Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ESTWeek 10 · Neutral site · Conference game
Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›
3-4 · Power #120
26
projected
vs
4-4 · Power #128
23
projected
CMU 58%
42% EMU
Spread
—
 
Total
—
model 49
Model line
CMU -3
CMU 58% to win
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Model view

Power-rating model, before kickoff
Model Favorite
Central Michigan 58%
Projected CMU 26 – EMU 23 · Model Favorite won 73.7% in backtest
Model line
CMU -3
Market —
Against the spread
No lean
No market line yet
Total
—
Model 49
How the model gets there (points from EMU’s side; the model line rounds to the half point)
SpreadEMU rating edge−2.9+Neutral site0.0=Model marginCMU by 2.9
TotalScoring ratings49.0=Model total49.0

Signals

The data signal, and no trends and market moves behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

No notable trends or market moves for this game.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CMU−10.4 →−13.6▼ 3.2#120
EMU−12.8 →−16.3▼ 3.5#128
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

CMU
Longer bar = better
EMU
#117
Offense
Even
#115
#106
Defense
Even
#97
+0.1 #64
Turnovers
◀ CMU better
−0.1 #82
60 plays #126
Pace
EMU faster ▶
67 plays #60
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When CMU has the ball
Even matchup
CMU offEMU defEdge
Points / game 16.6 #132 25.9 #93 EMU
Yards / play 4.90 #125 5.99 #108 Even
PPA / play +0.05 #106 +0.14 #94 Even
Success rate 40% #106 43% #93 Even
When EMU has the ball
Even matchup
EMU offCMU defEdge
Points / game 21.5 #109 25.6 #85 CMU
Yards / play 4.78 #134 5.62 #85 CMU
PPA / play +0.04 #107 +0.22 #121 Even
Success rate 40% #108 48% #131 EMU

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams
CMU scoring against the EMU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
CMU scored
0.9
#138
5.0
#122
5.9
#138
4.9
#102
5.9
#96
10.7
#99
EMU allowed
3.4
#38
11.3
#124
14.6
#102
5.0
#72
6.3
#68
11.3
#69
EMU scoring against the CMU defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
EMU scored
3.8
#111
8.1
#86
11.9
#100
5.1
#95
4.5
#121
9.6
#118
CMU allowed
5.0
#74
11.7
#126
16.7
#117
5.0
#72
3.9
#17
8.9
#34

Game conditions

Before kickoff
Home field
Neutral site
No home edge
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
CMU11d
EMU10d
CMU +1 day
Tempo
Slow 127 plays
slowavg 133fast

News & sentiment

ESPN and Google News headlines
Recent ESPN and Google News headlines for both teams, injury and suspension mentions, and a keyword-based read on the tone of coverage.