CMU better−0.1 #82
60 plays #126
Pace
EMU faster ▶67 plays #60
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CMU off | EMU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 16.6 #132 | 25.9 #93 | EMU |
| Yards / play | 4.90 #125 | 5.99 #108 | Even |
| PPA / play | +0.05 #106 | +0.14 #94 | Even |
| Success rate | 40% #106 | 43% #93 | Even |
| EMU off | CMU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 21.5 #109 | 25.6 #85 | CMU |
| Yards / play | 4.78 #134 | 5.62 #85 | CMU |
| PPA / play | +0.04 #107 | +0.22 #121 | Even |
| Success rate | 40% #108 | 48% #131 | EMU |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CMU scoring against the EMU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.9 #138 | 5.0 #122 | 5.9 #138 | 4.9 #102 | 5.9 #96 | 10.7 #99 | |
3.4 #38 | 11.3 #124 | 14.6 #102 | 5.0 #72 | 6.3 #68 | 11.3 #69 |
EMU scoring against the CMU defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.8 #111 | 8.1 #86 | 11.9 #100 | 5.1 #95 | 4.5 #121 | 9.6 #118 | |
5.0 #74 | 11.7 #126 | 16.7 #117 | 5.0 #72 | 3.9 #17 | 8.9 #34 |
Game conditions
Before kickoff
Home field
Neutral site
No home edge
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
CMU11d
EMU10d
CMU +1 day
Tempo
Slow 127 plays
slowavg 133fast
News & sentiment
ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

