Central Michigan @ Ball State: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 13, 2026)

Sat, Nov 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ESTWeek 13 · at Ball State · Conference game

Central Michigan

3-4 · Power #120

projected

Sat 12:00 PM ET

Ball State

2-5 · Power #132

projected

CMU 58%

42% BALL

Spread

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Total

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model 51.5

Model line

CMU -3

CMU 58% to win

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Winner

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

Now—

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now—

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CMU WLWLW	3-4	43%	0-3	—
BALL LLWWW	4-3	57%	2-0	—

Venue/role: CMU away; BALL home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CMU UOOUU	2-5	29%	3-4
BALL OUOOO	6-1	86%	2-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CMU	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	2-8 20%
BALL	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Central Michigan

No more games this season.

Ball State

No more games this season.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 2 since 2023

CMU 22–26 BALL (1 tied) BALL leads · 49 games since 1975 · CMU has won the last meeting

All-time series from CollegeFootballData.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 21 2024	Ball State 34 @ Central Michigan 37	CMU -5.5	BALL W
Oct 21 2023	Central Michigan 17 @ Ball State 24	CMU -5	BALL W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CMU−10.4 →−13.6▼ 3.2#120

BALL−17.4 →−18.3▼ 0.9#132

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW12

CMU

Longer bar = better

BALL

#117

Offense

Even

#111

#106

Defense

◀ CMU better

#128

+0.1 #64

Turnovers

◀ CMU better

−0.3 #94

60 plays #126

Pace

BALL faster ▶

63 plays #101

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CMU has the ball

Even matchup

	CMU off	BALL def	Edge
Points / game	16.6 #132	37.9 #135	Even
Yards / play	4.90 #125	6.66 #131	Even
PPA / play	+0.05 #106	+0.29 #134	CMU
Success rate	40% #106	44% #110	Even

When BALL has the ball

Even matchup

	BALL off	CMU def	Edge
Points / game	20.3 #118	25.6 #85	CMU
Yards / play	5.14 #117	5.62 #86	CMU
PPA / play	+0.10 #89	+0.22 #121	BALL
Success rate	39% #119	48% #131	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 138 FBS teams

CMU scoring against the BALL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CMU scored	0.9 #138	5.0 #122	5.9 #138	4.9 #102	5.9 #96	10.7 #99
BALL allowed	7.7 #124	10.4 #120	18.1 #127	7.0 #105	11.7 #137	18.7 #133

BALL scoring against the CMU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BALL scored	3.4 #114	5.9 #113	9.3 #122	4.1 #113	5.7 #101	9.9 #110
CMU allowed	5.0 #75	11.7 #126	16.7 #117	5.0 #72	3.9 #17	8.9 #34

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.